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Prediction market :: prob( winning 2012 U.S. Presidential Election ) -
http://www.intrade.com/v4...
January 25
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2012-01-25 Obama 56.5%, Romney 27.9%, Gingrich 8.2%, Paul 2.6%. -
Adriano
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2012-03-02 Obama 59.5%, Romney 33.2% -- each of the rest have less than 2% probability. -
Adriano