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# my personal global warming predictions for the coming years and decades
1. warmer temperatures worldwide 2. melting Arctic ice 3. melting glaciers 4. rising sea levels 5. more beach erosion 6. more disruptions of normal weather patterns 7. more climate chaos 8. more radical fluctuations in temperature 9. more rain and snow in some areas 10. more drought in some areas 11. more extreme weather events 12. more powerful blizzards 13. more powerful hurricanes 14. more powerful tsunamis 15. more powerful tornados 16. more wildfires - Sean McBride
A no-brainer -- just scan the reputable scientific literature. - Sean McBride
And the consequences: intensifying stress on food and resources and increasingly intense national, regional, ethnic and religious conflicts and wars. - Sean McBride
Trying to predict specific weather conditions in specific places and at specific times beyond the range of a few months -- forget about it. - Sean McBride
Worst-case prediction: we succeed in wiping out all life on Earth through sheer greed and stupidity. - Sean McBride
Crazy Is as Crazy Does. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
1. The Patriot Post is not Scientific American, Nature or National Geographic. 2. Joe Bastardi is not a reputable climate scientist. 3. "Physicist Richard A. Muller says Bastardi's explanation of CO2 is "completely wrong" and "even skeptics of global warming, if they know physics, would disagree with him."" - Sean McBride
Eric -- do you disagree with my predictions above -- in what way -- how, specifically? - Sean McBride
Joe Bastardi has a proven track record of weather prediction that makes your sources appear like the amateur propagandists that they are. His product gets sold to companies that use it to make investment decisions. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
The Arctic sea ice death spiral death spiral is now exactly where it was in 2004 after a precipitous decline in 2012. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
I have already offered on numerous occasions a very public decade temperature bet. You decline to accept that offer, but you claim this was the hottest year ever. GISS was left out as one of the datasets on purpose and the offer still stands. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
I will let your go to website explain it to you. Since you use it so often I assume you consider them reputable. And despite their protestations about the start point it really should not matter based on the models that you also use as a source for most of the articles that include projections. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
The world's leading scientific publications and climate scientists are "amateur propagandists"? And The Patriot Post is a reputable scientific publication? You've got everything turned upside down. - Sean McBride
Joe Bastardi is a meteorologist that runs a company called weather bell it's private not government funded and more accurate he wrote the post. That blog picked it up. I can show you 50 instances where the GISS hottest year ever story was picked up by the AP and includes pictures of polar bears and mentions shrinking arctic ice despite it being erroneous for this year. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
I know who Joe Bastardi is -- anyone can quickly get a handle on him with Google: [Google; joe bastardi] He is not a reputable climate scientist or authority on global warming. - Sean McBride
The quintessential Bastardi: [Bill Nye, Joe Bastardi Debate Global Warming On The O'Reilly Factor (VIDEO)] - Sean McBride
Fox News "science" -- Tea Party "science." - Sean McBride
He sells a product in the private sector that people continue to pay for because it's accurate. Ad hominem attacks don't make his forecasts any less accurate they just prove that you don't actually no much about who and who is not making accurate predictions. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Meteorologists views about Global Warming. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
After all the back and forth on this, you still don't understand the difference between weather and climate. Predictions concerning short-term local weather and long-term global climate are two very different propositions. - Sean McBride
NCDC also makes weather predictions Sean they have been spectacularly and demonstrably wrong. Joe Bastardi is a much better WEATHER forecaster and so far he is right on the climate predictions too. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
It reads just like Joe Bastardi weather bell site except it's taxpayer funded. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Warmest August on Record, Global Warming Continues – Greg Laden's Blog -
"According to data just updated by NASA, last August was the warmest August for the entire instrumental data record, which begins in 1881. This has been something of a mixed year but overall warm. Of the 134 years for which there are data, the coolest month this year so far was February, at 17th place, with July also being cool, at 11th place. Keep in mind this is over 134 years. For the months of January through August, there are no one-digit ranks (1 through 8) prior to 1989, inclusively, and you don’t really start getting consistent “top ten” ranks until 1998." - Sean McBride from Bookmarklet
Hahahaha now who has to use obscure blogs ? Global August 2014 Report: - Eric Logan
This story is all over the Internet: [Google News; global warming august 2014] - Sean McBride
I don't care where it's reported. The raw data says it's BS. RSS. - Eric Logan
Just out of curiosity which entry on your search parameter meets your previously stated criteria as reputable science publications. Think Progress ? You should just take Greg's word for it source watcher. LMAO. Greg Laden is a biological anthropologist and science communicator. His research has covered North American prehistoric and historic archaeology and African archaeology and human ecology. He is an OpenSource and OpenAccess advocate. - Eric Logan
This new story (it's less than a few hours old) has been reported so far in Huffington Post, Seattle Weekly, Climate Central, AccuWeather and Think Progress. I took a quick glance at reader comments for informed pushback -- haven't noticed any yet. I am waiting to see how the leading scientific publications cover it over the next few days and weeks. - Sean McBride
Give it a few years till they homogenize historical raw data. ;) - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Haha. Gavin Schmidt has picked up the baton for James Hansen. He took 12 days longer than everyone else and runs counter to the others, but there you have it. GISS - Eric Logan
# Eric Logan quotes on climate science 1. Hahahaha 2. LMAO 3. Haha - Sean McBride
Meanwhile, the latest reporting on this story: - Sean McBride
It's just as funny today as it was yesterday and it's a full 1/2 degree higher than any other data set. your trusted sources method are still conspicuously absent. "This result is apparently at odds with satellite measurements of the global tropospheric temperature calculated by the University of Alabama in Huntsville and by US firm remote Sensing Systems. Both these data sets showed... more... - Eric Logan
The divergence between the data sets is larger than the observed warming during the satellite era "pre pause" in other words the 1979-98 average. Truly laughable. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Enrique está perdido en la niebla. - Sean McBride
Sean, creo que hemos jugado a este juego antes. - Eric Logan
Also Sean it's a moot point because today @climateofgavin just adjusted it down on GISS so that August 2014 is no longer the hottest even according to NASA. Pure comedy. It's + .68 anomaly today. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Still looking for informed pushback on this story: - Sean McBride
Where are your reputable science links ? Mission accomplished. The echo chamber repeats information like it's factual the facts are on this thread. The scientific pushback got @climateofgavin to adjust the GISS by .02 which was enough to make it the hottest August according to GISS for a day. It's still .49 divergence from the other data sets. Winter is coming and it's an El Niño year. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Historically UAH runs hotter than GISS during El Niño years which makes the divergence odder. Google it for yourself. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
My mind works differently than yours, Eric -- I am looking for informed discussion on this latest datapoint which places it in the context of *all* relevant datapoints. That conversation should begin to develop over the next few weeks. - Sean McBride
Way back here I told you this was wrong immediately. Did you read that anywhere else ? Later. In an e-mail, "Goddard researcher Gavin Schmidt said, "The incorrect analysis was online for less than 24 hours." - Eric Logan
Search for topical articles, influencers and conversations. - Sean McBride
[AngelList: Right Relevance, Inc.] - Sean McBride
[Crunchbase: Right Relevance] - Sean McBride
[Twitter: Right Relevance] - Sean McBride
Gale giving researchers data mining, text analytics boost with access to ... via @rightrelevance thanks @lexalytics
Gale giving researchers data mining, text analytics boost with access to ... via @rightrelevance thanks @lexalytics
"Discussed text mining with a colleague this week. Her comment "it essentially replaces the grad student's first six months of work"" — dftchemist
"I discovered that unlike [magic], technology does not lose its transcendent power when its secrets are revealed." -- Ray Kurzweil
iPad Sales Slump As Android Tablets Soar
iPad Sales Slump As Android Tablets Soar
Once you slacken your truth standards and buy into one kooky conspiracy theory, you'll buy into several or many more. It's a slippery slope into madness.
So far we got 9/11 and that kooky Bin Laden thing documented for you. Madness seems to be beckoning. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Thinking that there are major problems with the official stories on 9/11 and the 9/11 anthrax attacks doesn't make one a believer in or proponent of any particular conspiracy theory. Sometimes one strongly suspects that matters are being covered up, but you don't know precisely what. Leaders of the 9/11 Commission didn't believe their own report -- they were convinced that they had been given the runaround. And there are still those 28 censored pages on the Saudi connection that are raising questions. - Sean McBride
Ditto for the JFK assassination: asking questions and pointing to problems with the official story is sane. Pushing a particular conspiracy theory in a dogmatic way without concrete and solid evidence -- only speculation -- isn't. - Sean McBride
Here is a kooky conspiracy theory I have bought into explained by a Princeton Physics professor. - Eric Logan
Will Happer quote: "The demonization of carbon dioxide is just like the demonization of the poor Jews under Hitler." (Kooky doesn't begin to cover it.) - Sean McBride
"If Schmitt and Happer want to dispute mainstream science, they should do so in a peer-reviewed science journal, not The Wall Street Journal. Neither of them have published any peer-reviewed articles on climate science, despite being experts in other fields." - Sean McBride
He is not disputing science CO2 is plant food that's a scientific fact not a hypothesis. - Eric Logan
Global change: Trees continue to grow at a faster rate. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Your command presence is iffy. - Sean McBride
Your truth standards are iffy. - Eric Logan
Truth standards: on scientific matters, the views of reputable scientists and scientific publications count more than the views of political zealots who lack scientific credentials. - Sean McBride
How To Talk To Your Climate Denier Uncle This Thanksgiving | ThinkProgress #SmartNews
How To Talk To Your Climate Denier Uncle This Thanksgiving | ThinkProgress #SmartNews
Sony Planning to Launch E-Paper Smartwatch in 2015 - Mac Rumors -
Sony Planning to Launch E-Paper Smartwatch in 2015 - Mac Rumors
A critic of intermittent fasting gets seriously owned -- check out the well-informed comments: [4 Reasons NOT to Try Intermittent Fasting]
Everyone I know who has tried it agrees: intermittent fasting works. They are IF evangelists. Opponents of intermittent fasting never seem to know what they are talking about. - Sean McBride
[Rotten Tomatoes] is arguably the best designed website on the planet -- maximum functionality, minimum clutter and noise. Intelligent.
Great design is the product of intelligence; ugly design is the product of stupidity. Regarding design, the motto should be: don't be stupid. - Sean McBride
The opposite of maximum functionality and minimum clutter: maximum clutter and minimum functionality. Ugly and stupid websites abound -- why in the world does anyone create them? - Sean McBride
Websites should be as well-designed as a Porsche, BMW or Audi -- understated power, craft, elegance, excellence. (German engineering?) - Sean McBride
Data From Satellites Confirm: Glaciers Are Retreating | Popular Science -
Data From Satellites Confirm: Glaciers Are Retreating | Popular Science
"Glaciers are having a hard time all around the world. A new book outlines the findings of a years-long effort by researchers and research groups across the world. Titled Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS), the book isn't going to hit bestseller lists anytime soon (it's a scientific tome, geared towards professionals), but it is the first truly comprehensive look at the state of the glaciers all over the globe. And that state is... not good." - Sean McBride from Bookmarklet
"“We have definitely confirmed that the great majority of the world’s glaciers are retreating, thinning, or losing mass” says Jeffery Kargel, a hydrologist from the University of Arizona and principal investigator of the GLIMS project." - Sean McBride
Samsung Galaxy Note Edge review: Stroke of genius in a black slab world | ZDNet -
Samsung Galaxy Note Edge review: Stroke of genius in a black slab world | ZDNet
"Larry Page often seems to inhabit an alternate universe, where the future has already happened" - @mhelft — u7karsh
Johnny Depp: "For everybody, the clock's ticking. The main thing is whether you sit there and stare at the clock in fear of your ultimate demise -- which is pointless -- or you just live."
Tumblr Overtakes Instagram As Fastest-Growing Social Platform, Snapchat Is The Fastest-Growing App |... #SmartNews
Tumblr Overtakes Instagram As Fastest-Growing Social Platform, Snapchat Is The Fastest-Growing App |... #SmartNews
# a few revelations about the 5:2 diet
1. 600 calorie days are doable and painless once you fine-tune them through experimentation, trial and error - Sean McBride
2. it's easy to lose 2 pounds a week over months (or even years) - Sean McBride
3. fast days force you to become quickly educated about the minute details of food and nutrition - Sean McBride
4. fast days permit you to permanently break bad eating habits -- to completely reboot - Sean McBride
5. fast days do not trigger binge-eating on non-fast days -- in fact, they make it easier to eat less on on-fast days - Sean McBride
6. it's a great relief not to be focused on calorie-counting 5 days a week - Sean McBride
7. a single chocolate chunk (3 calories) can be as satisfying as a chocolate chunk cookie (300 calories) - Sean McBride
8. once you master the 5:2 diet, doing 1500 calorie days at will and on a whim is a snap - Sean McBride
9. once you master the 5:2 diet, you realize that most Americans are overeating to a degree that is insane -- restaurant servings in particular are grotesque - Sean McBride
There are many satisfying food options to mix and match on fast days: almonds, apples, bacon, balsamic vinegar, bananas, beans, beef broth, beef jerkey, black coffee, black espresso, blueberries, cantaloupe, celery, chicken, chicken broth, chocolate bits, coconut, cucumbers, edemame, egg whites, eggs, fish, frozen fruits, grapes, grated cheese, hot sauce, lemon juice, lettuce, lime... more... - Sean McBride
The trick to fast days: find the most nutritious foods with the least calories that are the most delicious and filling for you personally. Once you get that figured out, you are good to go. You want to minimize the pain and maximize the pleasure within a 600-calorie limit. - Sean McBride
Fast days are very difficult during the beginning weeks of this diet but become increasingly easy -- until they require no thought, pressure or feelings of deprivation at all. If you can get through the first two months, you will probably be permanently on track. - Sean McBride
The 5:2 diet teaches us that we eat for many reasons that have nothing to do with hunger or nutritional needs -- boredom, the need for distraction, habit, addiction, anxiety, self-sedation, gluttony, advertising and marketing stimuli and mind control, the craving for particular tastes, etc. - Sean McBride
World locked into 'alarming' global warming: World Bank -
World locked into 'alarming' global warming: World Bank
"The world is locked into 1.5°C global warming, posing severe risks to lives and livelihoods around the world, according to a new climate report commissioned by the World Bank. The report, which called on a large body of scientific evidence, found that global warming of close to 1.5°C above pre-industrial times – up from 0.8°C today – is already locked into Earth's atmospheric system by past and predicted greenhouse gas emissions. Such an increase could have potentially catastrophic consequences for mankind, causing the global sea level to rise more than 30 centimeters by 2100, droughts to become more severe and placing almost 90 percent of coral reefs at risk of extinction." - Sean McBride from Bookmarklet
"A world even 1.5°C [warmer] will mean more severe droughts and global sea level rise, increasing the risk of damage from storm surges and crop loss and raising the cost of adaptation for millions of people," the report with multiple authors said. "These changes are already underway, with global temperatures 0.8 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times, and the impact on food security, water supplies and livelihoods is just beginning." - Sean McBride
Artificial Intelligence Company Sentient Emerges From Stealth - Venture Capital Dispatch - WSJ -
Artificial Intelligence Company Sentient Emerges From Stealth - Venture Capital Dispatch - WSJ
"Sentient, which has about 60 employees, has been operating in stealth in San Francisco under the name Genetic Finance Holding Ltd. The company was started nearly seven years ago by a team that worked on the technology that later became Siri, the voice recognition software in Apple Inc.’s iPhone that understands and learns from human speech." - Sean McBride from Bookmarklet
"Sentient was inspired because of its team’s work on Siri, which exposed them to “actual real applications of machine learning and artificial intelligence,” Mr. Blondeau said. They saw what they thought was a unique opportunity to combine that technology “with what the Internet gives us now in terms of the ability to reach and harness enormous amounts of compute—things that couldn’t be dreamt of 10 years ago, and could be done five years ago but nobody had done that.”" - Sean McBride
"He said Sentient combines technologies in evolutionary computation, which mimics in software the way biological life evolved on Earth, and deep learning, which looks at the way nervous systems are architected and work. These technologies are used either independently or together and are scaled across millions of nodes." - Sean McBride
Even Global Warming Can't Convince Republicans That Global Warming Exists | Mother Jones -
Even Global Warming Can't Convince Republicans That Global Warming Exists | Mother Jones
"Scientists and science journalists like to say that one of the best ways to tell that climate change is real is to take a look at the changes we can already see: This year is on track to be the hottest ever recorded, and glaciers, corn, and even grizzly bears are responding to the warming. But all those shifts won't be enough to convince most conservative climate skeptics, a new study in Nature Climate Change finds." - Sean McBride from Bookmarklet
"A growing body of recent research suggests a person's political ideology, economic philosophy, and religious beliefs tend to overwhelm observed facts about global warming. The new study, which was released Monday, put that hypothesis to the test by analyzing Gallup polls taken just after the unusually warm winter of 2012. It found that both Democrats' and Republicans' perceptions of... more... - Sean McBride
"In other words, the actual temperature had no bearing on whether people believed in climate change. Instead, McCright says, "one of the strongest predictors" is party affiliation: Republicans were far less likely to attribute the warming they felt to man-made climate change than were Democrats. Other variables—gender, age, and level of education—were far less reliable as predictors of a person's global warming beliefs." - Sean McBride
Top comment: "Debating with right wingers about global warming is a complete waste of time and energy. It was 190 years from the time of Galileo's argument with the Pope until the Catholic Church officially accepted the fact that the Sun does not revolve around the Earth. Climate change is no different." - Sean McBride
"Conservatives are so emotionally and ideologically invested in their position, and are so inherently anti-science by nature, that they will never admit they are wrong...period. Just as the leadership of the Catholic Church had to 'die off' and their opinions relegated to distant memory before truth prevailed over dogma, so it is with contemporary science deniers. Forget it...just laugh at 'em and let it go...." - Sean McBride
[Google > global warming > past month > sorted by relevance]
How is expert analysis and opinion currently sorting out on the issue of global warming? Mine the top 100 hits. - Sean McBride
[Google Scholar > global warming > since 2014 > sorted by relevance] - Sean McBride
The more messianic the political movement, the more likely it is to self-destruct. Messianism tends to encourage magical thinking, delusional ideation, misreadings of reality, political miscalculations, etc. Just stand back and watch.
# messianism -- a few key signs 1. bombastic 2. declamatory 3. ecstatic 4. euphoric 5. grandiose 6. overconfident 7. ranting 8. strident 9. weepy - Sean McBride
Semantic is a UI component framework based around useful principles from natural language. - Sean McBride
Semantic markup, data mining and data visualization in combination provide the quickest way to get a handle on people, organizations, situations, events, knowledge domains, etc.
abbreviations - When "etc." is at the end of a phrase, do you place a period after it? - English Language & Usage Stack Exchange -
Google is an amazing tool for resolving questions about grammar and usage -- the equivalent of having thousands of language reference works instantly at one's fingertips. - Sean McBride - Find where to instantly watch your favorites movies and TV shows - - Find where to instantly watch your favorites movies and TV shows - Streaming Movies and TV to watch instantly on Netflix -
"Introducing Charted"
"Introducing Charted"
Smarter Than Us: The Rise of Machine Intelligence
Smarter Than Us: The Rise of Machine Intelligence
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