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Mahdi
How a woman’s internal organs move when she’s pregnant - http://mahdiebrahimi.soup.io/post...
How a woman’s internal organs move when she’s pregnant
ريه هاي خانومه هم بزرگتر شد؟ - ♣ ♣ ♣
واي روده هاش چه له و په شد :/ - ♣ ♣ ♣
زاويه لگنش هم عوض شد آآآ - ♣ ♣ ♣
من اینو دیدم در حال کرک و پر ریختگی بودم هی پرستو نوشت وای فلان وای اونو :))) هی بدتر چشام زد بیرون - Marjan
اصن براي خودمم شير كنمش خيلي خوبه - ♣ ♣ ♣
همینطوری نرخ رشد جمعیت تو ایران کمه با دیدن این چیزا که دیگه فکر کنم به رشد منفی برسیم :)) - Mahdi
مادر بیچاره :/ همون قدیما نمی دونستن بهتر بود :)) این چیه آخه؟ ابزار شکنجه اس - Myri∂m
ساختار بدن زنها قابلیت حمل یک بچه نرمال رو داره اگر درست زندگی کنند و درست تغذیه داشته باشند. - Mahdi
چطوری ارگانای داخلی یه زن بدبخت حامله به فنا می ره - Marjan
مرجان :)) تازه گودي كمرشم زياد شد اصلا هونصد بار نگاه كردما :)) - ♣ ♣ ♣
من خودم به حد کافی گودی کمر دارم :))) قید مادر شدن رو زدم تقصیر توئه - Marjan
پرستو رو به جرم تشویش اذهان عمومی باید بازداشت کنیم :دی - Mahdi
مهدی کدوم وری هستی الان تو ؟ :)) - Marjan
خدایی جنس قوی تر زنه با این دشواریهایی که داره - پریســــــا
:)) هول كردم خودم واقعا - ♣ ♣ ♣
من طرفدارتم مرجان, داشتم با پرستو شوخی میکردم, تازه از نظر زیست محیطی هم بهتره :)) - Mahdi
زیست محیطی :))) مرسی - Marjan
چه ممه هاش رشد کرده - ماهان-Mahan
حالا هیشکی نمیاد باباهه رو نشون بده که داره همزمان به خاطر این موضوع میزاد :)) - Dr.RoHo
مهدی زاویه قلب به خاطر فشار بچه به سینه یک کم تغییر میکنه. - Mahdi
ماهان, اون رشد کردن هم دلیل داره :) - Mahdi
ناف هم جابجا شد هااا - حســـــــنے♡
دلیلش چیه؟ - ماهان-Mahan
به خاطر هورمون ها و شیردهی - Mahdi
روحو, مرد که کاری نمیکنه :)) - Mahdi
من دلم به معده و روده سوخت :)))) همین طوریشم اسقاطی شدیم :)) - الک‌ دخت
هیچی دیگه آمار زایمان و بارداری پایان اومد با این یک فید :)) - Mahdi
مرد سنگ زیرین آسیابه ، اونهم فشار و مشقت تحمل میکنه تا خانم راحت فارغ بشه :)) - Dr.RoHo
حالا اینا همه قبل زایمان بود - Hadiseh
چقدر به معده و روده فشار وارد میشه :| - همصدا
اون مثانه بیچاره هم که اون زیر اثری ازش نمی مونه :)))) - همصدا
من اینو میبینم دردم میگیره :)))))))))))))))))))) - || بهاره ||
امپی نیومده در مورده تغییراته ممه صحبت کنه؟ :دی - گرین نون واو هـ یـ
هی حالا اینو شخم بزنید! :| - مـــمـد ☮
ممد جان مگه شما میخواهی بزایی که ناراحت شدی :)) - Mahdi
Thank you Steve for the link! - Mahdi
مهدی :))) وحشناکه در هر صورت ! - مـــمـد ☮
imabonehead
▶ Beam’s new Palo Alto store lets telepresence robots sell themselves. Literally. - YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/watch...
"Suitable Technologies opens its first store for telepresence robots, without a single human staff member on site." - imabonehead from Bookmarklet
Palo Alto opens first completely functional dystopian store! - Steve and 4 other people
Steve and 4 other people
Let's play the "Is it an Estuary or a Bay" game. Ready?
San Francisco Bay - Steve and 4 other people
Both! - Starmama
eBay. - bentley
Chesapeake Bay - m9m, Crone of FriendFeed
(Is it true that all Estuaries are Bays but only some bays are estuaries?) - Steve and 4 other people
It's both. - Starmama from FFHound(roid)!
Of Pigs? - Joe
Think so, yes. Monterey Bay isn't an estuary if I remember right. - Starmama from FFHound(roid)!
What about things named "bay" but on freshwater systems, like this: https://www.google.com/maps... - Steve and 4 other people
Estuary Bae is my conservationist name. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
Emerald Bay (Tahoe) - Steve and 4 other people
Gillian's Island. Does it really have a small bay? - Joe
imabonehead
13 Tips & Tricks for the Nexus 6 - http://phandroid.com/2014...
13 Tips & Tricks for the Nexus 6
Show all
"The Nexus 6 (our review) may have been announced a while ago, but that doesn’t mean it’s any easier to buy now. People are still waiting for theirs to arrive, and the Play Store is struggling to keep them in stock. If you’re still waiting, or you finally got one, we have some must-know tips and tricks to help you get the most out of this giant Nexus." - imabonehead from Bookmarklet
Last one: "Turn off merged tabs" should be the 1st. :) - Steve and 4 other people
Stephen Mack
Dropbox is insane. This policy is nuts: "Question: Will joining someone else's shared folder use my quota?" [Dropbox Help] - https://www.dropbox.com/help...
Dropbox is insane. This policy is nuts: "Question: Will joining someone else's shared folder use my quota?" [Dropbox Help]
Answer: "The size of a shared folder will be counted against the quota of every member of that folder, unless everyone is a member of the same Dropbox for Business account. For Business accounts, the size of the shared folder will be counted against the team's shared quota only once. For all other users, your Dropbox storage quota is calculated by adding up the total amount of data in your Dropbox folder, including all shared folders. As a result, the owner of a Dropbox Basic 18 GB (2 GB + bonus storage earned through referrals) account will not be able to collaborate on a shared folder larger than 18 GB. One reason this policy exists is to prevent people from giving themselves unlimited space by stacking Basic accounts with shared folders." - Stephen Mack from Bookmarklet
My camp is trying to share photos from Burning Man. We started out on Flickr, but Flickr requires everyone have a Yahoo e-mail, and some people resisted. So we gave Dropbox a try. Now everyone who joins the shared folder is out of quota. - Stephen Mack
I guess we'll try Google Drive or Shutterfly next. - Stephen Mack
If people don't want full rez, just upload to G+ and you'll get 2k resolution unlimited photos for free. - Steve and 4 other people
the dropbox thing is baffling. what a strange solution to "we don't want people to be cheap". - Jenica
Steve: G+ might work, although if people didn't want to create a Yahoo account, not sure how they'll feel about G+ accounts. - Stephen Mack
Jenica: I know! It seems completely nuts to me. - Stephen Mack
I think G+ has the same problem as Google Drive right? Do you have a non-google e-mail address I can try to share a GDrive folder with? - Steve and 4 other people
Sure, you could use my @tivo.com address - Stephen Mack
Done. Do you want to share a folder? - Steve and 4 other people
Got it! Thanks, Steve. (Curious: Why do those files have such bizarre filenames?) - Stephen Mack
So what I ended up doing since half of us are on Dropbox already is to use "links" instead of "shares" -- I have one shared folder for uploads, which I then move into the "linked" folder. Still pretty lame. - Stephen Mack
Yup, I have this same problem with Dropbox. We have a license to a bunch of tutorial videos for WordPress, and the creator shares the new versions with us through Dropbox. Each time he shares the updated videos, it blows right through my Dropbox quota, and I have to remove everything else in order to accept the sharing invitation. Then, it gets a little dicey, because I'm never sure if... more... - COMPLICATED MR. NOODLE
Those filenames are just what Amazon MP3 generated, unfortunately. :( - Steve and 4 other people
@Stephen, if Google Drive doesn't work, rant about why and I'll tell our people what we should do to fix. - Louis Gray
t-ra supports #LOLSpidra
how is any work getting done today? COOL ASS SPACE SHIT IS HAPPENING Y'ALL!
also, I'm not a rocket scientist, so someone explain me why firing a harpoon matters? although it does explain the whales. - t-ra supports #LOLSpidra
I think it's a question of the lander not being flung off the comet due to very low gravity whenever the lander tries to do something. - RepoRat
ahhh. I think I get that... maybe kinda sorta. ok. - t-ra supports #LOLSpidra
stupid inertia. stupid momentum. stupid gravity. bah. - RepoRat
They have some kind of drill on there that's going to try to sample -- I guess it won't work unless the lander is tethered to the comet. - Steve and 4 other people
I'm guessing that deploying the drill (or any other device) in low gravity could cause the lander to drift off. - MoTO: #TeamMarina
I didn't get any work done today. I was on the irc, the reddit live page, the live feed, ... - Amit Patel
Steve and 4 other people
What happened to ff.im?
Maybe Facebook didn't renew it? I am not finding anything at http://ff.im/1kttJu nor ff.im by itself. - Joe
:( - Stephen Mack from iPhone
The whois entry still looks reasonable, who is this "Mr David Taylor" from "6 avenue Kleber". - Steve and 4 other people
Is Mr. David Taylor on the twitter? - Joe
Grr. - Louis Gray
Looks like it's fixed now! - Stephen Mack
Steve and 4 other people
Google Fit now available!
"You can also connect your favorite fitness devices and apps like Strava, Withings, Runtastic, Runkeeper and Noom Coach to Google Fit and we’ll surface all of the relevant data in one spot, giving you a clear and complete view of your fitness. No need to check one app to see your weight and another to review a run – with Google Fit, that data will all be surfaced in one, simple place." <-- but the web page doesn't seem to let me do that. So this really is Android only, eh? - Stephen Mack
Stephen Mack
Whoa, Netflix stock. Crazy.
Read as 'Netflix socks'. Also whoa. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
Because of the HBO maybe thing? Or is it something else? - bentley
Most likely. - Julian
Radio news said it's because new subscriber rates are lower than expected. - Starmama from FFHound(roid)!
It figures. I *just* subscribed, so it automatically becomes old hat. - bentley
huh. Thanks for this - I'll use Netflix as an example in my Bloomberg workshop this afternoon if anyone shows up. - ellbeecee
As long as Netflix can still offer something that Amazon Prime & (potentially) HBO Go cannot, Netflix will still be relevant. If Amazon Prime and HBO together can pick up everything that Netflix offers, and continue to offer the other services it does, Netflix will quickly disappear. - COMPLICATED MR. NOODLE
(oooh, excited about lbc's bloomberg workshop! share notes? I used NFLX last week in a bloomberg session; surprised to see they weren't in listed in bloomberg's entertainment BI industry group; 'twas hard, but not impossible, to compare them to AMZ - despite Complicated Mr. Noodle's suggestion that they are competitors) - Stephan!e•CogSc!L!brar!an
(this is my 4th one this semester: so far they're basic intros to the system, but I do intend to actually write up some notes now that I know the kind of thing that come up every time :) Once I get those done, I'll absolutely share them) - ellbeecee
Also, good to know about the difficult to compare part! - ellbeecee
Speaking for the few million disc subscribers (still more profitable than the streamers), neither Amazon Prime nor HBO offer anything even remotely comparable. Then again, neither does Netflix streaming. The big temporary stock drop may also have had something to do with yesterday's absurdly erratic market. - Walt Crawford
I suppose people were speculating that they'd partner with HBO and now that HBO seems to be unbundling in 2015, it's a blow? - Steve and 4 other people
It really seems to be about disappointing subscriber results. http://www.cnbc.com/id... - Stephen Mack from iPhone
I was with them from the beginning. DO I GET A PONY? - Josh Haley
I want my pony to look like this: http://r2-store.distractify.ne... - Josh Haley
Steve and 4 other people
List of things you think are gross but other people seem to like for some reason.
Fish. - Jenny H. from Android
Stuffed Bell Peppers. (Sorry, Jenny!) - (Curtis) Alan Jackson
Prepackaged bread/pastry. - Meg VMeg
Poptarts, any and all flavors. - Janet
Anchovies - (Curtis) Alan Jackson
Peanut butter - Stephen Mack
5 guys - Todd Hoff
Shellfish - David Lounsbury from iPhone
Beets. - Joe
Raw tomatoes. - Heather
Beets, black beans, cilantro, squash. - Bren - pseudo-Buddhist from iPhone
Cilantro, pigs feet, khaki pants, hair gel, lots of candy types, dryer sheets, anything with sodium lauryl sulfate in it. - t-ra supports #LOLSpidra from Android
Mayonnaise, sour cream, cottage cheese - unless hidden in recipes where I can't see them. Cilantro. - Mary B: #TeamMonique
natto - Rodfather
Avocado and Justin Bieber - Kevin Fox
Eggplant, olives, pickled almost anything (exc. kimchee). - Walt Crawford
Marshmallows, lemon meringue pie, key lime pie, sugary beverages, Starbucks coffee, cheap beer, cottage cheese with fruit in it (I like mine plain), sugar and milk in farina (I prefer mine with butter, salt, & pepper), Italian fruit cake, fruity herbal teas, Earl Gray tea (smells like hair gel) - April Russo
Other people - Iain Baker
Iain wins. :-) - Tamara J. B. from FFHound(roid)!
Red vines. Peeps marshmallow thingies. Radicchio and frisee. - Laura Norvig
Broccoli. Cauliflower. Taco Bell. - Kevin (aka ThreadKilla)
red wines?!?! - мик
all organ meats, durian fruit, felching, the GOP, every song from "Frozen", my own navel - Big Joe Silence
red wines = love. red vines = hate - Laura Norvig
Yvonne Renee
Logan's school walkathon today. I hope we can recover quickly so we can car shop tomorrow. Life is on fast-forward right now.
Walkathon for us today as well! Also hoping the kids don't try to do too much. I'm such a bad parent. :) - Steve and 4 other people
Stephen Mack
This is the Fitbit Surge, a $250 'superwatch' with built-in GPS [The Verge] - http://www.theverge.com/2014...
From the Verge article: "Fitbit is preparing to launch three new fitness trackers in the coming weeks. Two of those will be the Charge and Charge HR. The Charge looks to be a revision of the Fitbit Force, which was pulled off the market after it caused bad skin reactions for some customers. Charge HR will offer a bit extra with the addition of PurePulse, the company's wrist-based heart rate monitoring system. But there's more: Fitbit has also been working on a third, flagship wearable for serious athletes. It's the Fitbit Surge." - Stephen Mack from Bookmarklet
More: "Apparently Fitbit thinks Surge is several steps beyond your average "wearable." The company refers to it as a "superwatch" according to marketing materials The Verge has received from a tipster. Set to be priced at $249, the Surge includes built-in GPS tracking — a big draw for runners — PurePulse heart rate monitoring, and promises to provide real time workout data for a variety of activities. You'll get stats on distance, pace, elevation climbed, heart rate intensity, and so on." - Stephen Mack
hrm...color me intrigued, but not keen on that price tag. although, it's not out of line with the Garmin products - ~Courtney F
*throws wallet at Fitbit* I'm in. - Hookuh Tinypants
Take my money! - (Curtis) Alan Jackson
Any comment, Bruce? :) - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Steve, no heart rate monitor though. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
I'd be interested, except 1) they've opted to not play in the HealthKit land, and 2) Watch is coming. - Jonathan Disher
I'm glad Fitbit isn't jumpking on the HealthKit bandwagon. The less crap I entrust Apple with, the better. - Hookuh Tinypants
FJ, when did you find your way to FriendFeed?! (For everyone else: I met Jonathan Disher on irc yeaaaaaaaars ago!) - Laura
Stephen Mack
I saw The Book of Life with Gabrielle yesterday. I thought it was funny, charming and with so many impressively designed and animated scenes. - http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m...
I saw The Book of Life with Gabrielle yesterday. I thought it was funny, charming and with so many impressively designed and animated scenes.
From Rotten Tomatoes: "THE BOOK OF LIFE, a vibrant fantasy-adventure, tells the legend of Manolo, a conflicted hero and dreamer who sets off on an epic quest through magical, mythical and wondrous worlds in order to rescue his one true love and defend his village" - Stephen Mack from Bookmarklet
I love del Toro's visual aesthetic. - Stephen Mack
I want to see that movie. - Anika
The marketing has been really confusing from the commercials I can't understand what the gist of the story is. - Steve C Team Marina
http://www.craftychica.com/2014... Found one!! Totally going to play with this. - Gabrielle
Steve C., it's an animated version of a folk tale involving the Day of the Dead (Dia de Muertos, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...). It reminded me a bit of A Nightmare Before Christmas in terms of tone and style, but very different visuals. - Stephen Mack
Gabrielle, omg, that looks so fantastic. - Stephen Mack
What age range do you think it's appropriate for? - Steve and 4 other people
I'd say 10+ to be honest. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
As I understand it, del Toro helped it get out & distributed, but it's the work of Jorge Gutierrez https://twitter.com/mexopolis - Spidra Webster
That's a good point. But I felt like del Toro had a lot of influence. You get a sense of that in this interview: http://www.iamrogue.com/news... and also this one: http://thefilmexperience.net/blog... - Stephen Mack
Stephen Mack
Poll: You drop a piece of candy on the ground. Do you: (A) Pick it up within five seconds and eat it, (B) Throw it away, or (C) Other
image1.JPG
c: make an art piece with it - Sir Shuping is just sir
B, most of the time - Jennifer Dittrich
B. Always. - Anika
C: don't eat/drop candy - Meg VMeg
B. always - Amit Patel
depends on the candy - hard candy like the one pictured, if sufficiently hard and not too sticky, then A; melty chocolate will most likely be handled with B (but with infinite sadness). - Ken Gidley
Depends on the ground. And yeah, depends on the candy. When I was a kid, we didn't have the five second rule. Instead, we crossed ourselves (it was a Catholic country). All of us kids knew it was safe to eat dropped food if you crossed yourself. :-) - bentley
My answer is similar to Betsy's. :-) - John (bird whisperer)
C, if it's like the candy above I rinse it off. There is no 5 second rule, grossness sticks, but hard candy can be rinsed. - Heather
I suspect Heather's right, but for Jolly Rancher? B. - Walt Crawford
Definitely A - Friar Will
Usually A unless it's a manky floor. A quick visual inspection and blow job normally determines if I have to resort to B. :D - Jenny H. from Android
^^^^ We still talking about candy? or have we switched to "Candy"? - Ken Gidley
Depends on the substrate, but I'd say 95% of the time, B. - Hookuh Tinypants
A. Unless it's sticky and picked up carpet and hair fibers. - Louis Gray
A. for linoleum, tile or hardwood and as long as it's hairfree. Also it depends on the type of candy. - NOT THE CRICKET
A - Janet from FFHound!
D: Pick it up, rinse it off, eat it. - Steve and 4 other people
Pick the carpet/dog hair off and eat it. No time limit. - Ken Morley
B- I probably shouldn't be eating candy anyway. =) - Yvonne Renee from FFHound!
B - always. - imabonehead
A or B, depending on the ground/floor/environment. Would say mostly B. - CarlC
(D) I take a picture of it and post about it. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Depends on the ground and candy, but I'm probably gonna rinse it off if I can and throw it away if rinsing isn't possible. - Andrew C (✔)
rönin
This Business Suit Onesie Is Ingenious Laziness In Clothing Form - ReadWrite - http://readwrite.com/2014...
This Business Suit Onesie Is Ingenious Laziness In Clothing Form - ReadWrite
"The business suit onesie is here, guys! Finally!" - rönin from Bookmarklet
Hehe. This is a FFer's brother's project. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Someone needs to make a toddler sized version of this as well. :) - Steve and 4 other people
Laura Norvig
KRJDA | Borland Corporate Headquarters - http://www.krjda.com/Sites...
KRJDA | Borland Corporate Headquarters
My work has downsized so much in the past two years that, even though we own our building, we can no longer afford to heat, cool, and pay the electric bill. We are most likely going to lease office space in ... the old Borland building! - Laura Norvig
Sold to a Chinese investor for 12 million dollars last summer. http://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose... - Laura Norvig
So, this is really happening. We are going to be on the third floor, in the spaces that were formerly for executives. They have to do lots of improvements first, so it won't be for about four months. - Laura Norvig
Wow looks amazing! - Steve and 4 other people
Hey, I walk my dogs around there. After he gets all muddy I let him take a dip in the pond. - Todd Hoff
Take lots of pics! - Meg VMeg
Ooh, Borland - Amit Patel
Moving in next week! We had to gut Phillipe Kahn's office to renovate our space. Todd, let's have a meetup - ping me next time you take your dogs for a walk. - Laura Norvig
Did you take any pics of Phillipe's office before you gutted it? (Side story: A friend of mine from high school met Phillipe at a trade show and had always wanted to work for Borland, so begged for a job. Phillipe told him to write a program that played Tic Tac Toe and mail it to him. If he liked it, he would hire my friend. So my friend wrote the program and sent it, but never heard from Phillipe. We never knew if it was because his program sucked or if Phillipe never reviewed it.) - Stephen Mack
Stephen, I don't know if anyone took pics. I heard they took out his private bathroom, though. The resulting space is quite unremarkable, really. But it does have a great view. - Laura Norvig
Victor Ganata
Three hours of sleep. I've done this before. I should be fine, right?
Steve and 4 other people
LG IS COMING TO MY CUBE!
...and he's gone. - Steve and 4 other people
Oh sorry. - Louis Gray
Laura Norvig
I don't think you're going to get the quality you're looking for in hangouts. What does twitch use? - Steve and 4 other people from Android
Steve, yeah it crashed after awhile. I don't think Wade cares that much about quality, but we really couldn't get it to work. - Laura Norvig
Jandy
Yellow crayons are almost pointless. Restaurants should stop giving them with kids menus.
Taste great and less filling - Steve C Team Marina
also easier to find on the floor underneath the table. - Big Joe Silence
They're good for blending with the other colors, right? - Steve and 4 other people from Android
rönin
New Butter Knife Spreads Cold Butter With Ease | Geekologie - http://geekologie.com/2014...
New Butter Knife Spreads Cold Butter With Ease | Geekologie
"In what is arguably the best invention since sliced bread, the Butterup Knife (links to Kickstarter where you can order one for around $11) was designed to easily spread cold butter without tearing your bread to shit. It works by grating a stick of butter into smaller, more easily spreadable ribbons." - rönin from Bookmarklet
Seems like this is for use by "top scrapers" only. Unfortunately, we're mostly "end slicers" so this won't help us. - Steve and 4 other people
what kind of human top scrapes butter? - Steve C Team Marina
Apparently non-Steves! - Andrew C (✔)
At work (where butter is in a giant tub) top scraping is the only way to go. At home, top scraping is super messy when you get to the end of the stick, so we end-slice. Anyway, we all just need to become french and store our butter unrefrigerated in a tub. - Steve and 4 other people
Andy Bakun
Google Code is a ghetto. It's like Sourceforge, but without the ads.
do you think its worth saving? - Steve and 4 other people
Stephen Mack
Celebrity deaths: A statistical analysis - http://www.zeigen.com/blog...
death-timeline-2004-01-to-2010-06
A statistical refutation of http://friendfeed.com/davisfr... . The image above can be viewed full-size at http://www.zeigen.com/blog... . My conclusion? Celebrity deaths come in one-point-sevens, not #threes. - Stephen Mack
Awesome - Chieze Okoye
Thanks, Chieze! I enjoyed crunching actual data. - Stephen Mack
No refutations? Have I really killed it this time? - Stephen Mack from iPhone
I'm on a plane! - Kevin Fox from iPhone
See my blog comment -- From some perspective, deaths *always* come in 3's, you just have to see what the distribution of durations between deaths D and D+2 are. :) I'd like to know: What's the median (or 90, 95%ile) time for which "all deaths come in 3's" is true. - Steve and 4 other people
BTW, would also be nice to compare vs. a random control sample of a similar distribution to actual celebrity death data. - Steve and 4 other people
Steve, I've seen your blog comment now, and you've proposed an interesting approach. When I get some time I'll post the CSV data and run the analysis you suggest. However, you can tell at a glance from just the visual representation that the duration between D, D+1, and D+2 will vary wildly. - Stephen Mack
Davis, how do you propose testing for the global population? What groupings of the deaths do you think exist? Geography? - Stephen Mack
Also, Davis, you're right about July 99. You've got me thinking of another simple analysis: Number of deaths per month, and what percentage of the time that number is evenly divisible by three. - Stephen Mack
Steve, for the control data, what do you suggest? National obituaries? Death records for all inhabitants of a particular county? - Stephen Mack
No, just a random distribution. You know how many deaths occurred over your interval, so just simulate it assuming each person has a 1/Nth chance of dying each day (where N is the number of days in the sample). - Steve and 4 other people
And yup, I know the distribution will be pretty wide, and that's what's interesting about it. :) You should be able to compare that with the random distribution to see if there's any difference. - Steve and 4 other people
Man, this conversation reminds me of the stuff I liked about my stats class... 8^D - Chieze Okoye
Steve, I took a look at the suggestion of days between D and D+x as you suggested in more detail in your blog comment. For every metric (average days, median, etc.) the data is better explained by groups of 2 than groups of 3. Performance for all groupings was pathetic, with an average of at least 8 days overall even for groups of 2. The standard deviation was at least 4.5 days, which backs up my previous prediction that it would vary wildly. - Stephen Mack
Davis, I took a look at number of deaths per month as well. The number of months where the total deaths was divisible by three was... wait for it ... 38.2%, close to expected value of 33.3%. Average number of deaths per month is actually 7.7. - Stephen Mack
A revised version of the spreadsheet with new tabs ("Avg Days of Span" and "Calendar" respectively) for the two new methods is now available, http://docs.google.com/filevie... - Stephen Mack
I've also provided a data file called CORPUS.TXT with just the names and dates, in CSV format: http://docs.google.com/leaf... - Stephen Mack
If I'm reading that right, the ~50%ile of the number of days between D and D+2 is 7. To me, that says "half the time, 3 (or more) celebrities have died in the same week" That seems like the kind of thing that would easily turn into an urban myth. If you go out to 14 days, you get to nearly 87%! - Steve and 4 other people
Steve, yes. But 50% success is awful. Another way of saying that is, "half the time, when a celebrity dies, only 1 or 2 celebrities will die that week." So the myth at BEST is 50% right, when you allow a FULL WEEK for the deaths to coincide. You'd do better if the myth is that "celebrity deaths come in 2s" -- about half the time, 2 celebrities die in a period just 2 days apart. - Stephen Mack
Put another way: Using your method, "celebrity deaths come in twos" is more accurate than "celebrity deaths come in threes." So the superstition is wrong. - Stephen Mack
For an urban myth, I think 50% success rate is pretty good. :) - Steve and 4 other people
It's not 50%. To get 50%, you have to include 3 OR MORE (so, sometimes 4, sometimes 5, sometimes 10) -- and that's with AN ENTIRE WEEK of allowance. Remember, other variations of the myth (celebrities die in 2s, celebrities die in 1.7s) do better . You've seen the spreadsheet. There's no method where "celebrities die in 3s" has any statistical validity whatsoever. This myth has been 100% debunked. - Stephen Mack
The idea of 70% dead celebrity is kind of gruesome ;) (He's only mostly dead....) - Victor Ganata
He got better. - Stephen Mack
Send this data to Mythbusters! - Ken Gidley
Unless the Mythbusters team gets to actually blow up the celebrities to test whether they clump together in threes or not, I don't think this myth is quite telegenic enough for them. - Stephen Mack
Slacy created a graph in a separate thread here: http://friendfeed.com/slacy... - Stephen Mack
50/50 after 4 votes. Please go and vote your conscience! - Stephen Mack
I think what's missing is a solid theory of celebritigenesis. Without that, it's hard to figure out what the null hypothesis would be. - Victor Ganata
Rue McClannihan makes three!:-P Actually Stephen, I've got some interesting analysis to dovetail with your own that I hope to write up in the next few days. - Kevin Fox
Victor, I think stiffs.com's approach is good. A celebrity is hard to define, but (like many other things) we know one when we see one. Having an objective panel that independently answers "have you heard of this person?" is about as good a criteria as I can think of. - Stephen Mack
Kevin, I thought it was supposed to be Art/Gary/Dennis and now Rue starting a new series? This superstition is so hard to nail down! But regardless, I look forward to your analysis. - Stephen Mack
Stephen, I guess that's just it--where exactly is the threshold for celebrity vs non-celebrity? Are you famous if 1 million people know you, but not if only 999,999 people know you? I guess my question is, what do we actually think we're measuring? ;) - Victor Ganata
Art isn't famous to me, so it'd be Gary, Dennis and Rue. - Kevin Fox
Victor, it's an excellent question. If you want to create your own personal list of living celebrities, we can then monitor that list as they pass away and test whether or not they die in threes (whatever THAT means), and then judge whether or not the superstition is true for YOU. - Stephen Mack
Kevin, funny, I'd never heard of Rue before today. (Never watched Golden Girls.) It proves Victor's point. The subjective nature of the superstition is what makes it hard to prove or falsify. - Stephen Mack
The subjective nature makes it much easier to prove, just harder to tell whether it's meaningful. If, in any string of 10 deaths, there are clumps of three that are meaningful for one person that person will claim it to be an instance of the 'death in 3s' phenomenon, and for them it will be right. They'll have heard of several other instances of 'death in 3s' from their friends over the... more... - Kevin Fox
Now that I think of it, the null hypothesis would be thus: if celebrities *don't* die in clumps of three, then there should be roughly equal spacing between their deaths (+/- some error), regardless of what time frame you choose. So all you have to do is pick a threshold duration, wait for celebrities to die, and see if there's a statistically significant difference between the actual death rate versus if they just died at regular intervals instead. - Victor Ganata
So say we pick a duration of a week. If the null hypothesis is correct, then they should each die roughly within 2 days and 8 hours of each other. If it's tighter than that (we'd have to do the math to see at what point it would be statistically significant) then the alternative hypothesis is true, and they *do* die in clumps. - Victor Ganata
Kevin, exactly right. My first debunking (from 2008) used the same argument: "This belief is an example of selective perception (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki...); You tend to remember the times when there was a grouping of three seemingly-related deaths in a short period of time, which reinforces the belief, but tend to forget the times when there wasn’t a pattern. As... more... - Stephen Mack
Another psychological factor to consider is mental temporal boundaries. If the weekend is a memory reset, where things on the far end of a weekend feel more removed, then three deaths in a work week, or in a single weekend, could be perceived as a clump even if the boundary between the first and the one previous to it is less than the boundary between the first and the third, just because the one before the work week 'feels significantly longer ago' - Kevin Fox
Victor, the raw data is available. (See links above.) There are 1,422 deaths over 5,669 days. So you expect the average death to be about 4 days apart, which in fact is what the data shows. The null hypothesis you propose in fact has strong significance in the data. - Stephen Mack
So there you have it. Proof that celebrities don't die in clumps but actually die at regular intervals. :D - Victor Ganata
Thank you, sir! *shakes hands with Victor* - Stephen Mack
Still like this thread. - Micah from FFHound(roid)!
Thanks, Micah. (In reviewing the above: I miss Chieze, and I'm still mad at Davis F. for deleting his account.) - Stephen Mack
Bumping from April 8, 2013 to today. - Stephen Mack
Bumping posts always comes in threes. - Louis Gray
Melly Claus #anticaper
RT @buzzfeeduk: There’s a new cover for "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory". Not many people like it. http://www.buzzfeed.com/danield... https://twitter.com/BuzzFee...
RT @buzzfeeduk: There’s a new cover for "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory". Not many people like it. http://www.buzzfeed.com/danieldalton/charlie-and-the-outrage-factory http://t.co/WBDLlrj5Ld
Steve and 4 other people
I wish. - Stephen Mack
Turns out it was the sound of boiling oatmeal that I thought was raindrops. - Steve and 4 other people
Mmm raining oatmeal. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Steve and 4 other people
Coming back from Vegas makes the Bay Area seem strangely humid.
It's not you. It's me. - Louis Gray
Our offices are just as freezing cold as the typical Casino, which is a good thing. - Steve and 4 other people
Steve and 4 other people
Vegas smells weird
NYC smells like pee. - Big Joe Silence
Ah, the smell of cigarette smoke and despair. - Victor Ganata
To me it's basically the smell of industrial sanitizer and maybe an amalgam of body sprays. - Steve and 4 other people from Android
Kevin Fox
Poorly thought-out articles like this make me wish I still kept a blog. Some good points, some really stupid ones. http://www.forbes.com/sites...
What happened to your blog? - Louis Gray
It was continually being hacked, I think, so he took it down or made it all static pages. - Steve and 4 other people
Kevin Fox
Confession for context: I've only watched the first two episodes of Silicon Valley, but am hooked on H&CF.
H&CF is 10x better than Silicon Valley. Less quotable, but I'll take a high-quality drama over some hit or miss jokes. Also, Beta's hit the comedy portion of tech, better, IMO. And they predicted Monkey Parking and a few other services. - NOT THE CRICKET
I've been really enjoying H&CF but I'm on E07 and Gordon's going a bit crazy and it's disturbing... - Steve and 4 other people
It was meant to be disturbing, I think. I really liked that episode. (Between the pressure and traumatic event in E06, it makes sense). E08 is even better. - NOT THE CRICKET
I am looking forward to watching H&CF. and I'm looking forward to seeing season 2 of Betas more than season 2 of SV. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
Stephen, sadly Betas was not picked up for a 2nd season by Amazon - Chris Topher
Chris Topher, Betas hasn't been canceled yet, it's just on hold and Amazon hasn't made their final decision, yet. - NOT THE CRICKET
I read that they made the decision back in March to not renew it. "And while Amazon was pleased enough with the results for political comedy “Alpha House” that it’s bringing it back for a second season, the Silicon Valley-set “Betas” is not being renewed. Maybe they changed their mind /shrug " http://variety.com/2014... and-renews-alpha-house-1201150016/ - Chris Topher
I thought all the articles were released at once in March. This one was a few weeks prior though, and Amazon had to clarify they hadn't made final decisions yet. The Variety article still looks like they're trying to figure it out. http://www.deadline.com/2014... - NOT THE CRICKET
Kevin Fox
There's a serious dearth of TVs sized between 32" and 39".
I believe the technical term is "miniature." - Kevin (aka ThreadKilla)
When I was a kid, we got a HUGE new TV with a REMOTE CONTROL. It was TWENTY ONE INCHES! - Steve and 4 other people
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