"So in four out of the last five elections, an average of June polls would have incorrectly picked the winner of the popular vote. That's kind of a problem for anybody who is overly confident about how this election is going to turn out."
- Bret Taylor
I'm willing to bet that fivethirtyeight will be among the most linked to sites on FF over the next 6 months. The right combination of topical and geeky.
- DeWitt Clinton
Great, so just reverse the June results, and you have 80% accuracy!
- ⓞnor
Love the projections and graphs on FiveThirtyEight.com.
- Mike Reynolds
Nice to know I'm in state No. 2 (I think :)
- Charlie Anzman
The wife John McCain callously left behind. Ross Perot: "After he came home, he threw her over for a poster girl with big money from Arizona." - http://www.reddit.com/goto...
Big deal. Maybe he's a bad husband and an opportunist. How much does this impact his ability to be president? I'm still not going to vote for him, but I'll stick to how I think he's going to behave and govern in office.
- Robert Konigsberg
@Robert Its sort of a big deal because I know certain fundamentalists are voting for McCain because he's "more moral."
- EricaJoy
But what if he abandons the US for a younger country? More seriously, do you think that any part of a candidate's personal life is relevant? Are the personality traits that affect their personal decisions completely separate from those that affect their professional decisions?
- Paul Buchheit
@Erica, *sigh* yeah I know. I guess I mean it doesn't mean anything to me insofar as his viability as a candidate. I find the tales of the way Newt Gingrich separated from his wife much more nefarious. What worries me more about McCain is his temper, something I just read about. I think _that_ is relevant. Also it's cute that we're using @ even though they're not our account ids.
- Robert Konigsberg
@Paul I think that's the kind of question one can find the answer to by looking at oneself. I presume, however, that the majority of presidential candidates have some off-the chart personality traits that might make easier or harder their ability to separate the two sides of their life. This is the long way of saying that I have a good gut feeling about it, but can be wrong, which is the long way of saying "Yes and No."
- Robert Konigsberg
'Like' Paul's comment. Which country would McCain abandon the US for? Which country is younger, sexier, and wealthier? How do we know he's not already carousing with other countries?
- April Buchheit
Possibly the reunited Germany. It's 18 years old, and probably has bigger boobs.
- Robert Konigsberg
@Robert speaking in historical proportions it is US which is 18 :) German politicians go switch Russia, or more precise, Gasprom... I think corporations came to shift and takeover from governments, at least gradually - we just pretend to ignore that capitalism practically everywhere substituted feudalism.
- A.T.
@Robert Konigsberg Being a bad husband wouldn't change his ability to be president, but being an opportunist does. Opportunism in politics is something pretty bad and one of the very thing that need to be fought in any democracy.
- sebmos
@Sebmos, I just feel like in a matter like this I do not know all the facts, and am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. The article really does not talk at all about the wife's foibles, and so I am left to be content with half the story.
- Robert Konigsberg
Who's surprised. Look at the man. There is probably a lot of skeletons banging around in that closet.
- Stephan Miller
"But it's how food is produced, not how far it is transported, that matters most for global warming, according to new research published in ES&T (DOI: 10.1021/es702969f). In fact, eating less red meat and dairy can be a more effective way to lower an average U.S. household's food-related climate footprint than buying local food, says lead author Christopher Weber of Carnegie Mellon University... Weber and colleague Scott Matthews, also of Carnegie Mellon, conducted a life-cycle assessment of greenhouse gases emitted during all stages of growing and transporting food consumed in the U.S. They found that transportation creates only 11% of the 8.1 metric tons (t) of greenhouse gases (in CO2 equivalents) that an average U.S. household generates annually as a result of food consumption. The agricultural and industrial practices that go into growing and harvesting food are responsible for most (83%) of its greenhouse gas emissions."
- Bret Taylor
Good thing that global warming isn't the only reason to buy locally, then, isn't it?
- Brent Newhall
I'm more excited about local food from a taste, nutrition, and general sustainability point of view than from a carbon point of view. I think simple global externalities like CO2 should be taxed; complicated local externalities like soil depletion and chemical runoff can be improved by encouraging local consumption. I wonder if locavores would support interstate tariffs on food.
- ⓞnor
been a vegetarian for over 25 yrs myself, and have always tried to buy local (and organic when possible) from a health, freshness and taste perspective - that length of time and distance traveled effects the latter two but also the fuel utilized is of course a concern - if you've ever been to a ranch, slaughter house or dairy farm its easy to see the impact it takes to sustain those sorts of facilities - most of this stuff is just common sense, not preach'n just say'n :)
- mike "glemak" dunn
One of the best things about living in Taiwan is that it's fairly compact-get to eat many varieties of delicious fresh veggies within hours of being picked. US size scale is quite daunting on this point. Preach away @mikedunn :D
- Mark Forman