I am betting that driverless cars and smartglasses are going to be huge. Driverless cars will probably be the more revolutionary and impactful technology.
Those who have been ridiculing smartglasses will probably feel as foolish as those who ridiculed the PC, smartphone and ebook revolutions. Some folks are a bit slow to get what's going on.
- Sean McBride
The implications of driverless cars are many and vast, especially in terms of increasing overall human productivity.
- Sean McBride
I'm also betting that driverless cars and smartglasses will be huge. Not only that, but I'm betting that mankind will travel to other planets and star systems. I'm betting eventually we will transcend material reality as we know it.
- Cristo
Smartglasses: mass acceptance within the next few years. Driverless cars: mass acceptance within the next two decades or so (perhaps sooner). Visiting other planets in our solar system: perhaps Mars in a decade or so. Visiting other star systems: no idea (who knows -- we may discover a shortcut). Transcending material reality as we know it: some mystics have been doing that for millennia.
- Sean McBride
Driverless over the road transport vehicles and taxi's first then personal vehicles ?
- Eric
Probably all at once, if the technology is good to go? Some game-changing benefits: 1. almost no more accidents (people tend to be lousy drivers) 2. enormous energy savings due to increased driving efficiency 3. fewer traffic jams 4. option to work while taking car trips 5. ability to sleep while taking long car trips. Just the tip of the iceberg.
- Sean McBride
Mass acceptance: the same level of penetration in the general population as laptops and smartphones.
- Sean McBride
Total smartphones shipped worldwide in 2011: 488 million. Total PCs shipped worldwide in 2011: 415 million. How many smartglasses will be shipped worldwide in 2015? We shall see. Will it make the 100 million cut?
- Sean McBride
So by 2018, there will be more than 100 million smartglasses shipped per year?
- Cristo
That's a possibility -- but I am not going to commit to any prediction until I actually mess around with a pair for a few weeks and see what my gut says. I want to make sure that there are no physiological gotchas with the technology (eyestrain, headaches, dissociative fugue states :), whatever).
- Sean McBride
One really neat thing about smartglasses: the ability to read documents (including maps, manuals, clinical data, etc.) with both hands free.
- Sean McBride
Book holders are a bit more bulky and less mobile than glasses -- and the documents they hold don't respond to voice commands.
- Sean McBride
I hate voice commands. Mostly because they don't work, but partially because I don't want to hear you fucking talking to a device. There's enough noise pollution in the world already.
- Cristo
Mass adoption of driverless cars would have to overcome Americans' innate desire to control a big hunk of metal. Trying to take people's cars away is probably going to be as hard as trying to take people's guns away.
- Tinfoil 2.0
I think you already know my opinion and prediction about smartglasses. They're an abomination that will saturate a niche, but won't become completely mass-market. Fortunately.
- Tinfoil 2.0
I agree that many people are lousy drivers, but what happens when a lousy driver has to take over for a malfunctioning driverless car? I think I also read something recently about a robot surgeon botching a surgery.
- Todd
Google voice commands work perfectly for me with the latest Android -- with astonishing accuracy and speed -- I can talk at normal tempo and volume and almost never have to repeat myself. I use voice commands often, especially in the car or at home -- but never in close public places.
- Sean McBride
Tinfoil -- I'm betting you're missing the boat on smartglasses and driverless cars. But feel free to dig in your heels. :) I've seen this pattern play out many times before.
- Sean McBride
I don't envision people wearing smartglasses all the time -- just when they serve a useful function. One doesn't consult one's smartphone all the time -- just when one needs to.
- Sean McBride
I'll bet that driverless cars will malfunction much less frequently than people. Human drivers malfunction on a regular basis. We're not as smart or attentive as we think we are. We can easily become fatigued or distracted.
- Sean McBride
I had the image of my 90+ grandmother freaking out as her driverless car malfunctioned.
- Todd
How often do human predictors malfunction?
- Cristo
Sean, your predictions are as much a result of you drinking the Kool-Aid® as mine are of not drinking it. You can claim to be data-driven, but it's just herding cats, entropy wins. We each have our biases, we're probably both wrong, and the future will actually develop in some as-yet unforeseen way. :)
- Tinfoil 2.0
We will be able to reality check our respective smartglasses predictions relatively soon (within a year or two). May the better futurist win. :)
- Sean McBride
Umm in the same way IBM smart glasses saturated "mass" marketplace in 2000?!? Those futurists missed it too and as for driverless cars, at staple of Pop Sci magazine since about 1949 along with the flying cars... #waitingformyflyingcar
- WarLord
That Mat Honan article on Wired -- funny -- and raises some serious issues.
- Sean McBride
An important difference between flying cars and driverless cars: driverless cars work -- and they will greatly increase safety, not reduce it.
- Sean McBride
No Sean, there is no difference, every so often we get excited about new tech and seldom the vast population agrees that excitement is justified. Much like a viral video, predicting which of our "exciting new tech" will "go viral" is impossible until well after it has become reality. Frankly Google flirtation with cars give me no confidence of "this time for sure"
- WarLord
Warlord -- what in your mind are the most significant new technologies that have gained mass acceptance over the last four decades?
- Sean McBride
I believe both self-driving, flying, and self-flying cars will occur in the future.
- Cristo
I think so too -- unless we wipe ourselves out first.
- Sean McBride
Also, I believe that saying things will happen in the future is not very valuable.
- Cristo
Well, it's interesting to get various points of view on these kinds of forecasts, and the reasoning behind them.
- Sean McBride
I liked the crash scenes on the streets of SF.
- Eric
from FFHound!
Okay so this New York Photographer took pictures "peeping" into his neighbors apartments. Expectations of privacy?!? What if he used Google Glass instead of high end DSLR? What if he used a Drone flying next to building? #expectationsofprivacy And $7,500 a print?!? #wowjustwow
That's kind of weird and creepy. Since I have no link, therefore no context: Did he get permission from the neighbors? How much of their apartments are visible? Are they visible?
- Anika
he called their windows a ..transparent scrim on a stage....
- WarLord
Yeah, that's really creepy. I can see into my neighbor's homes, but I don't take pictures of them inside there. Hell, even when I surreptitiously take photos of them *outside* their homes, I still don't share them. When you're in your own home regardless of how open the windows/blinds are there's a presumed privacy. How does what he do, differ from a stalker? I mean, when you consider that FISA oversteps Constitutional bounds, how can this be completely legit?
- Anika
I like Boxer in #15, it's like he knows the photog is there. But yeah this is Drones, Google Glass and window peeper all rolled into one... #expectationsofprivacy
- WarLord
If we ever figure out how to make significant quantities of negative mass or negative energy then we can create Alcubierre drives (essentially Star Trek warp drives) and/or Morris-Thorne wormholes to travel faster-than-light. Store and forward would be the only way to transmit information faster-than-light.
If we have FTL but not the ansible/subspace radio, it would be more practical to transport physical encodings of data, on media that does not depend on electromagnetism. (I like to imagine that warping spacetime or beaming something through a wormhole would probably irrevocably corrupt data.)
- Victor Ganata
Much SciFi I read postulates tiny unmanned "message drones" that travel between planets. Welcome to the 1860's and stagecoachs carrying the mail... I wonder how the internetz of each planets will synch between planets? E-mails?
- WarLord
I imagine there would be specialized starships that carry nothing but packages, most of it physically encoded data. They'd spend as much time as necessary in-system decoding the data and then transmitting it via radio to the planetary surface or orbiting space station/satellite or even just dropping the physical medium onto the planetary surface leaving it for the inhabitants to decode,...
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- Victor Ganata
When you think about it, in an age of fully realized 3-D printers, desk top factories and replicators. the "trade" between planets will be data and people with specialized skills.
- WarLord
Photographer Arne Svenson has sparked a bit of controversy with his recent show "The Neighbors," about which he says, "I turned to the residents of a glass-walled apartment building across the street from my NYC studio. The Neighbors don't know they are being photographed; I carefully shoot from the shadows of my home into theirs. I am not unlike the birder, quietly waiting for hours, watching for the flutter of a hand or the movement of a curtain as an indication that there is life within." In "The Voyeur Next Door," The Tribeca Citizen reports, "The images are gorgeous—the Art in America review [PDF] cites Hopper, Vermeer, and Hitchcock—but they certainly bring up questions regarding privacy. Svenson, in his website remarks, dismisses the issue: 'For my subjects there is no question of privacy; they are performing behind a transparent scrim on a stage of their own creation with the curtain raised high.'" For the curious, The New York Times featured Svenson's Tribeca loft home [slide...
- Johnn Luevanos
Welcome to Google Glass writ large ..a transparent scrim... fascinating excuse
- WarLord
"It was inevitable that Jason Rose represent Amy's Baking Company. Who else but the guy who thought to nudge semi-senile, publicity-obsessed Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio into shilling for a restaurant called Pink Taco? The flack who bent campaign sign laws to get his sushi-slinging client publicity? The man who got himself fired by the Special Olympics for making a special ed joke on Twitter?"
- Eric - seven eleven
from Bookmarklet
"To put it mildly, Rose specializes in damage control -- especially when the situation is nuclear. He's been having trouble finding big-name clients quiet lately, hooking up with his lawyer-wife to push everything from solar panels to medical marijuana. His last high-profile client we can think of was then-Mayor Phil Gordon, who hired Rose after finding himself in a compromising...
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- Eric - seven eleven
Gas in Minnesota is $4.28/Gal for regular unleaded the day before we drive to Door County. Most expensive gasoline in the nation... #anotherhonoridjustassoonnotearn#coincidence
"We can't count the number of times we've wanted to enact vengeance on some inconsiderate audience member whose cell phone goes off during a performance. But, like most people, we just bottle that fury up deep down inside and take it out on the break room vending machine later. Not Kevin Williamson. Last night the National Review writer was in attendance at the marvelous new musical Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812 when one theatergoer's incessant cell phone use finally drove him over the edge... into vigilantism."
- Jessie
from Bookmarklet
"Although each table is explicitly told that photography and cell phone use is strictly prohibited during the performance, the people seated around Williamson were, he says, unbearable. "They were carrying on a steady conversation throughout entire show," Williamson, who also writes a theater column for New Criterion, tells us. "They had been quite loud and obnoxious the entire time. There were two groups, one to the left and one to the right who were being loud and disruptive.""
- Jessie
"During intermission, Williamson's date complained to the theater's management, but he says he didn't personally witness the theater managers admonish the disruptive audience members. And once the performance resumed, the woman sitting to Williamson's right on his bench would not, he says, stop using her cell phone. "It looked like she was Googling or something," Williamson tells us. "So I leaned over and told her it was distracting and told her to put it away. She responded, 'So don't look.' ""
- Jessie
"Blood boiling, Williamson says he then asked her, sarcastically, "whether there had been a special exemption for her about not using her phone during the play. She told me to mind my own business, and so I took the phone out of her hands. I meant to throw it out the side door, but it hit some curtains instead. I guess my aim's not as good as it should be." Asked if the phone was damaged, Williamson says, "It had to be; I threw it a pretty good distance.""
- Jessie
Some observers have long suspected that Barack Obama holds civil liberties in contempt and harbors tyrannical and despotic impulses. Perhaps they have been right all along.
- Sean McBride
Using the IRS to harass political opponents of any type, on the right or left -- appalling. It should be treated as a major crime.
- Sean McBride
Actually being around for Creep and Watergate, I'm going to say NO. Nixon wasn't playing at despotism he manipulated an election until he won. #shortmemoriesaboutaverybadtime
- WarLord
I must have missed Obama interfering in peace talks before even assuming the presidency the way Nixon did.
- Andrew C (✓)
from Android
One gets the impression that that organ of the mind or soul that cares passionately about civil liberties is entirely missing in Obama's makeup.
- Sean McBride
Sean, if you approach Obama understanding that he embodies a Moderate Republican sensibility an "Eisenhower" kind of Republicanism far more than any Liberal or New Deal Democratic traits it's easier to make those connections... And you are correct I have significant buyers remorse about Gitmo, Drones and wiretaps Not to mention Plan B but let's face it Nixon with Watergate and Reagen...
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- WarLord
I think that civil liberties organ gets removed once it is your responsibility to keep an entire nation safe.
- Todd Hoff
Don't get me wrong -- I still much prefer Obama to any current leading Republican out there.
- Sean McBride
HALP! One of my Mission 101 goals has been to write down one positive thing every day. Last year I have it solid until October, this year I have most of January and that's it. I think I need a goal that doesn't require perfection, but still pushes me to see the good. Any ideas?
How about you keep your daily goal but you allow yourself a short list of positive reminders that you can copy in place of your own, say no more than once a week...
- WarLord
I was kind of thinking along the lines of once a week, but beefing up what I write. If I forget for a while then it wont feel like such a chore to go back and fill in. Or maybe a smaller total to have at the end of my Mission 101, I mean 1,001 positive things is a lot.
- Heather
Repairing our water heater got me thinking about the concept of the "sealed" combustion chamber (the access door to the combustion chamber has a gasket around the door, view window and grommet for the gas lines) . How can it be completely sealed if there are vents for air supply to facilitate the combustion?
They're controlling the airflow around and to the burners to provide safe efficient combustion. Plus uncontrolled gust of air from door might blow out pilot light...
- WarLord
True, that pilot is just a tiny gas line, it probably won't take much to blow it out. I was concerned because I had to cut the grommet for the gas lines (new thermocouple didn't fit through the hole). But you have a point, it may be about controlling air flow.
- Stephan Planken
from iPhone
RT @thesamhita: The CEO of Abercrombie thinks it's "cool kids" who wear his clothes. More like "Was cool in HS. Still works at the mall. Voted for Romney."
"A Florida woman dropped her purse on the ground as she waited for coffee at Starbucks — and ended up accidentally shooting her best friend in the leg. Pamela Beck, 51, from Pinellas Park, is thought to have dropped her bag too hard — sparking her loaded .25 caliber Titan handgun, which was inside, to fire a shot. The bullet hit her buddy Amie Peterson, 38, above the knee."
- Jessie
from Bookmarklet
Not to mention of course, that if you actually intended self defense, your purse is exactly the worst place possible for a woman to carry a gun... #pursesnatcher
- WarLord
I was mesmerized by that movie when it first came out. Saw it twice in the theatre, which I almost never do. May need to watch it again now.
- Jim #TeamMonique
The fact that the very first use cases that most people commonly cite for Google Glass are the facilitation of literally anti-social behavior is revealing, I think. (1) They allow you to continually access the Internet without looking like you're not paying attention (2) They allow you to photograph and record people without their consent.
I mean, I can totally see some surgeons wearing Google Glass so they can catch the playoff game while doing their twentieth T&A or hernia repair for the day. This would be a *perfect* use case.
- Victor Ganata
Yep, given it's the distraction of attention that's dangerous, it will be interesting to see how the legal aspects develop. If you get in accident with glass on are you automatically assumed to be at fault?
- Todd Hoff
I always find it odd, because for me those are not what I'd really like it for, but I can see how that's what people would think of first. I don't want to interact with people with it on, but I'd love to watch a sporting match with a HUD or use it as a hands-free lookup when I'm on a nature walk (rather than pulling out my phone or a book.) I wouldn't even necessarily want it on the...
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- Jennifer Dittrich
I think it's a question between incremental improvement versus previously-unavailable features. There's no way to look at your smartphone while talking with someone without looking like a total jerk. And pulling out your smartphone to take non-consensual pics is *way* more obvious than simply shifting your gaze, even if Google Glasses are hard to miss. All the other use cases may be improvements—perhaps significantly so—but you can still perform those functions with regular smartphones.
- Victor Ganata
OTOH, if Google Glass takes off, it will probably force cell phone carriers to increase their bandwidth and coverage.
- Victor Ganata
The other frequently cited use case—hands-free Internet access while performing some other task—is probably not that great of an idea if that other task happens to be something like driving or performing abdominal surgery.
- Victor Ganata
The things I'd want from it are: 1. Face/name recognition (because I forget names a lot), 2. Real-time 3D directions (subtly highlighting the correct direction).
- Stephen Mack #TeamMomo
from iPhone
Stephen, I understand your first one. But as someone who does not want to have his face in commercial facial recognition databases (it's probably hopeless in the medium term for government databases), I wish there was a way to truly opt out of being captured, stored, and aggregated like that.
- Tinfoil 2.0
Yeah, that makes sense, Tinny. I'd prefer it if my glasses only recognized the people I knew and had taught the glasses to recognize myself directly, and didn't share without explicit permission from the person being captured. But I'm not sure if that's how it will work or not.
- Stephen Mack #TeamMomo
from iPhone
Tinfoil, you might not have a choice soon with recent reports from the Gov and new immigration bill.
- Me
Wow, those use cases are completely lacking in vision for what augmented reality technologies can be used for.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Can be used for != What they'll be used for. The Internet can be used for many things... I would put forward the bulk would still be updating social media and porn.
- Johnny
from iPhone
...and people who are becoming increasingly reliant on GPS-maps because they are decreasingly able to navigate IRL on their own.
- Tinfoil 2.0
The flip side. Barry watching porn in my meeting
- Johnny
from iPhone
...I've never seen anyone THAT excited about my power point before.... ;)
- WarLord
(2) They allow you to photograph and record people without their consent. << The upside for this IF everyone uses this gadget is that everyone is a "monitor" and a "witness" to anything out of the ordinary, like crimes, secret conspiracies, wonders of the world, etc. It is a double edged sword.
- SophiaAnne88
The problem with the phrase "left behind" is that it assumes life is a linear process. If you actually believe that complex phenomena like life is a linear process, then you have far more epistemological problems than anyone who doesn't own the newest technology.
I dare say a Mongolian farmer has 99 problems but a pair of Google Glass ain't one. The "quality" of his life verse a modern day city dweller is open for debate
- Johnny
from iPhone
I'm not left behind kids I'm standing here enjoying that sunset....
- WarLord
I assume that life is like the stock market. Compound interest is a bitch.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Heh. Well, a lot of people see the stock market as a linear process over the long term, with (sometimes quite large) fluctuations caused by error (which is why some people talk about "corrections.")
- Victor Ganata
It's funny how just about everything we've talked about today has a lot to do with viewpoint. If you look at the markets over a long term, they seem linear, but if you pay attention to it on smaller intervals, daily or smaller, they are anything but.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
We *approximate* things as linear. It doesn't necessarily mean that they are in fact linear.
- Victor Ganata
We also use devices like log scales to make things that aren't linear appear to be so. I guess we like to feel like the universe is a nice tidy place even though it's anything but.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
The logarithmic function is still a linear equation. One of the conceits of reductionism is the idea that everything can be reduced to a set of linear equations, which can be solved exactly to completely understand the past and to perfectly predict the future.
- Victor Ganata
Yeah, but if something scales logarithmically, that is definitely not linear, at least not to my way of thinking, unless you are saying that curves are somehow linear if they are based on a simple formula.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
I suppose the proper terminology is really linear system vs non-linear system.
- Victor Ganata
I enjoy the experience of smelling freshly cooking bread. Knowing the chemical breakdown of the odour doesn't make it smell any more or less yummy. Experience > Facts
You have a very narrow definition of augmented reality.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
With augmented reality I can experience sexual relations without having to talk to a woman, man, or alien. Experience > Facts
- Jimminy IS Everybody
...but I thought the motivation behind Google Glass was that it was hands-free? o_O
- Tinfoil 2.0
I'd rather have a series of narrow definitions than an all encompassing one that I must accept without question.
- Johnny
from iPhone
Yeah, I'd like to have a serious conversation with people who aren't condescending, mean spirited and rude, but we can't always get what we want now, can we?
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Tinfoil, that's what the internet of things and teledildonics is for.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
Alex, condescending yes, rude yeah, okay, but I think most of these aren't mean spirited. We like you and we aren't trying to hurt you, it's just a response to silly remarks.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
I LIKE THE FRESH BREAD WITH THE DOUBLE BRIES
- Mo Kargas
Alex, I would suggest you begin with those on your side. The reason I have such a negative reaction is due to the attitude being slathered on those who aren't true believers. Every point I have raised previously, long before your threads, have been mocked and dismissed as ill-informed and luddite. As some point, there comes a line where you aren't going to be taken seriously do you...
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- Johnny
from iPhone
My side? Maybe that's where things went wrong when you thought that I was on a side.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Oh and if augmented reality can help you make more freshly cooked bread, faster and with greater consistency, we can all agree that that's a good thing, right?
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Alex made me smile. I thought of my mother with her great pottery bowl of bread dough, making biscuits and bread once a week and the heavenly smell as i walked in the door from school... Then I thought of offering her Google Glasses to make it go "better" That made me LOL
- WarLord
If we can't agree to that, then yeah, I guess this is a chasm that can't easily be bridged. WarLord, I can't make bread like your mother and would love to be able to view a recipe using a device like Glass as I'm baking instead of having to constantly stop and refer back to an iPad or laptop. Color me strange that way.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
As we approach the notion of an always connected life, the likely benefits are increased earnings, better health outcomes and higher productivity. You'll notice that increased happiness is not a likely benefit, at least not in my opinion. When I talked about getting "left behind", it needs to be understood in this context.
People don't understand balance. Money is less important to me than happiness. Health outcomes come in different forms, some with which I agree, many that I do not because they affect happiness of an individual or a group of individuals. Higher productivity at this point is largely pointless, as survival needs have been met for the general populations of the world (not saying it's...
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- Jimminy IS Everybody
Higher productivity? Yeah... Facebook and LOLCats
- Johnny
from iPhone
Better health? Like, not going outside? ;)
- Johnny
from iPhone
There are a growing number of devices, Johnny, that monitor various data points about our health. One example is sleep behaviors. If people who use these devices are able to use them to get better sleep health, for example, it will definitely give them a gain to health.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Jimminy, if you don't think you would use a smartphone if you had one, you can't really say that you grok why smartphones are so useful. If you grokked it, you'd have one.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
It's ok to say "I don't think that smartphones are all that useful" and be done with the conversation. And don't conflate "grokk" with "intellectual understanding of how something works".
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Alex, if I had one yes I would, that's almost tautological. I choose not to have one, because I have no need. I don't say they aren't useful, they are, but they aren't necessary and I don't really need one to do anything I couldn't do through other means. Meanwhile, I have to make other trade-offs in privacy, monetarially, and through personal and social annoyances.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
Saying you have to have a smartphone to get through life, is like saying well all those people in 1990 didn't know how to live. Poor people without smartphones, there life was so miserable.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
Alex, I'm not conflating anything. I get it, I honestly do, but I don't need it or want it. There are absolutely occasions where I wish I had one, but it's only a matter of convenience. And the negatives outweigh the positives for me.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
Except, I never said that having a smartphone is necessary to get through life. I think you are arguing here for the sake of arguing at this point. You don't want to be labeled as "left behind", except, as is often the case, none of this really has anything to do with you.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
I look forward to the day where my body is covered in sensors collecting data about how I'm sitting on my ass eating potato chips. People know how bad smoking is for them yet still do it. Access to better health information doesn't automatically lead to better health. People are the random element :)
- Johnny
from iPhone
Alex, I responded directly to your questions. If that is arguing, okay.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
Performance enhancing drugs aren't necessary for riding a bike, but they are necessary if you want to win the Tour de France. That's what getting "left behind" is like. If you are ok with riding a bike at your pace, that's great, more power to you, but if your goal is to win the Tour de France, you aren't going to do it without PEDs.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Johnny, pointing to the possible negatives/misuses of technology is not somehow going to invalidate what I said. It's like you guys are purposefully skipping over the word "likely" in order to pretend that I'm saying some grand Scoble edict from on high such as "This is the way it will be!".
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Yes, that's how I consider being "left behind". It's a seemingly insurmountable hindrance. I do not see not having smartphones, Google Glass, Television, and numerous other things as an insurmountable hindrance. More novelties of convenience. Also what exactly are you trying to win. Life isn't a competition unless you want it to be, in which case just keep trying to keep up with Mr. & Mrs. Jones.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
Isn't it obvious that I'm trying to win the 2013 friendfeed popularity contest?
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
An always-connected life is not a desired outcome in any forseeable scenario, especially where there are significant power imbalances in society. Unless or until you solve that problem, "connection" and its consequences will be used by the more powerful against the less powerful. Sure, they'll toss you some bread and circuses along the way, but in general, people will be working harder, longer, and have less to show for it. It's a Brave New World.
- Tinfoil 2.0
In the not too distant, you will measure friendship even power by peoples willingness to unplug and meet you face to face... #gibsonprobablydaiditbetter
- WarLord
Actually, while that would be an interesting concept , it would be terrible porn. The "Gonzo" style of porn, while POV, often involves the movement of the camera to the side profile. 5 mins of head bobbing is lame
- Johnny
from iPhone
yeah but I'm thinking if "all" the participants are wearing Glass the POV moves and cuts would actually be umm interesting
- WarLord
5 mins of a close-up public region or shaved todge moving so fast and jittery that it invokes motion sickness? Yeah, no.
- Johnny
from iPhone
Again, it will happen, but I question the appeal and success of Glass shot porn given the popular shooting styles. I think it will have more effect on the watching of porn rather than the production of it
- Johnny
from iPhone
And I mean "don't get" as in "don't understand", "don't like", "don't want" and/or "don't see the benefits".
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
The nature of the roll out is only going to exacerbate the problem. The product itself is severely flawed in a myriad of ways, but, seriously, whoever was put in charge of this pre-launch phase should be updating their resume.
- Soup in a TARDIS
I'd take issue with "and are thusly left behind." My guess is that millions of us who don't "get" a particular hot new thing aren't left behind--we choose not to participate. Which is an entirely valid choice unless life, death or health are involved.
- Walt Crawford
I take issue with the arrogance that those who don't bend over and willingly accept every new piece of tech as the holy grail and the product that will change the fundamental way we communicate as a luddite or someone who will be left behind. Maybe it's just possible that the vast majority of those who don't "get it" are actually making a choice that this is silly, a step to far or simply something that only those who display such arrogance will care about.
- Johnny
from iPhone
Surely if you're in the small group using it, you'd be left behind with the other people in the small group using it.
- Pete #TeamMonique
++ Walt & Johnny. These are choices. We absolutely should not blindly accept the technological manifest destiny, build it and they will come, mentality. Particularly when they are being foisted on us by very powerful data-aggregating corporations.
- Tinfoil 2.0
Like how all the people who didn't get on the Apple Newton bandwagon got left behind?
- Victor Ganata
And the Segway. (P.S. I had a Newton, but bought with company money, not personal)
- Tinfoil 2.0
They have given priority to a pool of almost entirely white middle aged men, Alex, almost all of which have ties to IT powerhouses but very little notoriety outside the industry. In one fell swoop they managed to tick the boxes for "pretentious people with lives highly dissimilar to any 'regular' person" and "unattractive shit your dad wears." They also did ZERO prep work to prepare the...
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- Soup in a TARDIS
If it is actually a good thing and works well eventually the majority will get behind it. When cell phone companies switch their focus to something like this then you know it has taken off. Otherwise it will just be another fad
- Jason - The Opaque
from Android
I assume Glass uses massive amounts of bandwidth. I can't imagine data carriers being particularly enthusiastic that.
- Victor Ganata
They had a segment on APM Marketplace this morning about how the selective rollout was Google's way of trying to prepare people to adapt to changing social mores. I do think that people born in a world where they can't imagine life without the Internet have way different privacy expectations that those of us who remember a time before Facebook and YouTube.
- Victor Ganata
First generation products never capture markets in one fell swoop, anyway. Even the iPhone took a few iterations to grab all the marketshare, so maybe by the time Google Glass 3.0 rolls around, everyone will have jumped onto the face computer bandwagon.
- Victor Ganata
Isn't that interesting? iPhone has "all the marketshare"--Samsung and Google/Android must find that remarkable. And somewhat counterfactual.
- Walt Crawford
One thing that was immediately obvious to me during the NPR story: despite all of the gushing from Glass enthusiasts, there was only one they thing they could do wearing Glasses that they couldn't do with an ordinary smart phone. At this point, the marginal upgrade in capability and convenience doesn't seem to justify the cost, not to mention the privacy implications.
- Kevin (aka ThreadKilla)
Walt, I meant "all the marketshare" as in "all the marketshare that they've captured" (which is certainly a significant percentage) not literally 100% of the marketshare, which is, yeah, preposterous. But it's also clear that Samsung in particular has jumped whole-heartedly onto the touch screen smartphone bandwagon. Ignoring patent lawsuit judgments, can anyone really seriously argue that the current form factor of almost 100% of smartphones today wasn't somehow influenced by the first-generation iPhone?
- Victor Ganata
I don't get Alex's comments, but I think I'm ahead of the game.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
You can take issue with "get left behind" all you want, shrug. Has nothing to do with being a luddite either. However, if two people are doing the same job and one person has a piece of equipment that gives them a significant edge, the other person will be left behind. Google Glass probably won't be as disruptive as that, but it's a V1 product. Same as the Newton. And the Newton wasn't a failure. The work done there ultimately led to things like the iPhone/iPad.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Until it becomes obvious what that "significant edge" actually is compared to a smartphone, I think I'll wait.
- Victor Ganata
from iPhone
It's there in the NPR blog that I linked. The potential uses in medicine alone are huge.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Some possible examples. There's a medical app that allows a surgeon to map a patient's body. They can then see using their HUD (which is basically what Glass is) exactly where they need to cut, critical patient data and the surgery can be recorded for later review. A remote surgeon could also use the camera view to help an inexperience surgeon through a new procedure.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Potential != actual. Google may not necessarily be the first to actually implement those features. Personally, I'd wait until a company with medical device and healthcare IT experience gets involved, either with their own devices or in collaboration with Google.
- Victor Ganata
from iPhone
You're arguing two different things, Alex. Google Glass isn't going to "leave people behind" because of uses and technologies that might result from it in the future. THOSE technologies might be revolutionary and wonderful, these arse-ugly glasses that are currently little more than a glorified cell phone and peep cam won't.
- Soup in a TARDIS
(Also, remote surgery already exists, just fyi)
- Soup in a TARDIS
And don't worry. As soon as Apple comes out with a similar product most of the naysayers will forget they ever had issues.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Oh yeah, because THAT'S not an argumentative or combative comment.
- Soup in a TARDIS
Let's just hope that this isn't the Newton of this type of technology. It took like what, 15 years for us to go from Newton to a successful useful product that a critical mass could afford?
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Yes, this CONVERSATION is really just my yearly pon farr. Get ready to fight to the death while wearing Google Glass so the whole thing can be recorded. **cue's Star Trek fight music**
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
If we're talking about iOS vs Android or some other iOS deployed for use in the medical field, well, that's just a function of the critical mass of apps, where iOS has a head start. So, yeah, if Apple really does come out with something like Glass, it may very well be preferred in ORs and on the wards.
- Victor Ganata
from iPhone
Does either company have a medical testing group? If not it probably won't be either company. That's a long complicated process.
- Todd Hoff
They don't really need to, Todd. These products are frameworks. Other companies that specialize in medicine can build apps for them and sell accordingly.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
The whole entire stack needs to be vetter from hardware on down and up. Unless they are indemnified it would be nuts to take somebody elses platform and put the years and millions in trials it would take to get approval.
- Todd Hoff
There will always be niche products that are truly great for what they're for. I don't think Google Glass is one of them. Certainly a well-designed, well-tested medical HUD device could be very useful... to certain people. But that has nothing to do with the merits (or lack thereof) of Glass, or the general population getting "left behind" for not adoptng some niche technology.
- Tinfoil 2.0
There's nothing to suggest that this will just be a niche technology.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
I wouldn't buy an Apple Glass either, Alex, especially unless it had serious privacy protections. I don't use Siri. I rarely have Location Services turned on. I eschewe apps whenever possible, particularly if there's a perfectly fine web interfce. The issue isn't who makes it, it's how it's implemented, and how it treats the user AND (especially) others affected by it.
- Tinfoil 2.0
Well, it is niche unless or until no one is left behind :p
- Tinfoil 2.0
iPhone is not a niche product and there are plenty of people who don't or won't have one.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
But many of them have similar tech whcih means they aren't left behind in any tangible way.
- Tinfoil 2.0
And many others do not. There are still a significant number of people who don't have smart phones.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
1Q2013: "136.7 million people in the U.S. owned smartphones (58 percent mobile market penetration)" [http://www.comscore.com/Insight...] That's a pretty sizable proportion.
- Tinfoil 2.0
That's less than half the US. ~180 million people who don't currently have a smart phone is also a pretty sizeable amount.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Babies don't need phones. The majority of the US phone-buying market have smartphones. Seriously, is there anthing so unique about a smartphone that someone using a feature phone and computer (or tablet especially) wouldn't grok quickly enough - that current smartphone users also grok?
- Tinfoil 2.0
Most smartphone owners don't grok what they already have. But anyone who has used a tablet knows how to use a smartphone, except for voice, which is easy but is declining in use anyway.
- Tinfoil 2.0
Finally saw one in the wild today. Bigger & bulkier than I was expecting.
- ronin
I wouldn't buy apple-branded glass either. I think the whole concept is creepy. The tracking part, the taking photos part, plus I wear bifocals already. I also worry about this notion of people who don't get on board with google glass (or like products) will be "left behind" and that is somehow ok. We already have a huge section of the population left behind due to poverty and...
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- Soup in a TARDIS
Soup makes a good point. Tech can be as much of a power lever as money or data. We should be striving to provide equity of access to all power-differentiators, or the haves and have-nots will continue to diverge (with ruinous results probable). That doesn't mean Glass for everyone, just means scientific and technological literacy as a core piece of education.
- Tinfoil 2.0
Developers have definitely been building medical iOS apps and devices that connect to your iPhone/iPad, and they've been getting approved by the FDA. The companies behind them already have medical device experience, though. Apple doesn't seem to be into it directly, but iOS has a huge head start.
- Victor Ganata
The standards when dealing with human patients is exceedingly high. Pixuru is FDA approved, for example, and it allows customers to order framed prints of their own photos. A vision tester is another. Remote access of data. A radiology app. An EKG machine. Blood pressure. All trivial in the scheme of things. A device that can kill someone during a procedure has a lot of hoops to jump through. Look for this tech in easier to approve parts of the world before hits the US.
- Todd Hoff
Yeah, I don't really see GE, Medtronic, Siemens, or Philips necessarily going with either Apple or Google platforms for building medical devices, except for auxillary functions.
- Victor Ganata
Alex, I can grok smart phones perfectly fine. I don't fucking want it because of all the other shit attached that I would prefer not to have, plus I would hardly even use the thing if I did.
- Jimminy IS Everybody
The notion of getting left behind is worrisome. I don't think it's a stretch to imagine a distopian world where the rich have access to all sorts of technologies, implants, etc. and the poor continue to live in squalor.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
Cristo, your view of this sort of thread is severely warped. This is a conversation. A discussion. It's not an argument. If you want an argument that room is down the hall. There's no right or wrong here, only possibilities.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
In all this let's remember that IBM showcased an almost identical product with tiny postage stamp screen close to eye clipped to an eyeglass frame over 10 years ago. Remember ubiquitous and wearable computers?!? Yeah! No body climbed on that train either
- WarLord
Well, except for all of those Nike Fuelband users, fitbit users, etc.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
I've worn corrective lenses almost my entire life. I've watched my eyegl,ass wearing friends rush to contacts and even surgery to shed those bulky anoying frames and lenses - This attitude is a big barrier for Glass to get over. The plus will have to be astonishing to overcome this minus
- WarLord
Probably...then again, the technology to do this on a contact lens will get here eventually. Or just build it all into an Ironman like suit. I'm pretty sure that if someone could look like Ironman for $200, a lot of people would be paying for that.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
IBM were debuting a product, - mthey made a hands on demo to a portable computer project I was working on in St Paul over 10 years ago. So yeah Alex IBM did in fact have a beyond beta hardware package which is I guess what we arer discussing woth Google
- WarLord
My brother didn't have a picture of himself taken with it in the shower, therefore it did not exist.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
If your point is that this tech has been in the works for a very long time, yep, no doubt. Just like how digital hearing aids physically filled a large room when first built in the 80s. Technology is much more often evolutionary than revolutionary.
- Scoble, Alex Scoble
WarLord, I remember that ad on TV :)
- Tinfoil 2.0
"That CNN's news coverage has been nothing but comedy-(and cringe-)worthy for the past several years, should not be news to anyone by now: perhaps there is no better testament to a society in which a network that breaks news based on fake twitter rumors is still held in high regard. However, in the spirit of reverse psychology memes, does the fact that Jon Stewart is now constantly poking fun at CNN's "news-slaughter", mean that it may be, paradoxically, time to start taking CNN - "the most busted name in news" seriously again? (... that's obviously rhetorical). When CNN reports via satellite uplink from the same parking lot, funny things happen."
- Harold
from Bookmarklet
"This shocking story-- of yet another "huge humiliation" of a non-Jew at Ben Gurion airport-- was posted by Mira Awad, an Israeli Palestinian singer, on her Facebook page, in Hebrew, today. Ami Kaufman at +972 provided a translation of the entry, and notes that Awad is a celebrity in Israel. Awad in translation:"
- Andrew C (✓)
from Bookmarklet
"Now the dilemma. On the one hand it's obvious the young man has just made my life easier by putting on the sticker for Jews. On the other hand, it's one of the things that it's hard to say thanks for. I mean, thank you for not considering me a terrorist any more? Thanks that someone whispered to you, "it's Mira Awad," so the "Awad" isn't scary anymore? Thanks for upgrading me to a Class A citizen? "
- Andrew C (✓)
Such short memories have the Jews or perhaps no appreciation for the irony of "their" using yellow tags... The last ones said "Juden" and with them Nazis marked you for death #apartheid
- WarLord
My favorite is Chopped, just because it's so unpredictable and I believe those chefs sweat over those ingredients, but I also watch Hell's Kitchen every week due to the crazy drama. I have yet to really sit down to watch Top Chef. I started last season, but didn't keep watching for some reason.
- Eric - seven eleven
Definitely the original Iron Chef. It's the first cooking show I watched as a kid. I'm liking this Master Chef: [Country] show.
- Anika
I've only seen the American Master Chef, but last season had me hooked.
- Eric - seven eleven
Oh, Worst Cooks in America. That I enjoy consistently, if just because the contestants who make it partway through get to take away some appreciable skills, and the judges in the final tend to be pretty positive.
- Jennifer Dittrich
I do like Worst Cooks, but I wish they would judge it now like they did in the first season where they didn't know a home cook was in the kitchen.
- Eric - seven eleven
I like Chopped. The looks as they open their baskets... Worst Cooks in America was comedy gold. I love the pretty food on Iron Chef. The Next Iron Chef with really good chefs being challenged is good to. Favorite: Chopped
- WarLord
I actually haven't seen the American Master Chef at all. I'm not sure I'm interested in it. The other countries, though are pretty nifty.
- Anika
YouTube or other people's websites. I just search "Master Chef [country] eng subs" and get returns.
- Anika
I'll have to check that out. I think season 3 of the US version is worth a look for you though. It gets really good mid-season.
- Eric - seven eleven
I love Chopped because they judge the entire chef's performance instead of just one night like other ones. In the past, I would have said the original Iron Chef.
- Shevonne
There are too many to name! Chopped, Cupcake Wars, Next Iron Chef. Food Network Challenge with Keegan Gerhard was one of my favorites but it has been off the air for awhile now.
- Elena