currently 22.5%, details https://www.intrade.com/v4... \\ Another indicator is the USDIRR http://finance.yahoo.com/q... NB: "Iran's rial currency has declined 40% to 55% against the dollar on the black market since December. Iranian inflation, meanwhile, now exceeds 20% a month, according to the Central Bank. While the rial has been falling for almost a year, the latest drop appeared to be triggered by a recent U.S. announcement that it would penalize companies that do business with Iran's Central Bank, and a proposed plan to ban Iranian oil purchases in the European Union later this year. The rial was changing hands at 16,000 to 17,000 in recent days, down from 11,000 to 12,000 in December." http://online.wsj.com/article... - Adriano

Leon Panetta stated that Iran would be able to reach nuclear-weapons capabilities within a year... Q: "Does Israel have overt or tacit support, particularly from America, for carrying out an attack? Have all other possibilities for the containment of Iran’s nuclear threat been exhausted, bringing Israel to the point of last resort? If so, is this the last opportunity for an attack? Can the military and the Israeli people withstand the inevitable counterattack?" Full details NYT, http://www.nytimes.com/2012... - Adriano

11 Feb spike to 45% -- media portrays the light, now yellow for Israel, will turn red after the November elections in the US. - Adriano

8 March update: spiked up to 60% in the interim, but leveling out around 40% since Netanyahu personally gives Obama the Book of Esther, http://ff.im/SH5jI - Adriano