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Todd Hoff
Twitter Founder Reveals Secret Formula for Getting Rich Online | Business | WIRED -
Twitter Founder Reveals Secret Formula for Getting Rich Online | Business | WIRED
"The bottom line, Williams said, is that the internet is “a giant machine designed to give people what they want.” It’s not a utopia. It’s not magical. It’s simply an engine of convenience. Those who can tune that engine well — who solve basic human problems with greater speed and simplicity than those who came before — will profit immensely. Those who lose sight of basic human needs — who want to give people the next great idea — will have problems." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
"If you study what the really big things on the internet are, you realize they are masters at making things fast and not making people think.”" - Todd Hoff
Bingo. Small incremental improvements in universally used features can make millions or billions. Keep finding ways to streamline and simplify the most common activities on the Internet (and computing in general). Reduce friction; reduce steps; reduce keystrokes and movements -- as close to the vanishing point as possible. - Sean McBride
Automate, automate, automate -- invisibly, under the hood. - Sean McBride
"an engine of convenience" -- perfect phrase. - Sean McBride
Todd Hoff
3DPonics Launches Their Free Design for a 3D-Printable Hydroponics System - -
3DPonics Launches Their Free Design for a 3D-Printable Hydroponics System -
"“3Dponics is a 3D-printed hydroponics system that allows you to grow your own food, follow a healthy lifestyle, support local agriculture and do something good for the environment. The system is perfect for growing tomatoes, cucumbers, peppers, lettuce, microgreens, herbs, strawberries and even flowers.”" - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Todd Hoff
PLOS ONE: Good Fences: The Importance of Setting Boundaries for Peaceful Coexistence -
"Our analysis shows that peace does not depend on integrated coexistence, but rather on well defined topographical and political boundaries separating groups, allowing for partial autonomy within a single country. In Switzerland, mountains and lakes are an important part of the boundaries between sharply defined linguistic areas. Political canton and circle (sub-canton) boundaries often separate religious groups. Where such boundaries do not appear to be sufficient, we find that specific aspects of the population distribution guarantee either sufficient separation or sufficient mixing to inhibit intergroup violence according to the quantitative theory of conflict. In exactly one region, a porous mountain range does not adequately separate linguistic groups and that region has experienced significant violent conflict, leading to the recent creation of the canton of Jura. Our analysis supports the hypothesis that violence between groups can be inhibited by physical and political... more... - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Todd Hoff
Fabien Cousteau Leads "Aquanauts" in Record-Breaking Undersea Expedition -
Fabien Cousteau Leads "Aquanauts" in Record-Breaking Undersea Expedition
"Fabien Cousteau is leading a team of scientists, educators, and filmmakers this month on the longest-ever expedition in a stationary habitat beneath the sea. The project, called Mission 31, aims to build awareness about the need to protect the ocean and honors a historic expedition 50 years ago by Cousteau's famous grandfather, explorer Jacques Cousteau." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
iPhone 6 Release Date, Specs, Price: New Video Shows Final Production Build of Back Panel - (Logo Out, Wireless Charging In) - The Apple iPhone 6 release date is slated for September 19,...
iPhone 6 Release Date, Specs, Price: New Video Shows Final Production Build of Back Panel - (Logo Out, Wireless Charging In) - The Apple iPhone 6 release date is slated for September 19, 2014. The iPhone 6 has been a subject of speculation all over the Internet for quite some time now, with both the 4.7 inches display and the 5.5 inches screen being watched out very closely.
US$1008? Wow. - Todd Hoff
Todd Hoff
Phys.Org Mobile: Hydrogen breakthrough could be a game-changer for the future of car fuels -
"UK researchers today announced what they believe to be a game changer in the use of hydrogen as a "green" fuel. A new discovery by scientists at the UK's Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC), offers a viable solution to the challenges of storage and cost by using ammonia as a clean and secure hydrogen-containing energy source to produce hydrogen on-demand in situ. Hydrogen is considered by many to be the best alternative fuel for automotive purposes but there are complications with its safe and efficient storage and very significant concerns surrounding the costs of a hydrogen infrastructure for transportation. This new discovery may well have found the answers to both these challenges. When the components of ammonia are separated (a technique known as cracking) they form one part nitrogen and three parts hydrogen. Many catalysts can effectively crack ammonia to release the hydrogen, but the best ones are very expensive precious metals. This new method is different and... more... - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Todd Hoff
The Psychedelic Future of the Mind: How Entheogens Are Enhancing Cognition, Boosting Intelligence, and Raising Values by Thomas B. Roberts Ph.D:
"In The Chemical Muse, D. C. A. Hillman develops the idea that psychoactive plants played a significant role in the dawn of Western civilization and its early hours. Among the celebrants of the rites of ancient Eleusis—including kykeon, the apparently ergotized eucharist—were Aristotle, Sophocles, Plato, Aeschylus, Pindar, Cicero, and several Roman emperors. But Hillman’s idea was not well received. “Despite the volume of ancient literature concerned with the preparation and administration of potent botanicals, few academicians bothered to familiarize themselves with the ins and outs of drug use in antiquity” (218). The History of Psychedelics" - Todd Hoff
Todd Hoff
The Knowledge: How to Rebuild Our World from Scratch by Lewis Dartnell:
"I’d argue that the best way to help survivors of the Fall is not to create a comprehensive record of all knowledge, but to provide a guide to the basics, adapted to their likely circumstances, as well as a blueprint of the techniques necessary to rediscover crucial understanding for themselves—the powerful knowledge-generation machinery that is the scientific method. The key to preserving civilization is to provide a condensed seed that will readily unpack to yield the entire expansive tree of knowledge, rather than attempting to document the colossal tree itself." - Todd Hoff
Stephen Mack
Mac users: A friend wants a recommendation for a password manager. Preferably one that's cheap or free, syncs with iOS, and easy to use. Any reliable recommendations?
I use 1Password4 but it is neither cheap nor free. It is however reliable, syncs with iOS (using the app), and is easy to use. - Soup in a TARDIS
The de-facto standard is 1Password, but it's not cheap or free: $40 on the mac and $20 on iOS (they sync together). There's Wallet, but the guy who made it was acquihired by Facebook and it's always a question whether it'll just stop working one day and he won't update it (though he's updated it after his acquihire from Facebook, albeit with several months of lag, in the past). That's... more... - Mark Trapp
LastPass is recommended by Steve Gibson. - Todd Hoff
Awesome, thanks Soup, Mark and Todd. - Stephen Mack from iPhone
She's installed Dashlane, how does that rank? - Stephen Mack from iPhone
I also use 1Password and have heard good things about LastPass as well. Haven't read anything about Dashlane though. - rönin from iPhone
I also use 1Password. It occasionally goes on sale so if you make an alert on DealMac you'll know when that happens. - Spidra Webster
Definitely 1Password. Dashlane's also good and I might use that if I haven't been a 1Password user for many, many years. - Akiva
1Password here. - Anne Bouey
1Password - don't think twice. Especially iOS. - David Lounsbury from iPhone
I use the built-in Mac Keychain, which works with Safari, Chrome, and (with an extension) Firefox. Also syncs to iOS but I haven't tried that feature. - Amit Patel
Amit Patel
I get lots of email intended for people who put in my email address instead of their own, but the one from the hotel that instructed me "please make sure you wash all the body paint off before jumping into bed!" was probably the most unusual.
Also made me realize I'm probably missing out on something wild & crazy! - Amit Patel
Excellent advice. - Todd Hoff
Write back and tell them it is all water base paint. - Janet from FFHound!
I think thats the best part, body paint+bed.. ?? What better way to have fun eh ?? - Peter Dawson
I get a lot of the same, but even more emails sent to me by mistake. If the email seems real and sincere, I'll usually respond to let the person know they rang the wrong email, but if they keep mailing me, I'll usually write back with something crazy. That always stops them. - Brian Fitzpatrick
I have a canned response in gmail that I send to people who send me non-automated misdirected email, but a large part of it is automated stuff :( - Amit Patel
I've come to really dislike many companies that don't require e-mail verification during account creation. - Stephen Mack
Even big companies like Facebook can get this wrong. I've gotten so many messages from Facebook the past few weeks, with no way to tell them to stop. - Amit Patel
Oh, fun, I get a second legal notice from a company I've never done business with. First time I tried explaining that their client gave them my email address instead of their own. They never replied. They sent me a more threatening letter this time. Fun! - Amit Patel
Sean McBride
Any article which doesn't make its main points right up front, in the title and first paragraph, is an annoying waste of time. Stop blithering and padding. Next.
Some people have the strange idea that good writing is about padding your thoughts with many empty words. That is the worst kind of writing. - Sean McBride
If you lack mental force, your writing will be vague and fluffy -- not concrete and sharp. Good writing is chiseled to perfection. Everything unnecessary must be removed. - Sean McBride
There is so much bad writing on the Internet that it is disturbing. - Sean McBride
Dropping a seed into an unprepared bed does not yield fruit. - Todd Hoff
Great literary writing is exempted from this rule of thumb -- and from all other rules. Who would have expected James Joyce to make his "point" in the first paragraph of Ulysses? News, academic and scientific articles are a different matter -- get to your main point immediately -- give it to us in a brief summary sentence. - Sean McBride
Sorry, last comment was TLDR. - Todd Hoff
Fact-centric writing: be immediately on point. Literary writing: proceed however you will. - Sean McBride
Fact-centric writing: news articles, academic articles, scientific articles. A scientific paper without an abstract at its head is crippled. - Sean McBride
This is why Summly is cool and why Yahoo bought it. This is why Google Knowledge Graph is cool. - Sean McBride
Victor Ganata
What is best in life? I think I'll take eating, drinking, and making merry over crushing my enemies, seeing them driven before me, and hearing the lamentation of their women. #ILoveEveryoneRightNow
:D - Stephen Mack from iPhone
:) - Jenny H. from Android
But Conan's way is more exciting! Of course, life expectancy can be drastically less his way. - Arlan K.
Have you tried either? - Todd Hoff
Don't knock it 'til you try it. - Steven Perez from Android
Todd Hoff
YouTube Is About To Delete Independent Artists From Its Site -
YouTube Is About To Delete Independent Artists From Its Site
"As noted in an article about the K-Pop artist Psy making money from YouTube ads earlier this week, if a song becomes popular enough, any clip that uses the original music and earns ad revenue is either taken down immediately or split with the track’s owner. Artists make money whenever a cover version, fan-style lyric video, or live version is uploaded on the site and accrue views. As noted in the case of Psy, all of those thousands of additional videos helped him earn over $2 million from ads alone. Soon, all of those would be taken down, and artist revenue could drop." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Todd Hoff
The Myth of America’s Golden Age -
The Myth of America’s Golden Age
"Now comes Thomas Piketty, who warns us in his justly celebrated new book, Capital in the 21st Century, that matters are only likely to get worse. Above all, he argues that the natural state of capitalism seems to be one of great inequality. When I was a graduate student, we were taught the opposite. The economist Simon Kuznets optimistically wrote that after an initial period of development in which inequality grew, it would begin to decline. Although data at the time were scarce, it might have been true when he wrote it: The inequalities of the 19th and early 20th centuries seemed to be diminishing. This conclusion appeared to be vindicated during the period from World War II to 1980, when the fortunes of the wealthy and the middle class rose together." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Todd Hoff
The Pitchforks Are Coming… For Us Plutocrats - Nick Hanauer - POLITICO Magazine -
The Pitchforks Are Coming… For Us Plutocrats - Nick Hanauer - POLITICO Magazine
"And so I have a message for my fellow filthy rich, for all of us who live in our gated bubble worlds: Wake up, people. It won’t last. If we don’t do something to fix the glaring inequities in this economy, the pitchforks are going to come for us. No society can sustain this kind of rising inequality. In fact, there is no example in human history where wealth accumulated like this and the pitchforks didn’t eventually come out. You show me a highly unequal society, and I will show you a police state. Or an uprising. There are no counterexamples. None. It’s not if, it’s when." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Interesting if not fairly conventional take on the subject. Of course henry ford then turned out to be pretty much like every other robber baron after awhile. I'm not sure about the pitchforks. What previous societies didn't have was mass media coupled with well thought out psychological compliance methods. That's never been tried before. So far it's proving quite effective in getting people to behave against their best interests. Will it eventually fail? Hopefully we won't have to find out. - Todd Hoff
#SaturdayFF I took a writing course once. One of the instructors told me my verbs were "Hemingwayesque". I still have no idea what she meant.
They liked to drink and hit on the adjectives. - Pete
I think he's insulting you. Cold clock that chump! - Mo Kargas
It's okay. At least I have hair. - Melly
Is it horrible that I stumble away from strong nouns and verbs while thinking adjectives and adverbs are magnificent? - Todd Hoff
Disgustipating. - Melly
lol - Todd Hoff
Todd Hoff
A spook’s guide to the psychology of deception « Mind Hacks -
A spook’s guide to the psychology of deception « Mind Hacks
"It should be a well-known concept in intelligence circles because it is used both in military people management and military intelligence analysis. Interestingly, they treat individuals as like naive intelligence analysts who are trying to piece together their own understanding of the world and aim to exploit some of the weaknesses in this process. The big messy ‘concept map’ slides mentions ‘destructive organisational psychology’ which presumably refers to using the understanding of what keeps organisation together to break them apart. However, in terms of the psychological science which underlies their approach, the next slide is key." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Todd Hoff
Facebook tinkered with users’ feeds for a massive psychology experiment · Newswire · The A.V. Club -
Facebook tinkered with users’ feeds for a massive psychology experiment · Newswire · The A.V. Club
"The paper, “Experimental evidence of massive-scale emotional contagion through social networks,” was published in The Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences. It shows how Facebook data scientists tweaked the algorithm that determines which posts appear on users’ news feeds—specifically, researchers skewed the number of positive or negative terms seen by randomly selected users. Facebook then analyzed the future postings of those users over the course of a week to see if people responded with increased positivity or negativity of their own, thus answering the question of whether emotional states can be transmitted across a social network. Result: They can! Which is great news for Facebook data scientists hoping to prove a point about modern psychology. It’s less great for the people having their emotions secretly manipulated." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Emotions are always being manipulated. Isn't it better to know how they are being nudged? - Todd Hoff
Matt Haughey
It's surprisingly hard to find the Google I/O livestream is a blank gray page, Youtube search doesn't show it either
It's a blank Louis Gray page. - Stephen Mack
I tweeted it from @googledevelopers and @androiddevelopers a few times. Sorry you had trouble, Matt. - Louis Gray
Can you give a referee a red card?
On their birthday that would be very nice. - Todd Hoff
haha - Shevonne
America's favorite national pastime: Hating soccer | Human Events -
America's favorite national pastime: Hating soccer | Human Events
"(1) Individual achievement is not a big factor in soccer. In a real sport, players fumble passes, throw bricks, and drop fly balls — all in front of a crowd. When baseball players strike out, they’re standing alone at the plate. But there’s also individual glory in home runs, touchdowns, and slam-dunks." - Eivind from Bookmarklet
"(2) Liberal moms like soccer because it’s a sport in which athletic talent finds so little expression that girls can play with boys. No serious sport is co-ed, even at the kindergarten level." - Eivind
"(7) It’s foreign. In fact, that’s the precise reason the Times is constantly hectoring Americans to love soccer. One group of sports fans with whom soccer is not “catching on” at all is African-Americans. They remain distinctly unimpressed by the fact that the French like it." - Eivind
"(8) Soccer is like the metric system, which liberals also adore because it’s European. Naturally, the metric system emerged from the French Revolution, during the brief intervals when they weren’t committing mass murder by guillotine. Despite being subjected to Chinese-style brainwashing in the public schools to use centimeters and Celsius, ask any American for the temperature, and... more... - Eivind
"If more “Americans” are watching soccer today, it’s only because of the demographic switch effected by Teddy Kennedy’s 1965 immigration law. I promise you: No American whose great-grandfather was born here is watching soccer. One can only hope that, in addition to learning English, these new Americans will drop their soccer fetish with time." - Eivind
So, soccer is the train of sport? A collectivist nightmare denying the true individualism of the American :D - Pete
Like the metric system :) - Eivind
Now I kind of wonder how many conservatives hate science just because even American scientists use the metric system. - Victor Ganata
This was written without irony? This has to be an Onion piece, right? - MoTO: Tufted Coqeutte
It looks like satire, but then it's written by Ann Coulter. Poe's Law, I guess :) - Eivind
Yeah, once I saw her name on it, I knew it was worth ignoring. - Kirsten
Coulter? Why did I even pause to consider? Carry on. - MoTO: Tufted Coqeutte
I've seen a number of conservative anti-soccer columns this year. I take that as a sign of the sport gaining ground here. I get that not everyone enjoys watching soccer, but I don't see why enjoying or not enjoying it needs to be politicized to this extent. - John (bird whisperer)
Oh, Coulter. *hide* - Hookuh Tinypants from FreshFeed
Yep. She's pretty much a huge asshole. - Jenny H. from Android
It's pretty much a not-very-subtle xenophobic/racist dog whistle. What she really seems to hate is brown people who speak Spanish. - Victor Ganata
Do Americans even care enough to hate soccer? - Todd Hoff
Some people seem to find soccer (and the idea that Americans might like soccer) very threatening. - John (bird whisperer)
I mean, there's an entire political party devoted to hating brown people who speak Spanish, so, yes? - Victor Ganata
There's a woman in my neighbourhood who hates soccer, but it's a proxy for her hating loud immigrants. I got her to admit as much in a community meeting. She also didn't believe I am a soccer player. - kendrak
Tweet Feeds
Google Begins Removing Search Results in Compliance with Controversial ‘Right to Be Forgotten’ Ruling -
In May, The Court of Justice of the European Union handed down a controversial ruling regarding search results and requests to remove them. “An internet search engine operator is responsible for the processing that it carries out of personal data … - Tweet Feeds
Irony: Google will have to keep a record of who is forgotten which means they will live forever. - Todd Hoff
Todd Hoff
Secrets of the Creative Brain - The Atlantic -
Secrets of the Creative Brain - The Atlantic
Show all
"For years, I had been asking myself what might be special or unique about the brains of the workshop writers I had studied. In my own version of a eureka moment, the answer finally came to me: creative people are better at recognizing relationships, making associations and connections, and seeing things in an original way—seeing things that others cannot see. To test this capacity, I needed to study the regions of the brain that go crazy when you let your thoughts wander. I needed to target the association cortices. In addition to REST, I could observe people performing simple tasks that are easy to do in an MRI scanner, such as word association, which would permit me to compare highly creative people—who have that “genie in the brain”—with the members of a control group matched by age and education and gender, people who have “ordinary creativity” and who have not achieved the levels of recognition that characterize highly creative people. I was ready to design Creativity Study II." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
"One possible contributory factor is a personality style shared by many of my creative subjects. These subjects are adventuresome and exploratory. They take risks. Particularly in science, the best work tends to occur in new frontiers. (As a popular saying among scientists goes: “When you work at the cutting edge, you are likely to bleed.”) They have to confront doubt and rejection. And... more... - Todd Hoff
"As one artist told me, “The funny thing about [one’s own] talent is that you are blind to it. You just can’t see what it is when you have it … When you have talent and see things in a particular way, you are amazed that other people can’t see it.” Persisting in the face of doubt or rejection, for artists or for scientists, can be a lonely path—one that may also partially explain why some of these people experience mental illness. " - Todd Hoff
"Many creative people are autodidacts. They like to teach themselves, rather than be spoon-fed information or knowledge in standard educational settings. Famously, three Silicon Valley creative geniuses have been college dropouts: Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, and Mark Zuckerberg. Steve Jobs—for many, the archetype of the creative person—popularized the motto “Think different.” Because their... more... - Todd Hoff
"Creative people tend to be very persistent, even when confronted with skepticism or rejection" - Todd Hoff
Todd Hoff -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids - -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
""According to my measurements, it was 40 miles tall and 46 miles wide. This sprite would dwarf Mt. Everest!" he exclaims. Also in New Mexico, Jan Curtis saw a cluster of red sprites just one night later, June 24. "I've always wanted to capture these elusive atmospheric phenomena and last night I was finally successful." Although sprites have been seen for at least a century, most scientists did not believe they existed until after 1989 when sprites were photographed by cameras onboard the space shuttle. Now "sprite chasers" regularly photograph the upward bolts from their own homes." - Todd Hoff from Bookmarklet
Victor Ganata
It's official. The Internet has completely destroyed my attention span.
SOrry, I didn't read past It's official. - Todd Hoff
I meant to like this when you posted, and then forgot. And then remembered. So, yeah. - Jennifer Dittrich
Victor Ganata
The idea that if we move to curtail CO2 emissions, it will mean the collapse of industrial capitalism is far more alarmist than any realistic AGW scenario, so using the term "alarmist" to try and discredit people concerned about AGW is really, really stupid.
So capitalism can destroy but it can't survive a little creative destruction? Irony. - Todd Hoff
This Is Your Brain on Writing - -
"A novelist scrawling away in a notebook in seclusion may not seem to have much in common with an NBA player doing a reverse layup on a basketball court before a screaming crowd. But if you could peer inside their heads, you might see some striking similarities in how their brains were churning. That’s one of the implications of new research on the neuroscience of creative writing. For the first time, neuroscientists have used fMRI scanners to track the brain activity of both experienced and novice writers as they sat down — or, in this case, lay down — to turn out a piece of fiction. The researchers, led by Martin Lotze of the University of Greifswald in Germany, observed a broad network of regions in the brain working together as people produced their stories. But there were notable differences between the two groups of subjects. The inner workings of the professionally trained writers in the bunch, the scientists argue, showed some similarities to people who are skilled at other... more... - Jessie from Bookmarklet
"For creative writing, he faced a similar challenge. In previous studies, scientists had observed people doing only small tasks like thinking up a plot in their heads. Dr. Lotze wanted to scan people while they were actually writing. But he couldn’t give his subjects a keyboard to write with, because the magnetic field generated by the scanner would have hurled it across the room. So... more... - Jessie
"When the two groups started to write, another set of differences emerged. Deep inside the brains of expert writers, a region called the caudate nucleus became active. In the novices, the caudate nucleus was quiet. The caudate nucleus is a familiar part of the brain for scientists like Dr. Lotze who study expertise. It plays an essential role in the skill that comes with practice,... more... - Jessie
"During brainstorming, the novice writers activated their visual centers. By contrast, the brains of expert writers showed more activity in regions involved in speech. “I think both groups are using different strategies,” Dr. Lotze said. It’s possible that the novices are watching their stories like a film inside their heads, while the writers are narrating it with an inner voice."" -... more... - Jessie
Interesting about the visual versus the language approach. Looking at tales like Beowulf or Odyssey are they visual or conversational? - Todd Hoff
IIRC I would say they're more conversational, because they have a distinct phonetic cadence since they were intended to be spoken, but I'd have to look again at the original texts. - Jessie
Very interesting study - I was wondering what effect the "writing exercise" had on the language v visual. If they were creative writing students they faced a writing prompt challenge once a day at least so that could affect their "verbal" approach and I also know load of writers who picture their story arc like an unfolding TV drama...... - WarLord
Victor Ganata
So Twitter won't let me follow any more people. I feel like it would be easier to start a new account and start from scratch instead of trying to cull people I'm following.
Whoa. Crazy. What's the limit? - Stephen Mack
It's a ratio. If you want to follow more people, then you need to get more people to follow you. - DJF
Isn't that like if I want to read more books I have to write more books? - Todd Hoff
It looks like a 2:1 following-to-followers ratio, at least for me. - Victor Ganata
I'm always hitting the follower/following ratio limits. The limit only kicks in when you follow 2000ish, then before you can go any higher Twitter wants you to balance that with 2000 following. After that, it won't let your following get more than a few hundred higher than your followers. More info here: - John Dupuis
Why not just move some of them into lists and stop following them? Especially if not all accounts are posting that frequently. - Corinne L
That requires effort :D - Victor Ganata
True that. I know there are tools out there to streamline that sort of thing, but hell if I can ever remember what they are when I need to use them. - Corinne L
So, we can follow people in a list without following them? I might do that. I also bump up against the stupid 2,000 limit. - Joe
Yes, you can add Twitter users to a list without having a following/follower relationship. I set up a bunch of lists on @exploresacto for the purpose of categorizing accounts and making them available to people who wanted to keep up with those particular accounts. - Corinne L
I don't do follow-backs on principle anyways, but esp not for people following 10K or more, because they're definitely not gonna be _actually_ following me. - Andrew C (✔)
I'm a fan of the "rule of 150" when it comes to social media. Can't seem to get my FB account below 200 these days, but I'd like to - just have to decide who to jettison... - Corinne L
Andrew C (✔)
GOP’s voter fraud humiliation: Turns out Wisconsin’s worst case is a Republican - -
"Now we learn about the curious case of Robert Monroe, a 50 year old health executive who is accused of voting a dozen times in 2011 and 2012, including seven times in the recalls of Scott Walker and his GOP ally Alberta Darling. Wisconsin officials say it’s the worst case of multiple voting in memory. Oh, and, did I mention he’s a Republican?" - Andrew C (✔) from Bookmarklet
"Or maybe it’s projection, since the most notorious case of voter fraud turns out to be a Republican." - Andrew C (✔)
"Unbelievably – or not – Wisconsin conservatives are saying the Walker supporter’s crime is “the Democrats’ fault,” because Democrats opposed the voter ID law. I suppose it’s just a matter of time until we hear that from Reince Priebus, too." - Andrew C (✔)
So it's not actually a myth ? Only Republicans can do it ? - Eric Logan
The _scale_ of the problem is entirely Republican fantasy, Eric. Yes, there are some isolated cases of in-person voter fraud, but Republicans allege it's a massive, widespread problem. - Andrew C (✔)
1 case is not remotely like, say, the 20,000+ the Republicans allege is happening. - Andrew C (✔)
To really do it right you need need to own the voting machines. - Todd Hoff
I think this idiot demonstrated that it can be done. I am glad he got caught. I doubt his is the only case. It's been demonstrated repeatedly by investigators that it is easy to do and not often detected. - Eric Logan
Sure, there are probably a few more. But do you think there are _thousands_ more that weren't/aren't detected? - Andrew C (✔)
One guy managed to do it 12 times. What if it was organized? Can you get insurance which you are required to obtain by law without ID ? It's another one of those arguments where common sense goes out the window and anybody who says it's common sense is trying to disenfranchise voters. - Eric Logan
Because it's so hard to influence an election via voter fraud and the penalties are so high, it is extremely unlikely that voter fraud is the one crime that goes undetected so much. And it is disenfranchisement. Every study shows that voter ID requirements depress voting. The problem's _scale_ is miniscule. No reliable data shows this to be a real problem, but you would impose large costs on society to address it anyways, all on "what ifs" and "imagine ifs". - Andrew C (✔)
I find it amazing that your so-called skepticism about AGW -- whether or not it's even real and whether any action has to be taken -- is so utterly at odds with your credulity about voter fraud, but it is worth noting that both stances are perfectly in line with Republican stances and absolutely impervious to evidence to the contrary... but I repeat myself. - Andrew C (✔)
BTW, exit polls provide a decent check on (hypothetical large-scale) voter fraud. Just saying. - Andrew C (✔)
"Voter impersonation fraud is an impractical, inefficient, and downright stupid way to try to steal an election." - -- again, note that every single "voter fraud" opponent never tries to crack down on absentee ballots as hard, which would be much more practical for voter fraud. That should help... more... - Andrew C (✔)
Lots of fraud in absentee also. Voter fraud happens in the real world apparently, but not in studies. This is just one county and it's only verifiably dead people. So yes I actually do think it's thousands "270 people that records show voted in Nassau County after dying, a group that includes a man who voted 14 times since his death" . - Eric Logan
Same Newsday article: "The votes attributed to the dead are too few, and spread over 20 elections since 2000, to consider them a coordinated fraud attempt. More likely is what investigators in other states have found when examining dead voter records: Clerical errors are to blame, such as a person's vote being assigned to a dead person with a similar name." - Andrew C (✔)
And a very few clerical errors are not a good reason to disenfranchise a lot of people. - Andrew C (✔)
But I meant thousands _per election_, not hundreds _over the course of 20 elections over 14 years_. Even the Newsday article doesn't find evidence of coordinated voter impersonation fraud, and this is presumably one of the best pieces of evidence you could find! - Andrew C (✔)
No it's what I found as the result of a quick google search. I think we have had this conversation before. My grandfather a Democrat lost a municipal mayoral reelection in 1978 by one vote after absentee votes where counted he won the machine count by 87 votes this is not a new problem. Absentee ballots where cast by dead people by the time the case was litigated the term had already... more... - Eric Logan from FFHound!
But voter ID does _nothing_ to fix voter absentee ballot fraud, which is an _actual_ problem on a sizable scale, one far larger than voter impersonation fraud. Either Republicans are idiots who are focused on fixing a negligible problem while ignoring a real one, or ... they care more about the disenfranchisement side effect than actually protecting election integrity. - Andrew C (✔)
If we've had this conversation before -- and I think I remember your story about your grandfather's election -- then why have you still not got anything better than news stories that actually disprove your own claim??? - Andrew C (✔)
You just posted a case where one guy voted 12 times and it was detected three years later. I am sure it's never happened before and this is the only case. True the vote seems like a good idea to me. Mr. Monroe needs to be disenfranchised forever. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Since you're concerned about CAGW which is a separate issue. I hope you didn't miss this? - Eric Logan from FFHound!
So you simply cannot comprehend that a handful of cases is not enough to swing most elections. OK. If there were thousands of cases, it would be detected. Absentee voter fraud is even easier to pull off than voter impersonation fraud and yet there are _far_ more prosecutions for absentee voter fraud; how do you explain that? - Andrew C (✔)
I have experience with a case from 1978 in which voting irregularities did in fact change the outcome of an election. If I did not personally know the name involved in the case Howanitz vs Blair I would not be able to find it either. In the litigation of that case are cites of other contested elections. Barber vs. Moody cited there is a case in which six voters cast absentee ballots and... more... - Eric Logan from FFHound!
"six voters cast absentee ballots and also voted" -- which voter ID would not solve. - Andrew C (✔)
I can't draw that inference as the case doesn't indicate if they voted in their own name both ways. What it does indicate is that elections are decided by small margins that are susceptible to even small amounts of voter fraud a lot more often then can be uncovered with a simple Google search - Eric Logan from FFHound!
And can you give us any quantifiable claims about that? Let's assume, say, 20-30 voter impersonation frauds per election per 460K people (rough number of ballots cast in the 2012 general election in Nassau County). So your claim is that a surprisingly large number of elections are within 0.006% ???? (edit: let's say the problem is 10x larger than the Newsday article suggested. So now we just need elections within 0.06%.) - Andrew C (✔)
No that's not my claim it's just a way you attempted to frame the argument. I also really don't care what the Republican position is. My position is that elections with low voter turnout and small margins of victory can be decided by voter fraud. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
I also think dead people should not be allowed to vote period not even once. - Eric Logan from FFHound!
" it's just a way you attempted to frame the argument" -- yeah, I used FACTS (Nassau county stats for ballots cast vs Nassau county voter impersonation fraud cases prosecuted, with a 10X factor for the latter to account for all those cases you insist happen but aren't caught). The facts are, voter impersonation fraud accounts for a vanishingly small amount of votes cast, so elections would have to be VERY close for it to matter, and they're very very rarely that close. - Andrew C (✔)
Since you want to focus on a link that I found as the result of a simple Google search that verifies that 270 dead people actually voted in Nassau county. Nassau County Court Judge municipal primary for Nov 2013 was decided by 40 votes. Patricia A. Harrington 140,509 28% David P. Sullivan 140,469 28% - Eric Logan from FFHound!
270 over 20 elections' worth, for an average of 13.5 per election. I guess 135 per election by the 10x "they must be there" factor I gave you, so good find. - Andrew C (✔)
You also included another key delimiter PROSECUTED. They are not even detected much less PROSECUTED. "The election board’s susceptibility to voter fraud by people impersonating the departed was uncovered during a massive probe of the agency by the Department of Investigation. The probe uncovered 63 instances when voters’ names should have been stricken from the rolls, but weren’t — even... more... - Eric Logan
"In some cases, young investigators were able to vote under the name of a dead person three times their age. For example, a 24-year female was able to access the ballot at a Manhattan poll site in November under the name of a deceased female who was born in 1923 and died in April 25, 2012 — and would have been 89 on Election Day. Also at a Manhattan poll site, a 33-year-male... more... - Eric Logan
"They are not even detected much less PROSECUTED." -- But again, it's simply not practical. The number of voters who should be stricken from the rolls is scant compared to total number of voters. Even in the county court judge election you cited, _every other election_ that round was not as close. To swing elections via voter impersonation fraud requires so much work for so little possible gain. - Andrew C (✔)
The _actual_ votes cast under the names of people who should have been stricken from the rolls is recorded and it's very low (see your own Newsday link earlier). - Andrew C (✔)
Same election November last year. Margin of victory 19 votes. Nassau County. Long Beach City Council 24 of 24 Precincts Reporting Scott J. Mandel 4,470 21% Eileen J. Goggin 4,451 20% - Eric Logan from FFHound!
Yeah, but since that's Long Beach City Council and only covered 24 precincts, you'll need a much higher rate of voter impersonation fraud than for the county as a whole... the latter election was just 21K total votes, not 500K, so the margin of victory /as a percentage/ was larger. - Andrew C (✔)
Listen, I'm happy to debate the facts with you, but learn2math plz. - Andrew C (✔)
These are just from simple Google search's in the New York area. "An NYPD officer standing outside IS 71 told us he had witnessed four men attempting to vote under the wrong name in the two hours he had been posted there." - Eric Logan
So... stuff you find on google is authoritative. Academic studies that show very little voter impersonation fraud occurs, you dismiss out of hand. OK. - Andrew C (✔)
No you have that backwards too. You use studies that tell you it's not happening to dismiss evidence that it is. I know it happens I have witnessed it first hand. "IS 71 is the same polling place where we found potentially illegal raffles that displayed campaign literature promoting preferred candidates, and promised voters a chance at a $250 cash prize or a gift certificate, so long as... more... - Eric Logan
Here is a picture maybe that will help? Ultra-Orthodox Williamsburg Jews Promise A Chance At Cash For Votes. - Eric Logan
So... evidence that it happens A FEW TIMES is simultaneously evidence that it happens a lot and evidence that it happens a lot but cannot be detected? - Andrew C (✔)
It helps to know who voted if you intend to place votes for others that are on the voting rolls, but have not actually voted. - Eric Logan
The US is absolutely awash with stories just like that one! - Andrew C (✔)
Maybe we should make everyone dip their fingers in indelible ink? The OP indicates that one voter voted 12 times in Wisconsin there is no way to know if he is the only one. We didn't know about him for three years. Nothing to see here move along. - Eric Logan
But were there similar raffles in Wisconsin? Given that he's now been caught and prosecuted, has he given up the organization that was coordinating a large-scale operation? (Or, more likely, there wasn't one and you are still ignoring real problems while fantasizing about fake ones.) - Andrew C (✔)
The raffle was specific to the case in Williamsburg as reported in the Gothamist.. - Eric Logan
Yes, but any large scale operation would need some method of tracking who voted. - Andrew C (✔)
All you would need is a voter a role and knowledge about the current status of the local populace for municipal elections. That Long Beach race was very low turnout there are over 30,000 registered voters there according to the 2010 census. - Eric Logan
21K votes were cast out of those 30K (which BTW seems like decent turnout to me), so your odds of finding registered voters who didn't vote just at random is not good. - Andrew C (✔)
Knowledge of the local populace is not random. The raffle is just a more ingenous way of figuring that out. - Eric Logan
Very few people know enough of their local population to guess who in their precinct didn't vote and aren't going to. Maybe a few friends, not enough to swing most elections. It's telling that even a close-knit community like Brooklyn's ultra-Orthodox thought they needed the raffle method. - Andrew C (✔)
I just reviewed all of the cites in my Grandfathers case and they are all absentee ballot cases because they are looking for precedents set under similar circumstances. There where quite a few elections that where won on machine count then lost after absentee's especially when you review the cites in those other cases as well. I was born in a place that was famous for corruption, voting... more... - Eric Logan
" they are all absentee ballot cases "... OK, again, how is mandatory voter ID supposed to fix that? Esp when the voter fraud yahoos are constantly and ONLY talking about voter impersonation fraud? - Andrew C (✔)
It wouldn't it's just the case I am most familiar with. I think the problem is obviously a lot bigger then just Voter ID. I learned today as a result of this conversation that 4.4 million people can't vote because they are incarcerated or convicted felons. Another 1.8 million are still listed nationally on voting rolls despite the fact that they are dead according to a Pew study. - Eric Logan
And how many people nationally would be disenfranchised by voter ID requirements? About 21 million. So... I'm saying, 21M is a bigger number than (4.4 + 1.8) million. - Andrew C (✔)
Victor Ganata
How is it possible that a Sith could succeed in taking over the entire galaxy if they only deal in absolutes and dismiss probability theory due to ideological convictions?
Um, there's that force thingy. - Todd Hoff
Yeah, but wouldn't you think people who understand probability theory *and* can wield the Force would do better than Force-capable people who only deal in absolutes? :D - Victor Ganata
When you foresee everything, probability isn't as important. - Johnny from iPhone
Well, I guess Star Wars physics just doesn't work like ours does, then. Or maybe Obi Wan Kenobi was just full of shit? :D That actually makes a lot of sense, to be honest. - Victor Ganata
The Sith could still delegate to capable commanders like Thrawn! - Andrew C (✔)
If using the Force to predict the future is infallible because they live in a fully deterministic universe without any uncertainty whatsoever, it makes no sense to abhor absolutes. :D - Victor Ganata
Well, there are those Force-blocking lizards (ysalamiri) and then there's the Yuuzhan Vong too. - Andrew C (✔)
Well, there you go. If there's uncertainty then you need probability theory, and dealing with absolutes will probably lead you astray :D - Victor Ganata from iPhone
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