Kayaker, Mtn Biker, Roadie, fly-fisher, X-Cross, cycle commuter, trail runner, marathoner, rock climber, gamer, and most importantly father and husband.
No way would I bench Welker this week. Are those your only two receivers?
- Ken Sheppardson
Thanks guys. My third is Reggie Wayne who has been a STUD. I would have a hard time sitting him against Houston. Thoughts?
- Chris Greene
Well, I think Welker's good for 8-10 catches, 100-150yds and a TD or better every week. Austin's had a couple big games but came back down to earth some against Seattle. Wayne killed SF but only had 1 TD and blowing out the Rams he had <100 yds and just one TD... I think I'd actually keep Welker in for dependability and bet on Austin...
- Ken Sheppardson
Ken - you still think that Reggie at home in the dome vs Miles at Philly playing the hardcore Eagles - DF?
- Chris Greene
I think we can all agree on Welker now, the question remains Reggie or Miles?
- Chris Greene
Actually...no... Wayne's probably the "safer" pick, even if he still might be a little slow dealing with the groin injury and with Clark and Collie getting a bunch of touches. Austin's a longer shot. If he's really going to be Romo's go-to guy and if they win, he'll probably have a great day. But that's a couple "ifs" in a row...
- Ken Sheppardson
Dallas/Philly match-up is always a war - so Austin could go off or go blank.
- AJ Kohn
Yah, I'm inclined to start Reggie. Even the last two weeks with some injuries he's man'd up and performed well. Eagles D at home scares me. I think the fans may rush the field if Romo starts going crazy and start crackin' skulls. They are already bitter over the World Series and if the Yanks win it before Sunday I don't think the secret service could even guarantee the safety of a visiting team.
- Chris Greene
...Welker + Brady = more potential points than Austin alone, plus Cowboys have a big game against Philly, and in big games in November and December, Romo is not reliable: had him on my team previous two seasons: you love him in September and October, he fades when games get really big. 2 cents.
- .LAG liked that
Ugh. My day was ugly. I went with Welker and Reggie Wayne. Both had terrible days. No TD's between the two of them and only Welker had the yardage. In retrospect Miles would have been the right choice (Reggie = 4 points, Wes = 8 points, Miles = 13 points).
- Chris Greene
Well as an old prof of mine used to say "You can't judge the quality of a decision by the outcome." If you sell your house and empty your bank accounts and use the money to buy lottery tickets, even if you win $100M it was a really dumb thing to do. Austin had *one* catch, and it wasn't until the fourth quarter. For 45 minutes you'd made the right choice. ;-)
- Ken Sheppardson
I just got into a fight with a friend that I don't think either of us will be talking to each other any time soon. It makes me sad because now all my friends live far away and I no longer have anyone to really hang out and do stuff with. This sucks.
I thought it used to just show up on the map, but I figured it out, for Zillow anyway. Trulia doesn't show any info on my house.
- LogEx
Click on "compare" with other properties and it will show you the estimated value of you house on the map when you hover over the pin.
- Chris Greene
Trulia shows our house, but the number of bedrooms is wrong. Zillow has more current information, including our new square footage since we did construction last year.
- Jen (SquirrelGirl)
I think the problem is Trulia just doesn't have any info on my house, and they go to the wrong neighborhoods (in a different town even) to get comparables.
- LogEx
Fact # 1 - Trulia lists my house at 10k more valuable than Zillow - Conclusion : Zillow sucks. I like my logic
- Chris Greene
Zillow shows mine at about 2x what Trulia shows. Trulia has zero data though (only zip code & "Lot Size 0.00 acres"), and I think Zillow only knows the original listing info and nothing about improvements.
- LogEx
As the Zillow vs Trulia smackdown heats up.
- Cristo
Hi Guys! - What house are you talking about? Can you share the address w/ me? Either here or via email - rudy at trulia.com, whichever you are more comfortable with. Trulia shows active and sold properties, we do not provide estimates for individual homes. We show trends over time for homes in cities, zip codes and neighborhoods such as avg. list price and median sales price. Data from sold homes comes from assessor records. Hope some of this helps - Rudy from Trulia
- Rudy From Trulia.com
Thanks Rudy, but no thanks, I'd rather stay off the radar ;)
- LogEx
LOL... Zillow has no actual home data either, no bdrms, no baths, no SF (other than probably the purchase price from years ago). They have the wrong county even. Chalk up another one for tinfoil ;)
- LogEx
No problem! I'm here for you privately if you ever have any questions. Best, Rudy
- Rudy From Trulia.com
My house on both systems shows all data. Bedrooms, original sale price, lot size etc. It's a condo. Not sure if that has any bearing.
- Chris Greene
Both seem to have plenty of data for nearby houses that have been more recently offered/sold/purchased. I think that's the main issue with my lack of data (not that I mind).
- LogEx
Jebus, I hope Zillow doesn't inflate home prices. Cuz it has mine down. A lot.
- Kevin Pedraja
Kevin, all real estate is local, and my original statement was based on what I'd found in the past regarding San Francisco and Palo Alto / Los Altos home prices. I haven't tried either service in the last few months, so things may have shifted. At the time, Trulia seems to have a more conservative (sober) view of the market, while Zillow seemed to still be in the bubble.
- Cristo
Cristo increased my personal net worth by 10K in about 3 minutes time today! Thanks man (your check is in the mail)!
That's it. I am officially banning any device of any kind that is connected to the internet during Alex's bachelor party. I'm looking straight at YOU Robert Scoble.
- Chris Greene
I hope this guys gets ass-raped everyday in prison. Anyone who would do this to another human being should be strung up by his own entrails. Don't they realize that they are messing with someones father, mother, etc?????
- Chris Greene
Will Blu-Ray survive? Since home entertainment revenues dropped 20% last quarter by Warner Home Video (mostly on the back of DVD sales) is this trend going to continue? Is streaming video and digital downloads the new way to watch?
Although every part of me wants to say Blu-Ray and DVD will die and digital downloads will be the future, honestly the user experience is so much easier to just plunk a disc in the player and let her rip. Someone has to solve the infrastructure and user experience issues. Netflix, are you listening?
- Chris Greene
As far as I can tell it will...it's reached similar adoption numbers as DVD at the same point in each's lifespan.
- Alex Scoble
There's absolutely no reason to think blu-ray is going to die. it will never be as big as DVD, but that's not the question. Streaming and downloads? FOH (Even though that's how I personally watch 95% of movies.) More like Redbox and Netflix.
- Richard Lawler
A point worth considering before tombstones are carved out - not everyone has the advantage of super high speed networks from ISPs to be able to take advantage of streaming video services. I would love to subscribe to Netflix, but right now its not possible with my DSL link. Also, while I've not experienced streamed HD video, I'm hoping (for the future) that it looks equally as good as blu-ray.
- jcunwired
Digital downloads are popular, but the last time I checked, most people don't have a 24Mbps connection to stream high quality 1080p content. I think Bluray will stick around.
- Rodfather
You don't need a 24mbps connection, you can get Vudu just fine and 95% of the people wouldn't notice a difference over a regular ass cable modem right now, but the price is too high and the setup is confusing.
- Richard Lawler
For people who want the best quality out there, Bluray is it. I'm not saying that most people won't be happy with a low bitrate 720p stream. I think it's ok, but low bitrate 720p isn't going to kill Bluray.
- Rodfather
To get the same quality as Bluray (and if you have a 1080P TV and a good 5.1/7.1 system you want that quality) you definitely need faster than just about anyone can get in the US right now.
- Alex Scoble
Who gives a shit about "people who want the best quality out there"? If anyone did, DVD Audio wouldn't be a failure and MP3 wouldn't be so widely used. I'm not even going to ask if you guys have actually seen a 1080p Vudu movie with surround sound, I know where that goes.
- Richard Lawler
The difference is I can clearly see compression artifacts in 720p streams. I can't tell the difference between a 192kbps MP3 and a CD.
- Rodfather
I'm sorry, but "best quality out there" are your words, not mine...And I didn't spend thousands on my TV and home theater to get stuck with stereo sound on a streaming download.
- Alex Scoble
The problem I see with the "happiness for the masses" discussion point is this: You may be correct that 720p and Dolby Surround may be good enough for the majority of users out there who have HTIB (Home Theater in a Box) and mis-calibrated Plasmas but getting that content onto their TV's is NOT easy. XBOX 360, Apple TV, PS3, etc all require some level of networking and an assumed...
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- Chris Greene
Actually they're Rodfather's words, hence the quotes. Rod - whatever 720p streams you've seen have nothing to do with what I just talked about, check out a 1080p movie from Vudu some time and tell me how many artifacts you see. That streaming movies with surround are readily available is a simple fact, and the question isn't about what you want, it's about the masses.
- Richard Lawler
Chris - that's exactly my point, quality and connection speed is at least 10 steps down the line of reasons why streaming and downloads don't compete with Blu-ray yet, and won't for some time.
- Richard Lawler
Yes, like I said before, I think 720p streams looks ok, and it's probably fine for the masses. I'm sure 1080p Vudu looks great too, but I doubt any streaming service will be good enough for consumers to totally abandon Bluray and let it die. Plus going with Chris said in his last comment, people like to own the content. Having a physical disk is still important.
- Rodfather
Richard - unfortunately I think I agree with you on the streaming side, but I'm not convinced that Blu-Ray is off the hook. The Time Warner report was pretty clear that sales were not really going well and they are far and away the largest content provider of DVD sales (remember what they did to HDVD). I think the issue may be simple. I have a library of like 175 DVD's. As I peruse them...
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- Chris Greene
I don't think people care about the physical disk all that much, if it were easier and cheaper to go download they would, but it isn't. rod - I don't think Vudu will take anyone away from Blu-ray, and neither do they, see how it's being integrated into Blu-ray players now. It's just another option.
- Richard Lawler
Blu-ray picking up or not picking up the slack of DVD doesn't mean it will die though.
- Richard Lawler
I don't care that much about the physical disc (which isn't really the content anyway - the file on the disc is the same as a file on the hard drive for me), this is about ease of use and cost. Most of my DVD watching is rentals anyways (and rental inventory drives DVD sales with content folks like Time Warner). If renting a DVD (or High Def content) was as easy, reliable, diverse...
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- Chris Greene
I have about 300 DVDs, and have re-bought 12 from that collection, only my reference disks. LOL @ Jar-Jar sucking it (that wasn't one of my repurchases). As an aside, I'm not interested in 720P. I resist the masses :)
- jcunwired
How about this question: Do you think brick & mortar video rental stores like Blockbuster/Hollywood video will go away?
- Rodfather
Yes, Rodfather...I think such things are dinosaurs, particularly with the advent of services like Redbox.
- Alex Scoble
Of course, there's no reason for them to exist. I haven't been inside one this decade.
- Richard Lawler
Absolutely. If BBI closed brick and mortar stores and focused more on DVD mail and online delivery (which I think they do a good job with) I might be a buyer of their stock. Brick and Mortar is gone in 10 years.
- Chris Greene
A sign that you watch too much Cramer.
- Alex Scoble
Heh. No such thing. The soupy sales of the stock market.
- Chris Greene
Liked for the Soupy Sales comparison. LMFAO
- Steve
I'm happy today (bought into RIMM this morning), but will it last? Pffftt, I'm experienced enough to know better ;)
- jcunwired
Awwwww jc. That is tough man. Can RIMM compete with Android (by HTC, Samsung, LG, etc). can they compete with iPhone? Can they compete with Windows Mobile going forward? That's a lot of competition. There is a lot to like about RIMM but also a lot of nervousness. I think you got a good trade and found a good support line for RIMM, but what do you do now? I might think about taking those fatty RIMM profits and putting into AAPL.
- Chris Greene
Steve - thank you thank you. I'll be here all week....
- Chris Greene
Nahh, it was a small purchase. $2k profit in a few hours looks appealing, but I'm going to wait it out for awhile. Citigroup's downgrade didn't make a lot of sense - BB will remain at the top of corporate use for awhile yet with little immediate threat from the competition, and at opening price this morning PE ratio looked mighty attractive.
- jcunwired
I agree on the downgrade from C being lame, but I'm not convinced that RIMM isn't on the losing end of market share for the foreseeable future. Anyways congrats on a quality trade. Protect those profits (as always). I just looked at HTC (http://www.google.com/finance...) and am I right they have a P/E of 10.76????? How can that be? I'm nervous about trafin anything on the TPE but still man . Those guys are rock stars right now.
- Chris Greene
Who has owned a 120Hz or 240Hz TV for a while now. Has anyone stopped noticing the high frame rate effect?
I have a year old Samsung with 240Hz processing and when I first bought it I thought it looked so different. Now my eyes have adjusted and for a time I thought maybe I had turned off the processor. I was looking at the TV's in BB over the weekend and the sets that didn't have the 240Hz processor were very easy to spot (not in a good way). It's amazing how your brain adjusts you perception of the world so quickly.
- Chris Greene
Sound bars are popular. HTIB (Home Theater in a box) is king of home audio sales for 4 years running. Most speaker systems are still just simple 3-way designs. Do we still need a THX standard?
Alex will say no for receivers. I disagree. Last time I checked sound bars (even the nice ones) didn't have proper crossovers or ReEq and I just did a walk though of BB during the weekend and was shocked that they seem to be dwelling on the bottom of the barrel in audio electronics (which still don't have ReEq, academy filters for mono soundtracks - screw you Alex if you say mono soundtracks don't matter, and junk crossovers).
- Chris Greene
Does posting a question to FF mean you should be guaranteed answers instead of just comments, humor or some other random musings? Is there a FF code of conduct? If you want to know something shouldn't you just ask a person directly who's opinion is valued?
I say "no". I think if you want quality advice you should ask someone of quality specifically. I think FF is little more than a stage with a spotlight. Not real help.
- Chris Greene
But it depends... after a while you get a feel for who will respond, and how. Also, rooms are more directed than the general open stream.
- LogEx
I think it depends on the question. It is rather frustrating to me to need serious help on a topic only to have it ignored while scads of people answer "Kit Kat or Snickers".
- Anika
Yeah, the problem is that on first blush everyone's opinions are worth the same in a venue like friendfeed, when they often are not. Oftentimes the good experienced advice is drowned in a sea of the old, uninformed, tired adages.
- Alex Scoble
5 months ago, you could expect useful answers mixed with funny. Now you're just lucky if you get comments. I just invented a brilliant game in my feed, and no one is there to play it. *sigh*
- Matthew DeVries
And Alex makes a point. There are certain topics, I would never discuss here because the same people jump into the topics and rehash their same uninformed opinions. Rooms *are* much better in that regard. I also tend to DM people.
- Anika
It depends on the question, how it's asked, and who's asking.
- Rodfather
FriendFeed is IMHO very much like a bar that's open 24 hours per day. If you step inside and ask a question, you're quite likely to receive a bunch of humorous or facetious remarks as you are valid responses (N.B. this is especially true if "That's what she said!" is anywhere near appropriate). However, you're also likely (this depends on who you're following, of course) to find someone who is a supreme expert in the domain of your question.
- Glen Campbell
Depends on the color of your underwear.
- Josh Haley
from iPhone
I'm gonna go with no here. I think anyone who has raced at that level knows that cadence sensors, hr monitors, power tap meters and the like are great pieces of data to have but they haven't stopped me from getting out of my Vo2 max zone when I shouldn't and can't replace using team mates during tactical races like RR, TTT, Crits and the like.
- Chris Greene
If the whole point of sport is to push the limits of our performance ever further, then no, technology is never a bad thing. I stopped watching F1 precisely because they started dumbing down the technology. Professional athletes and their equipment should be as far removed from the average person as possible to show what is possible.
- Alex Scoble
Alex -So if the whole point of sport is to push limits of performance further should cyclists be allowed to dope and take steroids?
- Chris Greene
Personally, I think they should, but that's not politically acceptable to most people for health reasons.
- Alex Scoble
Knowing your cadence, heart rate etc. I think are fine but ... GPS telemetry, race radios ... I'd be happy to have them go away I think. I ride (not professionally but I've done the centuries, done the Mt. Diablo Challenge etc.) and think there's something to be said for the chess match being between the 'riders'. The GPS thing bothers me because Millar didn't ride it - some chump rode...
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- AJ Kohn
What about ultra long distance off road events? Adventure Races? The Trans-Rockies challenge?
- Chris Greene
@Chris: I honestly don't know about those. I have no real understanding of them, nor of their history or whether the tactics are as important as they are in cycling. I'd hazard that endurance racing is less about tactics then simple conditioning and 'personal' tactics (e.g. - staying within yourself) but ... again, I'm not nearly as versed there.
- AJ Kohn
Tactics can vary according to the format. Navigation is often key because you are only likely given a general start and checkpoints that you have to meet. How you get there is up to you. Not the same type of performance enhancer but all of thees races are about finishing in the best time, no? Anything that get's you there faster I think is fair game to criticize especially if those same elements are NOT available to the rest of the field.
- Chris Greene
Nice. I finally convince Alex to buy stocks instead of short the market. He makes a killing with AMZN and takes profit today and who does he attribute his good fortune to? the "Cat God". I may have to start hating.....
Alex is probably greatful that his Cat God told you to advise him
- Glen Campbell
Chris, I think it's no coincidence that your' initials are also that of the Cat God.
- Jimminy
Ah, but the true test is whether a long-term (>15-year) aggregate of all of one's investing yields greater than a diversified portfolio with no individual stocks ;) (or, at least to admit that it's gambling)
- LogEx
One of these days I'm going to need to look into this stockmarket stuff
- Mo Kargas
LogEx, if you put $1000 down on black on Roulette in Vegas and lose, it's gone. When you put $1000 down on a stock like AMZN, it's very difficult to approach anything close to zero. That's not gambling.
- Alex Scoble
And for the record, Chris is up more than even the best fund that he has access to in his 401k...and up WAY WAY more than the best fund in my 401k...and that's INCLUDING the crash. Digest that for a few.
- Alex Scoble
LogEx. Interesting that you cite 15 years as a number because if you looked at the market indices even a couple of months ago you would be DOWN if you bought and held anything less than 15 years. 20 years and you were still up on most components of the S&P. For the record I have no plans to be moving equites around this fast and furious for a very long time. I am trying to get enough...
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- Chris Greene
So am I Alex, but I do admit it's gambling ;) Just don't bet more than you can afford to lose.
- LogEx
In other words you just want to argue about it and not listen. Nice. Wake me when you realize the big difference between the two.
- Alex Scoble
I don't see the gambling analogy at all. Expecially when one can buy and set so many protections against a bad "bet". In blackjack you can buy insurance only under certain rare situations but in equities we have puts, stops, etc all designed to protect oneself from disaster. Anyone (including myself) who lost more than 15% in the crash of 2008 just didn't know what they were doing...
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- Chris Greene
Chris, this goes back to prior discussions with Alex on market and information efficiency and the typical investor. [EDIT: Oh, and the portfolio size issue.] I just like to be the contrarian ;) Sorry to derail your thread.
- LogEx
Yep and you were wrong then as you are now.
- Alex Scoble
I'll just say that if you think that buying AMZN at $80 was like putting $80 in to a slot machine, yeah, you should stay out of the markets entirely and stop smoking the crack pipe.
- Alex Scoble
I understand and appreciate the acknowledgement. What turns my "fur" the wrong way is that Alex and I know so many friends and family who hear and use the term "gambling" when they discuss the market. Lot's of them are underwater badly across the board and even after my losses last year I erased my losses and got a nice profit to boot. It's gambling when they blindly toss money into...
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- Chris Greene
Anyways I'm only trying to get people I care about to use equities and other products as tools to help them out of a bad situation. Siting on cash making .35% won't get them out of their holes for a very long time.
- Chris Greene
Alex, come on, thank the man. ...I'll certainly accept speculation instead of gambling due to the cultural connotations. My point is simply that the current price of any liquid public stock reflects current expectations. No one can predict the future, past performance is not a predictor of future results, and blah, blah, blah... For an individual investor, particularly one without a...
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- LogEx
See I don't agree with the buy and hold theory at all! If you bought 15 years ago most of the stocks today on the S&P 500 you would be in the hole (even still). But buying in March 2008 you would have to be a really bad investor to not make money (TZA - just for Alex). I think that people just need to learn how to read the charts, understand the fundamentals, and understand the...
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- Chris Greene
and do the work! (Also for Alex although he is getting better at doing his homework and not just getting it from me every day).
- Chris Greene
LOL...Thank you Chris...and yeah, LogEx, speculation is a much better word for it.
- Alex Scoble
Timing is very tricky, especially with big lump sums. Alex and I do agree on the benefits dollar-cost averaging though :) I'd be the last person to say set it and forget it. Yes you have to educate yourself, and yes you have to make regular adjustments. But I believe it's fundamentally impossible to determine tops and bottoms.
- LogEx
LogEx - TOTALLY AGREE WITH ALL STATED! That's why you use contracts and stop products to minimize damage on the way down and dollar cost avg in and out! Those are virtues that I have been expounding to Alex for a while and he is definitely on board. I think to time things right you have to be open to reviewing the technicals AND the fundamentals. Too many people just go one route or the other and I think that having a view to avg let's you make a better decision.
- Chris Greene
What Chris and I do isn't dollar cost averaging by the way. We aren't averaging in over time, we are averaging in over cost. In other words, not putting in buy orders that are triggered automatically every 2 weeks...instead we have buy points that we get in at. Buy in 25% at a good price and if the stock goes up 25%...great, take profits...then when it goes back down to the great price...
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- Alex Scoble
Correct. Not a traditional definition of DCA.
- Chris Greene
LogEx- Today I'm looking at DOW -98.24 and everything in my portfolio is red except AMZN. As a result my port today is still up $65. D - I -V - E - R - S - I - F- I - C - A - T- I - O - N. I seem to have a lot of days like this.
- Chris Greene
Anyone interested in joining a private club to discuss investments? Focus will be on stocks, bonds, commod picks, strategies and insights.
No idea. The stars meeting the treeline and ripples on the shoreline say "no" but i'ts hard to believe that someone could snap that pic. I think boat is likely shopped.
- Chris Greene
Yeah, I definitely think it's shopped after looking at it. You can't take that level of detail of the stars with a camera on a boat.
- Alex Scoble
Yup. Still nicely done. Chopping the pine's out on the shoreline likely took forever to get it. You can only see a little bit of halo effect. Color me impressed.
- Chris Greene
Am I required to accept the invitation of (facebook) friends I haven't seen in 30 years and were total D&$^K's to me while in grade school?
Hard call to make. I mean Alex and I both make about the same and........................oops.
- Chris Greene
No, but I found it surprisingly freeing. Works best if they're losers now.
- Lo
Seriously though, I don't actively use Facebook, but I accept invitations from anyone I've met in real life. If I did use it, I'd probably use their grouping features to separate people so it just becomes a contact application for people I don't interact with.
- Cristo
Yah. I'm kinda done with it too. Once I figured out I was doing better than the majority of people I don't talk to anymore the rose came off the bush. That and I remember the reason I don't talk to them anymore.
- Chris Greene