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Andrew C (✔)
The Weekly Standard's Lindzen puff piece exemplifies the conservative media's climate failures | Dana Nuccitelli - http://www.theguardian.com/environ...
The Weekly Standard's Lindzen puff piece exemplifies the conservative media's climate failures | Dana Nuccitelli
"Between mainstream climate scientists like Hansen and contrarian climate scientists like Lindzen, it's clear who has the better track record in making accurate climate predictions. Lindzen has made a career of being wrong about climate science," - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"Lindzen would have us believe that tens of thousands of climate scientists around the world are all tossing their ethics aside and falsifying data in order to keep the research money flowing, even though contrarian climate scientists like Lindzen have had no trouble obtaining government research grants. Is this more plausible than the alternative explanation that 97 percent of climate research is correct, and Lindzen, whose claims have consistently been disproved by observational data, is wrong?" - Andrew C (✔)
Victor Ganata
Just because it's published in a journal doesn't mean that it's an actual experiment or observational study. Just because it has a DOI link doesn't mean it's science.
Andrew C (✔)
Lindzen Illusion #7: The Anti-Galileo - http://www.skepticalscience.com/lindzen...
"So his combination of expertise and "skepticism" make Lindzen an appealing figure to "skeptics". He's even been compared to Galileo quite frequently. But there's one major difference between Galileo and Lindzen: Galileo was right." - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"So Lindzen does present a mostly coherent, consistent alternative hypothesis to the anthropogenic global warming theory. There's only one problem: as discussed above, every single one of these arguments is inconsistent with the observational evidence. You may have also noticed that every single one of Lindzen's positions have underestimated or downplayed anthropogenic global warming, which suggests they may be based on contrarianism rather than scientific evidence." - Andrew C (✔)
"With this history of being wrong, the comparisons to Galileo seem wholly inappropriate. There is of course nothing wrong with being occasionally mistaken in science. The problem arises when a scientist is consistently wrong and fails to learn from the corrections advanced by other scientists or by nature, especially when we're asked to believe that he is right and virtually every other scientific expert is wrong. " - Andrew C (✔)
Yeah, good luck convincing any climate change deniers with that site. :( - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I'm shocked that you think they wouldn't be convinced by objective facts... - Andrew C (✔)
Except that they can most likely rightly say that a site that's devoted solely to supporting climate change is probably not objective. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Just like I would, rightly in my opinion, say the same thing about most of the sites that they use. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
The site might not be "objective", but the factual claims they make (Lindzen is wrong about X, Y, and Z) either are or aren't true. - Andrew C (✔)
Steven Perez
Hey, Alex Scoble is here. Figures he'd show up when I'm busy at work.
I'm on Facebook a lot more to be sure. :D - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Victor Ganata
If you don't know the difference between a review article and an actual experiment, you're definitely not going to convince me that you understand science.
Off topic, but at this point, isn't the onus on deniers to back up their claims with a testable theory and experimental data to back it up? Am I wrong in thinking this? - Scoble, Alex Scoble
No, they don't. There are many ways to indicate studies or their results are flawed without coming up with a new hypothesis or go through the process of testing the hypothesis. - Jenny H. from Android
But Victor's original point is valid. Lit reviews aren't in the same arena as actual studies or experiments. Totally different beasts. - Jenny H. from Android
My tiny tangent: There is sooooooo much literature out there that it is difficult to capture all of it in a lit review. You might miss critical research in an area just by omitting a particular key word in your search. Add on top of that the bias of the person(s) writing the review. They might purposefully skew their review with cherry picked studies that back up their viewpoint without... more... - Jenny H. from Android
And how would you indicate that thousands of peer reviewed studies are flawed without actually doing your own study? - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I mean sure, you could say that Einstein's theory of relativity is wrong and here's why, but I don't think anyone will take you seriously without experimental data to back your claim up. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
And I'm not sure that you are really saying that if I say "evolution is the only scientific theory that can explain how life evolved on Earth" that I'm then on the hook for proving that statement. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Off the top of my head, you can demonstrate that (1) their data doesn't really say what they think it says (2) their methods were badly flawed (3) their assumptions were badly flawed (4) what they were actually studying has nothing to do with what they think they were studying (bad experiment, bad sample, etc.) There are a lot of ways to point out someone's study is bad that don't... more... - Victor Ganata
OK, but we aren't talking about "a study" we are talking about a high volume of scientific studies and evidence that all support the same theory. Surely, that isn't something that can be so easily dismissed as the ways you mentioned above. Climate Change and Evolution are two examples. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
The review would have to explain how or why the author(s) see them as flawed. No, you can't just write 'I don't agree with this study' and leave it at that. No one with reasonable intelligence would take them seriously unless they made some valid points about the flaws in methods, stats, overstating or misinterpreting their results, etc. - Jenny H. from Android
Also, even with as many studies as have been done on climate change, it is not a theory. Evolution is a theory because it has hundreds of years of research that support it. Climate change is a baby by comparison. I'm no denier, but you can't compare evolution and climate change side by side (or rather, you can't state that they have the same level of support or acceptance in the scientific community). - Jenny H. from Android
So what is climate change if it's not a theory? - Scoble, Alex Scoble
It depends on the level of precision you're on. Technically "climate change" is a conclusion from observational data, but I think most people use it as shorthand for the hypothesis that CO2 emissions due to humans burning fossil fuels is causing the observed increase in average global temperature. - Victor Ganata
A hypothesis in the process of being tested through modeling and experimentation. So far it looks good, but the data can change based on new observations. Jenny is right, though: the sample size of available data, and volume of concurring experimental results is likely not sufficient to elevate ACM to the evolution-level of "theory" - Bren from iPhone
Fair enough. Thanks for the clarification. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Victor Ganata
I never really thought about how much the history of Western Civilization has conditioned us all to believe that no one ever sailed across oceans until Europeans started doing it in the late 15th century.
Which makes no sense since Austronesians got as far west as Madagascar as early as the 2nd century BCE and as far east as Rapa Nui probably by the 4th century CE. - Victor Ganata
Not to mention that the Vikings were pretty proficient sailors as well. - John (bird whisperer)
Oh, I guess the history of Western Civ usually does usually give Erik the Red and Leif Ericson shout outs. But even that's like a good century after people were already routinely exploring the Pacific and Indian Oceans. - Victor Ganata
That's why the course is called "History of Western Civ". The problem lies in students thinking it's ALL of history. - m9m, Crone of FriendFeed
To be fair, it usually is taught as if it were all of history. - Victor Ganata
Well, it's taught as the "unlabelled history", rather than "asian history" or "african history" or something else. Which is just as marginalizing as "doctors" vs "female doctors" - DJF
Even "world history" courses are often pretty Euro-heavy. - John (bird whisperer)
Andrew C (✔)
"We're not so different, you and I," I said to my roommate, my identical twin.
Victor Ganata
Deniers gonna deny.
I don't think so. - Joe
Victor Ganata
That moment when your ideas are too batshit crazy even for Jan Brewer.
well, I think the possible loss of almost 1,000 high tech manufacturing jobs might have had something to do with it too. - DJF
I'm gonna go with money being more worth to her and the state than, y'know, human decency. - Derrick
Prospect of losing the Super Bowl? - Joe
I think the right kind of people spoke up. She didn't let the threat of losing jobs stop her from signing racist laws. Too bad those people will never care about laws that affect POC. - Anika from Android
Anika makes a good point. And as Joe hinted a lot of revenue is at stake. - MoTO: Team Marina
Marie
cheesesteak hat. go phillies!
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marie is awesome! - holly #ravingfangirl
Now why don't I own a cheesesteak hat? - Anika
anika, you need a carne asada hat - Marie
LOL You may be right. I'll have to find one. - Anika
This is awesome! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart
OMG!!! - Katy S
This is my favorite - Rodfather
Bump - Rodfather
Mark Trapp
YouTube ain't gonna break my stride, Downfall — FriendFeed's back, on Vimeo: - http://vimeo.com/11090202
YouTube ain't gonna break my stride, Downfall — FriendFeed's back, on Vimeo:
Play
Hitler's not happy about being blocked on YouTube, so he's moved to Vimeo. And he's *still* mad about the FriendFeed acquisition by Facebook! - Mark Trapp from Bookmarklet
Looks like Vimeo took it down, too. - Spidra Webster
They took it down, but I have it in writing that they know it's a parodic work I created (they initially took it down because someone reported it as something I found on the internet) and that it should not be taken down in the future. I guess they never reinstated it? I suppose I could just reupload it: probably should just self host it at this point. - Mark Trapp
WarLord
The racist uproar over Coke's America the Beautiful ad is why the Republicans can never agree to any form of immigration reform other than a big fence and men with guns #whywecantetcetc
Johnny
Tilley and I are quietly judging the new Superman/Batman casting http://t.co/4QX3c8FhIT
Tilley and I are quietly judging the new Superman/Batman casting http://t.co/4QX3c8FhIT
Tilley seems to be feeling much better. - Betsy
Derrick
Adding Delaware and Pennsylvania to my list of new-to-me states.
Like, you had never heard of them? ;) - Steele Lawman
Yes. :) - Derrick from iPhone
are you at ALA Midwinter, then? - Steele Lawman
Yes, or rather I will be. Headed there now. - Derrick from iPhone
They totally didn't exist before Derrick visited them. *nods* - RepoRat
we call Pennsylvania the road-kill state. - Stephan!e•CogSc!L!brar!an
C'mon. Philadelphia cream cheese, yo. - Laura Norvig
When will you be in PA Derrick? - Janet
NOW YOU ARE DEL-AWARE!!!! (Stolen from Conan O'Brien. Of course.) - Zamms
I'll be there daily and commuting from Delaware through Sunday for the conference. Heading back to DC on Monday. - Derrick from iPhone
You'll have to check out the eastern shore of MD and the DE beaches when it's warmer. Lots of fun places to visit. I'm actually working on a trip back east for late spring so maybe we can do a mini road trip to the beach! - Corinne L
Stephen Mack
PowerPoint: “I heard you liked hidden things, so I hid the hide menu afforandance” - http://www.zeigen.com/blog...
[Image of the right-click menu in PowerPoint, with a very subtle indicator that a slide is hidden
(Alternate theory not presented in my blog post: It's possible that it's not subtle at all, and that my eyes are just getting worse.) - Stephen Mack
It might only be because you've pointed out the hidden slide in your post, but it does look substantially desaturated (particularly the blue footer) when compared to the other, non-hidden slide. Given no other cues, I think I might mistake that for being selected, though. - Mark Trapp
Mark, good point. But the gray text was noticeable to me -- and I even thought it might mean it was hidden. I just was thrown off because the right click menu affordance wasn't what I expected. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Yeah, that is pretty wacky, especially considering none of the other icons in the menu act as a toggle indicator. - Mark Trapp
I call the right-click menu a contextual menu. I've never heard the phrase "menu accordance" before. I learned something today! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Zu: well, it is a context menu. Affordance is more the way how you know something operates: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Stephen Mack from iPhone
There was an ancient Robert Scoble post here on FF attacking Kevin Fox because of (Robert's claim of) broken affordances. He used the word affordance 20 times. Someone's comment (maybe Akiva?) was "Guess who just learned a new word!" Ironically, though, that WAS where I learned this word. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
That post went beyond attacking, I thought. Very nasty. I unfollowed Scoble wherever I was following him because of that. - Jim: with more caffeine!
Thread's still here, but not the comment I was thinking of: http://friendfeed.com/scoblei... - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Jim, you're right, it was nasty and still is. I don't miss the R.Scoble-type acolyes in that thread who did little other than complain about FF. - Stephen Mack
Oh! Zu, I forgot to tell you something! I typed "Zy" by accident on my phone when I was making an earlier comment, and it got auto-corrected to Zu! MY PHONE KNOWS YOU. - Stephen Mack
Every phone should know my name! I don't remember that thread but I promise I won't say affordance 20 times. - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Damn that thread is long! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Zu, yeah, FF was a bit exhausting sometimes back in the day. - Stephen Mack
One of my co-workers pointed out another affordance: The slide number has a diagonal line through it to show the slide is hidden. Who knew? - Stephen Mack
Stephen, you're not going crazy. If I remember correctly, back in previous versions if you right clicked on a hidden slide, it would say "Unhide Slide". Which makes sense. This? Not so much. - Jonathan Disher
Andrew C (✔)
Deep Bore Tunnel ongoing disaster update, or why no new transportation megaprojects should ever be designed for cars only, in one chart - Lawyers, Guns & Money : Lawyers, Guns & Money - http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2014...
"I was a bit surprised to get some pushback on the notion that deep bore tunnel project in Seattle was a terrible idea in my previous post on the subject. I think I can see where it comes from psychologically-the viaduct, while ugly and extremely unsafe in an area of seismic activity, is an very efficient and useful piece of infrastructure. Seattle traffic is pretty bad, and the idea of taking something so big and important out of the picture without replacing it with something that's also big and important is understandably alarming." - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"but the tunnel was the worst option from a strict cost/benefit analysis of all the possibilities for what should be a profoundly obvious reason: a majority of current viaduct users use it to get in or out of downtown, not to get through it quickly, and the tunnel is too deep to include any downtown exits. Astonishingly, they decided to knowingly replace an important piece of infrastructure with the one option that had no utility for a majority of users of the viaduct." - Andrew C (✔)
"The USDOT has been overestimating future vehicle miles traveled for a long time now. And this trend is continuing: they overestimated 2013 vehicle miles traveled by 11%. In 2012. WSDOT is not appreciably different than USDOT on this issue; their long-range forecasts for 2008 ended up overestimating VMT by well over standard deviation (see pg 9 here) but despite that error, their 2010... more... - Andrew C (✔)
Victor Ganata
It's really amazing how much mucus can come out of someone's head.
Yeah, aside from death and taxes it seems to be another thing that's inevitable. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I KNOW! - MoTO: Team Marina from Android
if I weren't drowning in my own mucus, I'd lol. - Stephan!e•CogSc!L!brar!an
I am always amazed by just how big a baby's boogers can be. HOW CAN THEY BREATHE?! - Melly - #TeamMarina
holly #ravingfangirl
My night beats yours.
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Even sideways. - holly #ravingfangirl from iPhone
Jealous! - Stephen Mack from iPhone
HOW HAVE I NEVER MET THAT MAN? AAARGH SO WRONG. - jambina
I hope y'all are having fun! - Katy S
Well, yes. It does. - laura x from iPhone
What jambina said -- and he lives right across town from me. - Julian
MY MAIN MAN, DERRICK BABBIT. - Akiva
THOSE CHEEKS! Love you, D! - Signs Point to LB from Android
Holly's camera, go home you're drunk. - ♫Robot Chicken, Trainer♫ from FFHound!
Well, yes. Yes it does. - Jim: with more caffeine!
Laura x owes me a beer! - Jim: with more caffeine!
No, Jim, you owe ME a beer. Or we both owe each other one. - laura x from iPhone
LOL, OH HAI. - Derrick
GAH! It is almost worth becoming a librarian to hang around with you people, - Friar Will
Hanging out with cool people is why I became a librarian. - Zamms
Victor Ganata
On my evening walk around the hood, I saw two houses with their Christmas lights still up #stalwarts #CandlemasOrBust
We tell each other Merry Christmas whenever we see this. :D - Alix May
We dismantled our tree tonight (although we haven't had the lights on in weeks). - Signs Point to LB from Android
I was bummed ours came down so soon but the consolation prize is the xmas lights on my mom's hibiscus in case we get any frost nights (fat chance). - Spidra Webster
Spidra Webster
Bill would require paid sick leave | John and Ken - http://www.kfiam640.com/pages...
Bill would require paid sick leave | John and Ken
"According to the UT San Diego, Assemblywoman Lorena Gonzales has introduced AB 1522, legislation that would mandate all businesses in California to provide paid sick time off for its employees. The business community is strongly opposed to the new measure as it would drive up costs and maybe keep them from hiring more employees. Here are some of the major provisions of AB 1522: • Employees could earn up to 24 hours of leave a year. • Employees working in California for seven or more days per year are eligible. • Sick leave would be accrued at one hour for every 30 hours worked. • Sick days could be used to care for an ill family member or for leave related to domestic violence or sexual assault. • Employees covered by collective bargaining are exempt. • A share of the sick leave may be carried over into the next year, overruling some “use it or lose it” company policies. • Employers would not be required to pay for accumulated sick leave when a worker leaves the company. Read more at the UT San Diego" - Spidra Webster from Bookmarklet
Laura Norvig
If someone leaves a message on your work voice mail, but doesn't bother to say what it's about, do you even bother to call them back? *can't be bothered*.
Depends on who it is? - Katy S
Nobody I've ever heard of. And I get various old 800 numbers forwarded to me so I'm pretty sure it's about a project we aren't funded for any more. - Laura Norvig
It's just weird. When I leave someone a voice mail, I state the general nature of why I called. I don't just say, "This is Laura, call me at 123456." - Laura Norvig
That's how we were trained to use voice mail in 1989: leave an actual message. My father used to drive me crazy with urgent call-me messages that turned out to be about an article he'd read. Come to think of it, even after the innanet came along, he never learned to send me links ... - Mary B: #TeamMonique
With all the privacy laws now, detailed messages are not allowed from our facilities. I may state my name and location but not much more. - Janet from FFHound!
I don't even check my work voicemail - COMPLICATED MR. NOODLE from YouFeed
Anne Bouey
If you watch American Horror Story tonight, you'll see my daughter Kristin (Andi) Norris as Emma Roberts' stunt double. :)
Awesome! - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Really? That's cool! - Soup in a TARDIS
That's pretty neat! :) - Jenny H. from Android
Sweet! She's so awesome. - joey
Well, that was painful to watch her being tossed around! - Anne Bouey
I watched it via Amazon Video tonight - that scene was intense. Does your daughter often do stunt double work for Emma? - Corinne L
Wow Anne! - Janet from FFHound!
Corrine, that was her first time. - Anne Bouey
Victor Ganata
How easy would it be for an Evil Genius to successfully con a bunch of rich old dudes into believing he really perfected the Singularity and get them to effectively turn over their wealth to him? But instead of actual uploads living in the Cloud, they're really just high-fidelity bots good enough to fool their relatives and the courts.
Are you asking for a friend? :) - Eivind
Yeah…. For a friend. :D - Victor Ganata
It worked for the Buddhists :) http://books.google.ca/books... - Ken Morley
Andrew C (✔)
I actually don't "play hard". We're talking about personal time, right? I'm happy to relax. Goodness, slow down for a minute.
Chris Topher
It amazes me that people blame the government/the President when they lose insurance due to the ACA. They should be blaming the businesses who drop people for having a shitty business model.
Victor Ganata
I think this is what they really mean when they say it's a trust economy. It's not some bullshit thing like a Klout score or something. It means that the only way you can get people to believe you is if they trust you, and it's no longer enough to just assert the privileges you think should be accorded to your stature. You have to earn trust.
One problem arises when people trust someone for the wrong reasons. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Yeah, but blind faith in experts hardly alleviates that problem. - Victor Ganata
Yeah, that's still the same problem, heh. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Andrew C (✔)
RT @stephenking: Memo to Justin Bieber: For the young celeb, life is a banquet of free food. What they don't tell you is that you are often the last course.
Andrew C (✔)
I got one of my nicer pens in a mass layoff: "sign this form." It's a nice pen. Still, if it were up to me, I woulda chosen the job.
Andrew C (✔)
"So much for global warming, huh?" "*sigh* This used to happen all the time." - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
Wow, that graph. I remember all those winters - the mild ones in 1980 and '83, the brutal ones in '77 (senior year of HS), '78 (freshman year in college, but we had the Blizzard in Providence), and '82, with its own blizzard. And I hope the future - where ice in STL is rare - comes pretty soon. I'm getting spoiled out here! - Mary B: #TeamMonique
Victor Ganata
When you think about it, regime change via national election is probably a lot more pleasant than regime change by assassination and factional warfare. Probably keeps things a lot more stable, too.
Yeah, but think of the film makers... - Pete : Team Marina
National elections involve less bloodshed but more whinging. - John (bird whisperer)
"It was a time of peace. It was a time of structured debate in a multicameral assembly. It was a time of orderly transition. In theaters soon... Pundits of the Plains" - Pete : Team Marina
I still can't get over the "Democracy is bad for you" argument. To paraphrase Churchill, it might be bad, but things could be a lot worse. - Victor Ganata
Like, I think I'd take politicians and pundits and partisans screaming at and saying mean things to each other over roving bands of trained killers massacring everyone who isn't on their side. - Victor Ganata
Worst. Reboot. Of Mad Max. Ever. - Pete : Team Marina
Two men enter. Two men leave with a negotiated agreement. :) - Victor Ganata
All we wanted was beneath the capitol dome. - Pete : Team Marina
We don't need another Nero - WoH: Professor MOTHRA
Hah! - Victor Ganata
Higlet wins :) - Pete : Team Marina
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