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Victor Ganata
(1) "Never attribute to malice that which can be attributed to incompetence." (2) "Any sufficiently advanced form of incompetence is indistinguishable from malice."
I guess, thinking about it in a Darwinian framework, the more adaptive strategy is to assume it's malice until proven otherwise, though. - Victor Ganata
Otto and Igor enjoying their freedom, roaming around the tennis court
I can't believe how big Igor is already - Soup in a TARDIS
I know! He's a big booger. - Jed from iPhone
Igor is cool. John Michael Ake - John Michael Ake
Victor Ganata
Professor Asks Idaho Lawmakers For The Green Light To Shoot A Student - TPM
"I assume that if a student shoots first, I am allowed to empty my clip; but given the velocity of firearms, and my aging reflexes, I’d like to be proactive. For example, if I am working out a long equation on the board and several students try to correct me using their laser sights, am I allowed to fire a warning shot?" - Victor Ganata
Preventive Standing Your Ground. I think it works. The Bush Doctrine lives on! - Victor Ganata
The Ultimate Photography Cheat Sheet Every Photography Lover Needs -
The Ultimate Photography Cheat Sheet Every Photography Lover Needs
More like a compilation of every available photography cheat sheet available on the Interwebs. - rönin
Victor Ganata
Just imagine. Before the FDIC, what happened to Mt. Gox used to happen to banks in the U.S. all the time.
Victor Ganata
So basically no one knows what caused the radiation accident in New Mexico earlier this month and apparently it's still way too hot to even try and investigate - 13 Workers Exposed To Radiation At N.M. Nuclear Waste Dump
Is it messed up that my brain decided to start playing that Imagine Dragons song while listening to this story? - Victor Ganata
Victor Ganata
The flipside is that you can't just say "that's biased" and ignore the science. Most science is biased in one way or another. The authors I tend to trust are the ones that are self-aware enough to actually pinpoint how they might be biased. You actually have to look at the science.
Although "their biases lead them to unwarranted assumptions/unwarranted conclusions" may be a perfectly reasonable line of argument as to why someone's paper is utter crap…. - Victor Ganata
You can say that you can't say that, but people will and they do. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
The fact that we're having this debate about a real humanitarian crisis means that some people will ignore anything so they don't have to pay more for stuff or whatever reason they have for ignoring this sort of thing. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Well, you can do whatever you like, but if you're acting in bad faith, then no one has to listen to you, ever. - Victor Ganata from iPhone
That is certainly true. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
In other words, when someone ignores the science, there's no point in continuing the conversation. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I never knew that the co founder of real climate was the editor of climate topics on Wikipedia did you ? How many resignations does it take to form a consensus ? Curious minds want to know. - Eric Logan
As far as science is concerned, consensus isn't really that important. Data > opinion. - Victor Ganata from iPhone
That is correct consensus is not at all important it's often wrong, so why then is consensus such an important part of this debate? - Eric Logan
Consensus is about political action. But the days of the renegade scientist are over. All the major scientific advances in the last century or so have progressed through consensus. Most contrarians end up getting revealed as cranks and frauds. - Victor Ganata
If these guys really had something, people would assimilate it and build upon it, and consensus would readily shift. There's no conspiracy keeping these guys down. They're just not convincing. - Victor Ganata
That's a fair assessment. 130 years of good records is not a very long time frame and things can change figuring out what is Anthropogenic and what is Natural variation is complex. At least we both agree that consensus is really about policy not science. - Eric Logan
Well, I think there's a bit more data than that, but the fact is that some guys have a (meta)model, and the other guys really don't, they just have ideological objections. Ergo, guess where the research is going to go? - Victor Ganata
If James Cromwell and Terrence Stamp had a baby.
Hah! - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
HA!! - AJ Batac
Computing....96% match - Mo Kargas
L to the OL - Spidra Webster
Awesome! - David Cook
Dang, Rod...did that come to you in a dream? - Josh Haley
Haha. It can't be unseen now. - Rodfather
Hey you two, "BOW before Cromwell-Zod!" - Micah
Brilliant! - Anika
Wow! - Martha
Almost forgot about this. - Rodfather
So did I. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
Haha my bad - Rodfather
That is uncanny. - CarlC
Throw in a 'valley' and you're all the way there. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
Did someone mention James Cromwell? - Rodfather from iPhone
Omg I forgot about this. Lol. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
This is perfect. - MoTO: #TeamMarina
Now we have to get Micah to pose in a General Zod jump suit. - MoTO: #TeamMarina
I imagine Micah already has the suit which he uses as pajamas - Mo Kargas
Doesn't everyone have a static-shielded jumpsuit? - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
I want to Like this post again. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Next week this post will be 3 years old. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
Stephen- I liked it for you. =) - Yvonne Renee from FFHound!
LOVE!! And so perfect! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Victor Ganata
Citing a review paper is a lot like citing a Wikipedia article. The paper might be illuminating to the wholly ignorant, but it ain't definitive proof of anything.
At least most people can read a wikipedia article. :D - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Victor Ganata
I gotta admit, this religion whose adherents have a deep, abiding faith in the idea that every human problem has some kind of technological solution is kind of disturbing.
I am kind of disappointed that WWI, WWII, and the Cold War didn't totally invalidate rationalism/positivism. - Victor Ganata
Weeeeeeelll... - Pete
I'm pretty sure that just like we can't know everything, we can't solve all of our problems either, with or without technology. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
The thing is, events like that are easily dismissed as irrational aberrations. - John (bird whisperer)
We just weren't applying rationalism/positivism hard enough/correctly enough, I guess. - Victor Ganata
We might have a better shot though, once we've actually figured out how to fix stupid. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
It's not the stupid per se that I'm actually worried about. The problem is the stupid that thinks it's very, very smart—smarter than everybody, in fact. - Victor Ganata
My 4th grade teacher loved the saying "to truly be stupid, one must first be smart." - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Changing humans is hard, changing technology is easy. - Todd Hoff
I'm concerned that the stupid that thinks it's the smartest person in the room makes up a substantial proportion of the total stupid. - Mary B: #TeamMonique
Andrew C (✔)
Asking why the entire plane isn't made of the black box stuff is like asking why people aren't made entirely of teeth.
LOL, the first thought that entered my mind was, "Well, you know, I think it would actually be more feasible for a sapient organism to have a calcium pyrophosphate exoskeleton than it would be for someone to build a plane out of black box stuff that could actually fly…." - Victor Ganata
D'oh. I did struggle with what the optimal noun would be for the punchline. "Brains"? "Blood"? - Andrew C (✔)
Nah, teeth is good. There's no point in trying to anticipate the overthinkers :D - Victor Ganata
holly #ravingfangirl
Andrew C (✔)
What has global warming done since 1998? -
What has global warming done since 1998?
"To claim global warming stopped in 1998 overlooks one simple physical reality - the land and atmosphere are just a small fraction of the Earth's climate (albeit the part we inhabit). The entire planet is accumulating heat due to an energy imbalance. The atmosphere is warming. Oceans are accumulating energy. Land absorbs energy and ice absorbs heat to melt. To get the full picture on global warming, you need to view the Earth's entire heat content." - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
Wooo, check out that hiatus! - Andrew C (✔)
Andrew C (✔)
The Weekly Standard's Lindzen puff piece exemplifies the conservative media's climate failures | Dana Nuccitelli -
The Weekly Standard's Lindzen puff piece exemplifies the conservative media's climate failures | Dana Nuccitelli
"Between mainstream climate scientists like Hansen and contrarian climate scientists like Lindzen, it's clear who has the better track record in making accurate climate predictions. Lindzen has made a career of being wrong about climate science," - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"Lindzen would have us believe that tens of thousands of climate scientists around the world are all tossing their ethics aside and falsifying data in order to keep the research money flowing, even though contrarian climate scientists like Lindzen have had no trouble obtaining government research grants. Is this more plausible than the alternative explanation that 97 percent of climate research is correct, and Lindzen, whose claims have consistently been disproved by observational data, is wrong?" - Andrew C (✔)
Victor Ganata
Just because it's published in a journal doesn't mean that it's an actual experiment or observational study. Just because it has a DOI link doesn't mean it's science.
Andrew C (✔)
Lindzen Illusion #7: The Anti-Galileo -
"So his combination of expertise and "skepticism" make Lindzen an appealing figure to "skeptics". He's even been compared to Galileo quite frequently. But there's one major difference between Galileo and Lindzen: Galileo was right." - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"So Lindzen does present a mostly coherent, consistent alternative hypothesis to the anthropogenic global warming theory. There's only one problem: as discussed above, every single one of these arguments is inconsistent with the observational evidence. You may have also noticed that every single one of Lindzen's positions have underestimated or downplayed anthropogenic global warming, which suggests they may be based on contrarianism rather than scientific evidence." - Andrew C (✔)
"With this history of being wrong, the comparisons to Galileo seem wholly inappropriate. There is of course nothing wrong with being occasionally mistaken in science. The problem arises when a scientist is consistently wrong and fails to learn from the corrections advanced by other scientists or by nature, especially when we're asked to believe that he is right and virtually every other scientific expert is wrong. " - Andrew C (✔)
Yeah, good luck convincing any climate change deniers with that site. :( - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I'm shocked that you think they wouldn't be convinced by objective facts... - Andrew C (✔)
Except that they can most likely rightly say that a site that's devoted solely to supporting climate change is probably not objective. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Just like I would, rightly in my opinion, say the same thing about most of the sites that they use. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
The site might not be "objective", but the factual claims they make (Lindzen is wrong about X, Y, and Z) either are or aren't true. - Andrew C (✔)
Steven Perez
Hey, Alex Scoble is here. Figures he'd show up when I'm busy at work.
I'm on Facebook a lot more to be sure. :D - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Victor Ganata
If you don't know the difference between a review article and an actual experiment, you're definitely not going to convince me that you understand science.
Off topic, but at this point, isn't the onus on deniers to back up their claims with a testable theory and experimental data to back it up? Am I wrong in thinking this? - Scoble, Alex Scoble
No, they don't. There are many ways to indicate studies or their results are flawed without coming up with a new hypothesis or go through the process of testing the hypothesis. - Jenny H. from Android
But Victor's original point is valid. Lit reviews aren't in the same arena as actual studies or experiments. Totally different beasts. - Jenny H. from Android
My tiny tangent: There is sooooooo much literature out there that it is difficult to capture all of it in a lit review. You might miss critical research in an area just by omitting a particular key word in your search. Add on top of that the bias of the person(s) writing the review. They might purposefully skew their review with cherry picked studies that back up their viewpoint without... more... - Jenny H. from Android
And how would you indicate that thousands of peer reviewed studies are flawed without actually doing your own study? - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I mean sure, you could say that Einstein's theory of relativity is wrong and here's why, but I don't think anyone will take you seriously without experimental data to back your claim up. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
And I'm not sure that you are really saying that if I say "evolution is the only scientific theory that can explain how life evolved on Earth" that I'm then on the hook for proving that statement. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Off the top of my head, you can demonstrate that (1) their data doesn't really say what they think it says (2) their methods were badly flawed (3) their assumptions were badly flawed (4) what they were actually studying has nothing to do with what they think they were studying (bad experiment, bad sample, etc.) There are a lot of ways to point out someone's study is bad that don't... more... - Victor Ganata
OK, but we aren't talking about "a study" we are talking about a high volume of scientific studies and evidence that all support the same theory. Surely, that isn't something that can be so easily dismissed as the ways you mentioned above. Climate Change and Evolution are two examples. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
The review would have to explain how or why the author(s) see them as flawed. No, you can't just write 'I don't agree with this study' and leave it at that. No one with reasonable intelligence would take them seriously unless they made some valid points about the flaws in methods, stats, overstating or misinterpreting their results, etc. - Jenny H. from Android
Also, even with as many studies as have been done on climate change, it is not a theory. Evolution is a theory because it has hundreds of years of research that support it. Climate change is a baby by comparison. I'm no denier, but you can't compare evolution and climate change side by side (or rather, you can't state that they have the same level of support or acceptance in the scientific community). - Jenny H. from Android
So what is climate change if it's not a theory? - Scoble, Alex Scoble
It depends on the level of precision you're on. Technically "climate change" is a conclusion from observational data, but I think most people use it as shorthand for the hypothesis that CO2 emissions due to humans burning fossil fuels is causing the observed increase in average global temperature. - Victor Ganata
A hypothesis in the process of being tested through modeling and experimentation. So far it looks good, but the data can change based on new observations. Jenny is right, though: the sample size of available data, and volume of concurring experimental results is likely not sufficient to elevate ACM to the evolution-level of "theory" - Bren - pseudo-Buddhist from iPhone
Fair enough. Thanks for the clarification. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
Victor Ganata
I never really thought about how much the history of Western Civilization has conditioned us all to believe that no one ever sailed across oceans until Europeans started doing it in the late 15th century.
Which makes no sense since Austronesians got as far west as Madagascar as early as the 2nd century BCE and as far east as Rapa Nui probably by the 4th century CE. - Victor Ganata
Not to mention that the Vikings were pretty proficient sailors as well. - John (bird whisperer)
Oh, I guess the history of Western Civ usually does usually give Erik the Red and Leif Ericson shout outs. But even that's like a good century after people were already routinely exploring the Pacific and Indian Oceans. - Victor Ganata
That's why the course is called "History of Western Civ". The problem lies in students thinking it's ALL of history. - m9m, Crone of FriendFeed
To be fair, it usually is taught as if it were all of history. - Victor Ganata
Well, it's taught as the "unlabelled history", rather than "asian history" or "african history" or something else. Which is just as marginalizing as "doctors" vs "female doctors" - DJF
Even "world history" courses are often pretty Euro-heavy. - John (bird whisperer)
Andrew C (✔)
"We're not so different, you and I," I said to my roommate, my identical twin.
Victor Ganata
Victor Ganata
That moment when your ideas are too batshit crazy even for Jan Brewer.
well, I think the possible loss of almost 1,000 high tech manufacturing jobs might have had something to do with it too. - DJF
I'm gonna go with money being more worth to her and the state than, y'know, human decency. - Derrick
Prospect of losing the Super Bowl? - Joe
I think the right kind of people spoke up. She didn't let the threat of losing jobs stop her from signing racist laws. Too bad those people will never care about laws that affect POC. - Anika from Android
Anika makes a good point. And as Joe hinted a lot of revenue is at stake. - MoTO: #TeamMarina
cheesesteak hat. go phillies!
marie is awesome! - holly #ravingfangirl
Now why don't I own a cheesesteak hat? - Anika
anika, you need a carne asada hat - Marie
LOL You may be right. I'll have to find one. - Anika
This is awesome! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart
OMG!!! - Katy S
This is my favorite - Rodfather
Bump - Rodfather
Mark Trapp
YouTube ain't gonna break my stride, Downfall — FriendFeed's back, on Vimeo: -
YouTube ain't gonna break my stride, Downfall — FriendFeed's back, on Vimeo:
Hitler's not happy about being blocked on YouTube, so he's moved to Vimeo. And he's *still* mad about the FriendFeed acquisition by Facebook! - Mark Trapp from Bookmarklet
Looks like Vimeo took it down, too. - Spidra Webster
They took it down, but I have it in writing that they know it's a parodic work I created (they initially took it down because someone reported it as something I found on the internet) and that it should not be taken down in the future. I guess they never reinstated it? I suppose I could just reupload it: probably should just self host it at this point. - Mark Trapp
The racist uproar over Coke's America the Beautiful ad is why the Republicans can never agree to any form of immigration reform other than a big fence and men with guns #whywecantetcetc
Tilley and I are quietly judging the new Superman/Batman casting
Tilley and I are quietly judging the new Superman/Batman casting
Tilley seems to be feeling much better. - bentley
Adding Delaware and Pennsylvania to my list of new-to-me states.
Like, you had never heard of them? ;) - Steele Lawman
Yes. :) - Derrick from iPhone
are you at ALA Midwinter, then? - Steele Lawman
Yes, or rather I will be. Headed there now. - Derrick from iPhone
They totally didn't exist before Derrick visited them. *nods* - RepoRat
we call Pennsylvania the road-kill state. - Stephan!e•CogSc!L!brar!an
C'mon. Philadelphia cream cheese, yo. - Laura Norvig
When will you be in PA Derrick? - Janet
NOW YOU ARE DEL-AWARE!!!! (Stolen from Conan O'Brien. Of course.) - Zamms
I'll be there daily and commuting from Delaware through Sunday for the conference. Heading back to DC on Monday. - Derrick from iPhone
You'll have to check out the eastern shore of MD and the DE beaches when it's warmer. Lots of fun places to visit. I'm actually working on a trip back east for late spring so maybe we can do a mini road trip to the beach! - Corinne L
Stephen Mack
PowerPoint: “I heard you liked hidden things, so I hid the hide menu afforandance” -
[Image of the right-click menu in PowerPoint, with a very subtle indicator that a slide is hidden
(Alternate theory not presented in my blog post: It's possible that it's not subtle at all, and that my eyes are just getting worse.) - Stephen Mack
It might only be because you've pointed out the hidden slide in your post, but it does look substantially desaturated (particularly the blue footer) when compared to the other, non-hidden slide. Given no other cues, I think I might mistake that for being selected, though. - Mark Trapp
Mark, good point. But the gray text was noticeable to me -- and I even thought it might mean it was hidden. I just was thrown off because the right click menu affordance wasn't what I expected. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Yeah, that is pretty wacky, especially considering none of the other icons in the menu act as a toggle indicator. - Mark Trapp
I call the right-click menu a contextual menu. I've never heard the phrase "menu accordance" before. I learned something today! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Zu: well, it is a context menu. Affordance is more the way how you know something operates: - Stephen Mack from iPhone
There was an ancient Robert Scoble post here on FF attacking Kevin Fox because of (Robert's claim of) broken affordances. He used the word affordance 20 times. Someone's comment (maybe Akiva?) was "Guess who just learned a new word!" Ironically, though, that WAS where I learned this word. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
That post went beyond attacking, I thought. Very nasty. I unfollowed Scoble wherever I was following him because of that. - Jim: meatvalve.
Thread's still here, but not the comment I was thinking of: - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Jim, you're right, it was nasty and still is. I don't miss the R.Scoble-type acolyes in that thread who did little other than complain about FF. - Stephen Mack
Oh! Zu, I forgot to tell you something! I typed "Zy" by accident on my phone when I was making an earlier comment, and it got auto-corrected to Zu! MY PHONE KNOWS YOU. - Stephen Mack
Every phone should know my name! I don't remember that thread but I promise I won't say affordance 20 times. - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Damn that thread is long! - Zulema ❧ spicy cocoa tart from Android
Zu, yeah, FF was a bit exhausting sometimes back in the day. - Stephen Mack
One of my co-workers pointed out another affordance: The slide number has a diagonal line through it to show the slide is hidden. Who knew? - Stephen Mack
Stephen, you're not going crazy. If I remember correctly, back in previous versions if you right clicked on a hidden slide, it would say "Unhide Slide". Which makes sense. This? Not so much. - Jonathan Disher
Andrew C (✔)
Deep Bore Tunnel ongoing disaster update, or why no new transportation megaprojects should ever be designed for cars only, in one chart - Lawyers, Guns & Money : Lawyers, Guns & Money -
"I was a bit surprised to get some pushback on the notion that deep bore tunnel project in Seattle was a terrible idea in my previous post on the subject. I think I can see where it comes from psychologically-the viaduct, while ugly and extremely unsafe in an area of seismic activity, is an very efficient and useful piece of infrastructure. Seattle traffic is pretty bad, and the idea of taking something so big and important out of the picture without replacing it with something that's also big and important is understandably alarming." - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"but the tunnel was the worst option from a strict cost/benefit analysis of all the possibilities for what should be a profoundly obvious reason: a majority of current viaduct users use it to get in or out of downtown, not to get through it quickly, and the tunnel is too deep to include any downtown exits. Astonishingly, they decided to knowingly replace an important piece of infrastructure with the one option that had no utility for a majority of users of the viaduct." - Andrew C (✔)
"The USDOT has been overestimating future vehicle miles traveled for a long time now. And this trend is continuing: they overestimated 2013 vehicle miles traveled by 11%. In 2012. WSDOT is not appreciably different than USDOT on this issue; their long-range forecasts for 2008 ended up overestimating VMT by well over standard deviation (see pg 9 here) but despite that error, their 2010... more... - Andrew C (✔)
Victor Ganata
It's really amazing how much mucus can come out of someone's head.
Yeah, aside from death and taxes it seems to be another thing that's inevitable. - Scoble, Alex Scoble
I KNOW! - MoTO: #TeamMarina from Android
if I weren't drowning in my own mucus, I'd lol. - Stephan!e•CogSc!L!brar!an
Truth. - Jim: meatvalve.
I am always amazed by just how big a baby's boogers can be. HOW CAN THEY BREATHE?! - Melly Claus
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