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Union Square Park on a beautiful Fall Sunday is simply blissful...
@pkedrosky well, I've already argued in my prior post that ratings are a sham, so I view that issue as a red herring.
Kid Dynamite's interesting post re: the CDS market. Thoughtful discussion vs. knee-jerk condemnation http://fridayinvegas.blogspot.com/2009... $$
Re: Deal With It, Mr. Einhorn - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"I believe I specifically said that moving to an exchange would not solve all the problems. That said, i do think it goes a long way towards addressing what is a severely broken market. As for the first point, I have been clamoring for all OTC derivatives to be moved to exchanges for a long time, so no disagreement there. As for the second paper, the socialization of losses would be far lower in light of heightened transparency and better collateral management than under the current regime. So I fundamentally disagree. I think it is a "forest for the trees" issue, and that the value of a transparent, vibrant, exchange-based CDS market far outweighs these costs." - Roger
Re: Barking Up the Wrong Tree - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"RD, you raise an extremely important point and I agree. Much of the noise and hype is obfuscating the real issue, that we should be prepared to let institutions fail, with the losses borne by their stock and bond holders and counterparties who were ill-protected. Whether this means limiting the gross size of firms or having more strict capital and leverage guidelines I'm not sure, but this is among the most important issues to be tackled in the wake of the market meltdown. Thanks for your thoughtful comment." - Roger
Re: Deal With It, Mr. Einhorn - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"EM, pretty much agree with your comment. My position is from the vantage point of informational value and arbitrage, not leveraged speculation. I do think it is possible to have a valuable, vibrant, safe CDS market. I think it is worth the effort and that Einhorn's position is ultimately ill-founded." - Roger
Re: Barking Up the Wrong Tree - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"FU, a. I'm not on Wall Street b. You have no idea what innovation means. You are mixing up innovation with bad behavior, plenty of which happens in the absence of new product development or purported "innovation," e.g. insider trading, fraudulent mortgage originations, etc. I hope people who pen jerky, hostile, poorly thought out comments rot." - Roger
Re: Deal With It, Mr. Einhorn - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"I fundamentally agree with you as well as with Paul Kedrosky, who makes a similar point. This position is a far cry from Einhorn's blanket ban, however. My post is not in support of the current OTC CDS construct with leveraged speculation, but with an exchange basis that can be appropriately collateralized and managed. Thanks for the comment." - Roger
@interfluidity btw, there would be a clear price to which gamma could be calculated if both the underlying and the derivative we on exchgs
@interfluidity i agree. i think collateral requirements are indeed the crux of the issue. but this all follows from transparency as a req
@interfluidity because of the gap risks associated with a market leaning heavily in one direction...
@interfluidity i wrote in feb 2007 about "Volatility Management in a Complacent World." Crashing vol means margin should be kept high...
@interfluidity i think this is something we are capable of doing. and i simply don't agree that disasters risk can't be mitigated
@interfluidity your point seems to relate to gamma, not vol. addressing gamma risks requires a multi-factor approach to risk assessment
@pkedrosky agree that CDS are often under-reserved. Transparency + clearinghouse solves this. RE: too much notional, dem physical delivery
@pkedrosky when you're short and you can't get a locate or your shares get pulled back you have the same effect.
@pkedrosky i addressed the liquid issue. the ultimatum game? as mentioned, innovation might require a rule mod, but equity invs do the same!
New Post: Deal With It, Mr. Einhorn: David Einhorn is without question an exceptionally bright man and.. http://bit.ly/3WblGu
I blogged again. Deal With It, Mr. Einhorn http://bit.ly/1nk4HA $$ Banning CDS? Stupid. Getting my groove back...
David Einhon: "Ban CDSs." Get a life, David. They'll move to exchanges. That's the RIGHT answer... http://bit.ly/iMpyn $$
Big cash from virtual goods - it's not as counter-intuitive as it seems http://bit.ly/2ntIVt $$
Re: Barking Up the Wrong Tree - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"If the markets were completely "free," meaning unbridled, unregulated competition in the Adam Smith sense, then retail would be toast. It is only because of regulation to address externalities (such as the massive divergence in power between institutions and retail) that retail has seen its lot in life improve dramatically. So your statement IMHO lacks the texture and depth necessary to really address what is going on here." - Roger
Re: Barking Up the Wrong Tree - http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
"If the markets were completely "free," meaning unbridled, unregulated competition in the Adam Smith sense, then retail would be toast. It is only because of regulation to address externalities (such as the massive divergence in power between institutions and retail) that retail has seen its lot in life improve dramatically. So your statement IMHO lacks the texture and depth necessary to really address what is going on here." - Roger
I now know why i haven't been blogging much. because i only write about stuff i'm passionate about, and idiocy re: the markets makes me ill
I blogged, I blogged! Barking Up the Wrong Tree http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009... $$ Congress, the SEC and the White House are just scary...
New Post: Barking Up the Wrong Tree: After reading the news, participating in key industry conferences.. http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2009...
The trail-blazing Canadian courts - take away a kid's Wii for bad behavior. LOVE IT! http://www.switched.com/2009...
RT @gbattle: check out the @whitneymcn take on TwitterLists http://smr.absono.us/2009.... Nice, lucid perspective on the topic.
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