"You know what would be totally awesome? Making an vector plot with arrows from old to new locations of each language. That would make the moves you mentioned obvious, as well as others like the increases in popularity of XQuery and Arduino, Puppet, Standard ML and AutoHotkey (whatever that is), and other even less common languages. I'm particularly intrigued by XQuery and Puppet."
- Donnie Berkholz
"Have you seen my colleague Stephen O'Grady's post on R&D/revenue ratios in tech companies? He saw pretty similar results a few months back. If not, you really should start reading his blog. =) http://redmonk.com/sogrady/201..."
- Donnie Berkholz
"Now take the first derivative to look at growth rates. That's what tells you where the opportunity lies. BTW I don't really buy 4-year forecasts at all, whether they're coming from a startup looking for money or Gartner. But if I did, I'd be tempted to push that out to 2018 because those IaaS/SaaS curves look exponential, or at least quadratic."
- Donnie Berkholz
"Cool, thanks! Looks very roughly equivalent to iPhone, so I guess that on the market-share graph, it would produce another region of about the same thickness. Not a huge difference but a very real one."
- Donnie Berkholz
"I'd love to see BlackBerry added to the "mobile as PC substitute" graph. Wonder if it would turn the past 5-7 years into a mirror image of the early '90s."
- Donnie Berkholz
"I don't find the GRANT act awesome at all, if I understand correctly from your brief summary. If I'm applying for a research grant that discusses the next 5 years of my work, I have no interest in giving my direct competitors complete access to it."
- Donnie Berkholz
"Considering how often journalists seem to get fired for "exposing" that they are actual humans with real opinions rather than objective robots, no wonder they don't do much besides broadcast their own articles. It's just a matter of self-conservation."
- Donnie Berkholz
Re: How Khan Academy is using Machine Learning to Assess Student Mastery | David Hu - http://david-hu.com/2011...
"Ever looked at letting users set higher percentages for proficiency? I'd be a bit concerned that I'm encouraging students to just give up on the occasional hard question, which isn't great training for applying these skills in real life. How long does it take to get to e.g. 99% if you're in a logistic model and missing some occasionally, is it exponentially harder?"
- Donnie Berkholz